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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/nyc_2026-04-19.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "nyc",
"city_name": "New York City",
"date": "2026-04-19",
"unit": "F",
"station": "KLGA",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-19T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 29.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:27.912931+00:00",
"horizon": "D+1",
"hours_left": 29.4,
"ecmwf": 55,
"hrrr": 52,
"metar": null,
"best": 52,
"best_source": "hrrr"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:27.912931+00:00",
"top_bucket": "54.0-55.0F",
"top_price": 0.355
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003711",
"range": [
-999.0,
47.0
],
"bid": 0.0025,
"ask": 0.9975,
"price": 0.0025,
"spread": 0.995,
"volume": 1488.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003712",
"range": [
48.0,
49.0
],
"bid": 0.009,
"ask": 0.991,
"price": 0.009,
"spread": 0.982,
"volume": 2539.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003713",
"range": [
50.0,
51.0
],
"bid": 0.0175,
"ask": 0.9825,
"price": 0.0175,
"spread": 0.965,
"volume": 2143.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003714",
"range": [
52.0,
53.0
],
"bid": 0.205,
"ask": 0.795,
"price": 0.205,
"spread": 0.59,
"volume": 1156.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003715",
"range": [
54.0,
55.0
],
"bid": 0.355,
"ask": 0.645,
"price": 0.355,
"spread": 0.29,
"volume": 1107.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003716",
"range": [
56.0,
57.0
],
"bid": 0.305,
"ask": 0.695,
"price": 0.305,
"spread": 0.39,
"volume": 992.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003717",
"range": [
58.0,
59.0
],
"bid": 0.115,
"ask": 0.885,
"price": 0.115,
"spread": 0.77,
"volume": 1156.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003718",
"range": [
60.0,
61.0
],
"bid": 0.0215,
"ask": 0.9785,
"price": 0.0215,
"spread": 0.957,
"volume": 1572.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003719",
"range": [
62.0,
63.0
],
"bid": 0.007,
"ask": 0.993,
"price": 0.007,
"spread": 0.986,
"volume": 1729.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003720",
"range": [
64.0,
65.0
],
"bid": 0.0055,
"ask": 0.9945,
"price": 0.0055,
"spread": 0.989,
"volume": 1490.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003721",
"range": [
66.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0085,
"ask": 0.9915,
"price": 0.0085,
"spread": 0.983,
"volume": 1458.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:33:32.948007+00:00"
}