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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/nyc_2026-04-18.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "nyc",
"city_name": "New York City",
"date": "2026-04-18",
"unit": "F",
"station": "KLGA",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 5.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:27.912931+00:00",
"horizon": "D+0",
"hours_left": 5.4,
"ecmwf": 66,
"hrrr": 65,
"metar": 55,
"best": 65,
"best_source": "hrrr"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:27.912931+00:00",
"top_bucket": "64.0-65.0F",
"top_price": 0.375
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996366",
"range": [
-999.0,
53.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 12480.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996367",
"range": [
54.0,
55.0
],
"bid": 0.004,
"ask": 0.996,
"price": 0.004,
"spread": 0.992,
"volume": 10915.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996368",
"range": [
56.0,
57.0
],
"bid": 0.0095,
"ask": 0.9905,
"price": 0.0095,
"spread": 0.981,
"volume": 8844.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996369",
"range": [
58.0,
59.0
],
"bid": 0.028,
"ask": 0.972,
"price": 0.028,
"spread": 0.944,
"volume": 6657.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996370",
"range": [
60.0,
61.0
],
"bid": 0.084,
"ask": 0.916,
"price": 0.084,
"spread": 0.832,
"volume": 6872.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996371",
"range": [
62.0,
63.0
],
"bid": 0.195,
"ask": 0.805,
"price": 0.195,
"spread": 0.61,
"volume": 6007.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996372",
"range": [
64.0,
65.0
],
"bid": 0.375,
"ask": 0.625,
"price": 0.375,
"spread": 0.25,
"volume": 4095.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996373",
"range": [
66.0,
67.0
],
"bid": 0.255,
"ask": 0.745,
"price": 0.255,
"spread": 0.49,
"volume": 3313.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996374",
"range": [
68.0,
69.0
],
"bid": 0.044,
"ask": 0.956,
"price": 0.044,
"spread": 0.912,
"volume": 7316.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996375",
"range": [
70.0,
71.0
],
"bid": 0.027,
"ask": 0.973,
"price": 0.027,
"spread": 0.946,
"volume": 8112.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996376",
"range": [
72.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.009,
"ask": 0.991,
"price": 0.009,
"spread": 0.982,
"volume": 9849.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:33:32.471369+00:00"
}