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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/munich_2026-04-20.json
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John Doe 3722cf2ffd ii
2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "munich",
"city_name": "Munich",
"date": "2026-04-20",
"unit": "C",
"station": "EDDM",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-20T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 53.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:05.123715+00:00",
"horizon": "D+2",
"hours_left": 53.4,
"ecmwf": 12.1,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": null,
"best": 12.1,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:05.123715+00:00",
"top_bucket": "12.0-12.0C",
"top_price": 0.25
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011211",
"range": [
-999.0,
6.0
],
"bid": 0.0075,
"ask": 0.9925,
"price": 0.0075,
"spread": 0.985,
"volume": 145.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011212",
"range": [
7.0,
7.0
],
"bid": 0.0165,
"ask": 0.9835,
"price": 0.0165,
"spread": 0.967,
"volume": 166.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011213",
"range": [
8.0,
8.0
],
"bid": 0.03,
"ask": 0.97,
"price": 0.03,
"spread": 0.94,
"volume": 45.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011214",
"range": [
9.0,
9.0
],
"bid": 0.035,
"ask": 0.965,
"price": 0.035,
"spread": 0.93,
"volume": 0.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011215",
"range": [
10.0,
10.0
],
"bid": 0.025,
"ask": 0.975,
"price": 0.025,
"spread": 0.95,
"volume": 11.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011216",
"range": [
11.0,
11.0
],
"bid": 0.1,
"ask": 0.9,
"price": 0.1,
"spread": 0.8,
"volume": 143.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011217",
"range": [
12.0,
12.0
],
"bid": 0.25,
"ask": 0.75,
"price": 0.25,
"spread": 0.5,
"volume": 9.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011218",
"range": [
13.0,
13.0
],
"bid": 0.25,
"ask": 0.75,
"price": 0.25,
"spread": 0.5,
"volume": 0.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011219",
"range": [
14.0,
14.0
],
"bid": 0.185,
"ask": 0.815,
"price": 0.185,
"spread": 0.63,
"volume": 9.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011220",
"range": [
15.0,
15.0
],
"bid": 0.095,
"ask": 0.905,
"price": 0.095,
"spread": 0.81,
"volume": 17.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011221",
"range": [
16.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.065,
"ask": 0.935,
"price": 0.065,
"spread": 0.87,
"volume": 173.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:15.809220+00:00"
}