179 lines
3.8 KiB
JSON
179 lines
3.8 KiB
JSON
{
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"city": "munich",
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"city_name": "Munich",
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"date": "2026-04-20",
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"unit": "C",
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"station": "EDDM",
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"event_end_date": "2026-04-20T12:00:00Z",
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"hours_at_discovery": 53.4,
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"status": "open",
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"position": null,
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"actual_temp": null,
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"resolved_outcome": null,
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"pnl": null,
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"forecast_snapshots": [
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{
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"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:05.123715+00:00",
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"horizon": "D+2",
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"hours_left": 53.4,
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"ecmwf": 12.1,
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"hrrr": null,
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"metar": null,
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"best": 12.1,
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"best_source": "ecmwf"
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}
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],
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"market_snapshots": [
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{
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"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:05.123715+00:00",
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"top_bucket": "12.0-12.0C",
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"top_price": 0.25
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}
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],
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"all_outcomes": [
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011211",
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"range": [
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-999.0,
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6.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0075,
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"ask": 0.9925,
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"price": 0.0075,
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"spread": 0.985,
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"volume": 145.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011212",
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"range": [
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7.0,
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7.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0165,
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"ask": 0.9835,
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"price": 0.0165,
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"spread": 0.967,
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"volume": 166.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011213",
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"range": [
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8.0,
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8.0
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],
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"bid": 0.03,
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"ask": 0.97,
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"price": 0.03,
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"spread": 0.94,
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"volume": 45.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011214",
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"range": [
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9.0,
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9.0
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],
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"bid": 0.035,
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"ask": 0.965,
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"price": 0.035,
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"spread": 0.93,
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"volume": 0.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011215",
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"range": [
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10.0,
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10.0
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],
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"bid": 0.025,
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"ask": 0.975,
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"price": 0.025,
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"spread": 0.95,
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"volume": 11.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011216",
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"range": [
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11.0,
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11.0
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],
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"bid": 0.1,
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"ask": 0.9,
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"price": 0.1,
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"spread": 0.8,
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"volume": 143.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011217",
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"range": [
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12.0,
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12.0
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],
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"bid": 0.25,
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"ask": 0.75,
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"price": 0.25,
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"spread": 0.5,
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"volume": 9.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011218",
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"range": [
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13.0,
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13.0
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],
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"bid": 0.25,
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"ask": 0.75,
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"price": 0.25,
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"spread": 0.5,
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"volume": 0.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011219",
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"range": [
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14.0,
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14.0
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],
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"bid": 0.185,
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"ask": 0.815,
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"price": 0.185,
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"spread": 0.63,
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"volume": 9.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011220",
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"range": [
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15.0,
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15.0
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],
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"bid": 0.095,
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"ask": 0.905,
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"price": 0.095,
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"spread": 0.81,
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"volume": 17.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 20?",
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"market_id": "2011221",
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"range": [
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16.0,
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999.0
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],
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"bid": 0.065,
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"ask": 0.935,
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"price": 0.065,
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"spread": 0.87,
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"volume": 173.0
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}
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],
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"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:15.809220+00:00"
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} |