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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/munich_2026-04-19.json
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John Doe 3722cf2ffd ii
2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "munich",
"city_name": "Munich",
"date": "2026-04-19",
"unit": "C",
"station": "EDDM",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-19T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 29.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:05.123715+00:00",
"horizon": "D+1",
"hours_left": 29.4,
"ecmwf": 15.4,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": null,
"best": 15.4,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:05.123715+00:00",
"top_bucket": "15.0-15.0C",
"top_price": 0.335
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C or below on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003799",
"range": [
-999.0,
10.0
],
"bid": 0.004,
"ask": 0.996,
"price": 0.004,
"spread": 0.992,
"volume": 1254.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003800",
"range": [
11.0,
11.0
],
"bid": 0.004,
"ask": 0.996,
"price": 0.004,
"spread": 0.992,
"volume": 562.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003801",
"range": [
12.0,
12.0
],
"bid": 0.0115,
"ask": 0.9885,
"price": 0.0115,
"spread": 0.977,
"volume": 1721.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003802",
"range": [
13.0,
13.0
],
"bid": 0.025,
"ask": 0.975,
"price": 0.025,
"spread": 0.95,
"volume": 1999.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003803",
"range": [
14.0,
14.0
],
"bid": 0.28,
"ask": 0.72,
"price": 0.28,
"spread": 0.44,
"volume": 767.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003804",
"range": [
15.0,
15.0
],
"bid": 0.335,
"ask": 0.665,
"price": 0.335,
"spread": 0.33,
"volume": 962.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003805",
"range": [
16.0,
16.0
],
"bid": 0.255,
"ask": 0.745,
"price": 0.255,
"spread": 0.49,
"volume": 1096.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003806",
"range": [
17.0,
17.0
],
"bid": 0.13,
"ask": 0.87,
"price": 0.13,
"spread": 0.74,
"volume": 1388.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003807",
"range": [
18.0,
18.0
],
"bid": 0.0095,
"ask": 0.9905,
"price": 0.0095,
"spread": 0.981,
"volume": 2919.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003808",
"range": [
19.0,
19.0
],
"bid": 0.0115,
"ask": 0.9885,
"price": 0.0115,
"spread": 0.977,
"volume": 1701.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or higher on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003809",
"range": [
20.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0055,
"ask": 0.9945,
"price": 0.0055,
"spread": 0.989,
"volume": 1651.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:15.359407+00:00"
}