179 lines
3.8 KiB
JSON
179 lines
3.8 KiB
JSON
{
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"city": "munich",
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"city_name": "Munich",
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"date": "2026-04-18",
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"unit": "C",
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"station": "EDDM",
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"event_end_date": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
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"hours_at_discovery": 5.4,
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"status": "open",
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"position": null,
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"actual_temp": null,
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"resolved_outcome": null,
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"pnl": null,
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"forecast_snapshots": [
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{
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"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:05.123715+00:00",
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"horizon": "D+0",
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"hours_left": 5.4,
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"ecmwf": 19.7,
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"hrrr": null,
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"metar": null,
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"best": 19.7,
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"best_source": "ecmwf"
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}
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],
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"market_snapshots": [
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{
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"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:05.123715+00:00",
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"top_bucket": "21.0-21.0C",
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"top_price": 0.49
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}
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],
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"all_outcomes": [
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996455",
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"range": [
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-999.0,
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14.0
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],
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"bid": 0.001,
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"ask": 0.999,
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"price": 0.001,
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"spread": 0.998,
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"volume": 5908.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996456",
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"range": [
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15.0,
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15.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0005,
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"ask": 0.9995,
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"price": 0.0005,
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"spread": 0.999,
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"volume": 8923.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996457",
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"range": [
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16.0,
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16.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0005,
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"ask": 0.9995,
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"price": 0.0005,
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"spread": 0.999,
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"volume": 2878.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996458",
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"range": [
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17.0,
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17.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0005,
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"ask": 0.9995,
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"price": 0.0005,
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"spread": 0.999,
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"volume": 2515.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996459",
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"range": [
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18.0,
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18.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0025,
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"ask": 0.9975,
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"price": 0.0025,
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"spread": 0.995,
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"volume": 6535.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996460",
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"range": [
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19.0,
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19.0
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],
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"bid": 0.04,
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"ask": 0.96,
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"price": 0.04,
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"spread": 0.92,
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"volume": 6133.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996461",
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"range": [
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20.0,
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20.0
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],
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"bid": 0.195,
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"ask": 0.805,
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"price": 0.195,
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"spread": 0.61,
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"volume": 3548.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996462",
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"range": [
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21.0,
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21.0
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],
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"bid": 0.49,
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"ask": 0.51,
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"price": 0.49,
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"spread": 0.02,
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"volume": 2682.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996463",
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"range": [
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22.0,
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22.0
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],
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"bid": 0.1855,
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"ask": 0.8145,
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"price": 0.1855,
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"spread": 0.629,
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"volume": 4192.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996464",
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"range": [
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23.0,
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23.0
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],
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"bid": 0.0125,
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"ask": 0.9875,
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"price": 0.0125,
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"spread": 0.975,
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"volume": 4254.0
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},
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on April 18?",
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"market_id": "1996465",
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"range": [
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24.0,
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999.0
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],
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"bid": 0.003,
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"ask": 0.997,
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"price": 0.003,
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"spread": 0.994,
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"volume": 5018.0
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}
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],
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"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:14.954102+00:00"
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} |