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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/munich_2026-04-18.json
T
John Doe 3722cf2ffd ii
2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "munich",
"city_name": "Munich",
"date": "2026-04-18",
"unit": "C",
"station": "EDDM",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 5.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:05.123715+00:00",
"horizon": "D+0",
"hours_left": 5.4,
"ecmwf": 19.7,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": null,
"best": 19.7,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:05.123715+00:00",
"top_bucket": "21.0-21.0C",
"top_price": 0.49
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996455",
"range": [
-999.0,
14.0
],
"bid": 0.001,
"ask": 0.999,
"price": 0.001,
"spread": 0.998,
"volume": 5908.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996456",
"range": [
15.0,
15.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 8923.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996457",
"range": [
16.0,
16.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 2878.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996458",
"range": [
17.0,
17.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 2515.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996459",
"range": [
18.0,
18.0
],
"bid": 0.0025,
"ask": 0.9975,
"price": 0.0025,
"spread": 0.995,
"volume": 6535.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996460",
"range": [
19.0,
19.0
],
"bid": 0.04,
"ask": 0.96,
"price": 0.04,
"spread": 0.92,
"volume": 6133.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996461",
"range": [
20.0,
20.0
],
"bid": 0.195,
"ask": 0.805,
"price": 0.195,
"spread": 0.61,
"volume": 3548.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996462",
"range": [
21.0,
21.0
],
"bid": 0.49,
"ask": 0.51,
"price": 0.49,
"spread": 0.02,
"volume": 2682.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996463",
"range": [
22.0,
22.0
],
"bid": 0.1855,
"ask": 0.8145,
"price": 0.1855,
"spread": 0.629,
"volume": 4192.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996464",
"range": [
23.0,
23.0
],
"bid": 0.0125,
"ask": 0.9875,
"price": 0.0125,
"spread": 0.975,
"volume": 4254.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996465",
"range": [
24.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.003,
"ask": 0.997,
"price": 0.003,
"spread": 0.994,
"volume": 5018.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:14.954102+00:00"
}