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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/lucknow_2026-04-18.json
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John Doe 3722cf2ffd ii
2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "lucknow",
"city_name": "Lucknow",
"date": "2026-04-18",
"unit": "C",
"station": "VILK",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 5.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:32.279705+00:00",
"horizon": "D+0",
"hours_left": 5.4,
"ecmwf": 41.2,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": 38.0,
"best": 41.2,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:34:32.279705+00:00",
"top_bucket": "41.0-41.0C",
"top_price": 0.68
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996444",
"range": [
-999.0,
39.0
],
"bid": 0.016,
"ask": 0.984,
"price": 0.016,
"spread": 0.968,
"volume": 5131.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996445",
"range": [
40.0,
40.0
],
"bid": 0.11,
"ask": 0.89,
"price": 0.11,
"spread": 0.78,
"volume": 3196.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996446",
"range": [
41.0,
41.0
],
"bid": 0.68,
"ask": 0.32,
"price": 0.68,
"spread": -0.36,
"volume": 2461.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996447",
"range": [
42.0,
42.0
],
"bid": 0.155,
"ask": 0.845,
"price": 0.155,
"spread": 0.69,
"volume": 2253.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996448",
"range": [
43.0,
43.0
],
"bid": 0.0105,
"ask": 0.9895,
"price": 0.0105,
"spread": 0.979,
"volume": 2802.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996449",
"range": [
44.0,
44.0
],
"bid": 0.0015,
"ask": 0.9985,
"price": 0.0015,
"spread": 0.997,
"volume": 2209.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996450",
"range": [
45.0,
45.0
],
"bid": 0.0015,
"ask": 0.9985,
"price": 0.0015,
"spread": 0.997,
"volume": 1871.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996451",
"range": [
46.0,
46.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 1605.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996452",
"range": [
47.0,
47.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 2099.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 48°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996453",
"range": [
48.0,
48.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 1135.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 49°C or higher on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996454",
"range": [
49.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 1709.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:34.211475+00:00"
}