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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/london_2026-04-18.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "london",
"city_name": "London",
"date": "2026-04-18",
"unit": "C",
"station": "EGLC",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 5.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:57.508115+00:00",
"horizon": "D+0",
"hours_left": 5.4,
"ecmwf": 17.6,
"hrrr": null,
"metar": 11.0,
"best": 17.6,
"best_source": "ecmwf"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:57.508115+00:00",
"top_bucket": "17.0-17.0C",
"top_price": 0.575
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996289",
"range": [
-999.0,
11.0
],
"bid": 0.0,
"ask": 1.0,
"price": 0.0,
"spread": 1.0,
"volume": 3133.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996290",
"range": [
12.0,
12.0
],
"bid": 0.0,
"ask": 1.0,
"price": 0.0,
"spread": 1.0,
"volume": 8302.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996291",
"range": [
13.0,
13.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 5348.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996292",
"range": [
14.0,
14.0
],
"bid": 0.001,
"ask": 0.999,
"price": 0.001,
"spread": 0.998,
"volume": 8643.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996293",
"range": [
15.0,
15.0
],
"bid": 0.013,
"ask": 0.987,
"price": 0.013,
"spread": 0.974,
"volume": 11156.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996294",
"range": [
16.0,
16.0
],
"bid": 0.13,
"ask": 0.87,
"price": 0.13,
"spread": 0.74,
"volume": 6828.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996295",
"range": [
17.0,
17.0
],
"bid": 0.575,
"ask": 0.425,
"price": 0.575,
"spread": -0.15,
"volume": 8011.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996296",
"range": [
18.0,
18.0
],
"bid": 0.27,
"ask": 0.73,
"price": 0.27,
"spread": 0.46,
"volume": 8217.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996297",
"range": [
19.0,
19.0
],
"bid": 0.0085,
"ask": 0.9915,
"price": 0.0085,
"spread": 0.983,
"volume": 5674.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996298",
"range": [
20.0,
20.0
],
"bid": 0.0025,
"ask": 0.9975,
"price": 0.0025,
"spread": 0.995,
"volume": 3916.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996299",
"range": [
21.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0015,
"ask": 0.9985,
"price": 0.0015,
"spread": 0.997,
"volume": 7055.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:34:00.197616+00:00"
}