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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/dallas_2026-04-18.json
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2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "dallas",
"city_name": "Dallas",
"date": "2026-04-18",
"unit": "F",
"station": "KDAL",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 5.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:43.603858+00:00",
"horizon": "D+0",
"hours_left": 5.4,
"ecmwf": 76,
"hrrr": 77,
"metar": 75,
"best": 77,
"best_source": "hrrr"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:43.603858+00:00",
"top_bucket": "74.0-75.0F",
"top_price": 0.9665
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996377",
"range": [
-999.0,
67.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 17470.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996378",
"range": [
68.0,
69.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 8578.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996379",
"range": [
70.0,
71.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 4876.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996380",
"range": [
72.0,
73.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 17389.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996381",
"range": [
74.0,
75.0
],
"bid": 0.9665,
"ask": 0.0335,
"price": 0.9665,
"spread": -0.933,
"volume": 9096.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996382",
"range": [
76.0,
77.0
],
"bid": 0.0155,
"ask": 0.9845,
"price": 0.0155,
"spread": 0.969,
"volume": 6118.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996383",
"range": [
78.0,
79.0
],
"bid": 0.004,
"ask": 0.996,
"price": 0.004,
"spread": 0.992,
"volume": 4528.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996384",
"range": [
80.0,
81.0
],
"bid": 0.0015,
"ask": 0.9985,
"price": 0.0015,
"spread": 0.997,
"volume": 4863.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996385",
"range": [
82.0,
83.0
],
"bid": 0.0025,
"ask": 0.9975,
"price": 0.0025,
"spread": 0.995,
"volume": 4885.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996386",
"range": [
84.0,
85.0
],
"bid": 0.0015,
"ask": 0.9985,
"price": 0.0015,
"spread": 0.997,
"volume": 4908.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996387",
"range": [
86.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0015,
"ask": 0.9985,
"price": 0.0015,
"spread": 0.997,
"volume": 11146.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:33:47.023682+00:00"
}