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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/chicago_2026-04-20.json
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John Doe 3722cf2ffd ii
2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "chicago",
"city_name": "Chicago",
"date": "2026-04-20",
"unit": "F",
"station": "KORD",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-20T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 53.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:33.876961+00:00",
"horizon": "D+2",
"hours_left": 53.4,
"ecmwf": 50,
"hrrr": 57,
"metar": null,
"best": 57,
"best_source": "hrrr"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:33.876961+00:00",
"top_bucket": "-999.0-55.0F",
"top_price": 0.745
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011167",
"range": [
-999.0,
55.0
],
"bid": 0.745,
"ask": 0.255,
"price": 0.745,
"spread": -0.49,
"volume": 174.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011168",
"range": [
56.0,
57.0
],
"bid": 0.165,
"ask": 0.835,
"price": 0.165,
"spread": 0.67,
"volume": 78.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011169",
"range": [
58.0,
59.0
],
"bid": 0.085,
"ask": 0.915,
"price": 0.085,
"spread": 0.83,
"volume": 60.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011170",
"range": [
60.0,
61.0
],
"bid": 0.0605,
"ask": 0.9395,
"price": 0.0605,
"spread": 0.879,
"volume": 240.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011171",
"range": [
62.0,
63.0
],
"bid": 0.04,
"ask": 0.96,
"price": 0.04,
"spread": 0.92,
"volume": 258.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011172",
"range": [
64.0,
65.0
],
"bid": 0.025,
"ask": 0.975,
"price": 0.025,
"spread": 0.95,
"volume": 82.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011173",
"range": [
66.0,
67.0
],
"bid": 0.025,
"ask": 0.975,
"price": 0.025,
"spread": 0.95,
"volume": 103.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011174",
"range": [
68.0,
69.0
],
"bid": 0.007,
"ask": 0.993,
"price": 0.007,
"spread": 0.986,
"volume": 424.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011175",
"range": [
70.0,
71.0
],
"bid": 0.007,
"ask": 0.993,
"price": 0.007,
"spread": 0.986,
"volume": 223.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011176",
"range": [
72.0,
73.0
],
"bid": 0.007,
"ask": 0.993,
"price": 0.007,
"spread": 0.986,
"volume": 218.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 20?",
"market_id": "2011177",
"range": [
74.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.007,
"ask": 0.993,
"price": 0.007,
"spread": 0.986,
"volume": 222.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:33:38.007412+00:00"
}