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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/chicago_2026-04-19.json
T
John Doe 3722cf2ffd ii
2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "chicago",
"city_name": "Chicago",
"date": "2026-04-19",
"unit": "F",
"station": "KORD",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-19T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 29.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:33.876961+00:00",
"horizon": "D+1",
"hours_left": 29.4,
"ecmwf": 45,
"hrrr": 47,
"metar": null,
"best": 47,
"best_source": "hrrr"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:33.876961+00:00",
"top_bucket": "48.0-49.0F",
"top_price": 0.33
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003755",
"range": [
-999.0,
43.0
],
"bid": 0.014,
"ask": 0.986,
"price": 0.014,
"spread": 0.972,
"volume": 2881.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003756",
"range": [
44.0,
45.0
],
"bid": 0.035,
"ask": 0.965,
"price": 0.035,
"spread": 0.93,
"volume": 1492.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003757",
"range": [
46.0,
47.0
],
"bid": 0.0755,
"ask": 0.9245,
"price": 0.0755,
"spread": 0.849,
"volume": 1435.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003758",
"range": [
48.0,
49.0
],
"bid": 0.33,
"ask": 0.67,
"price": 0.33,
"spread": 0.34,
"volume": 704.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003759",
"range": [
50.0,
51.0
],
"bid": 0.32,
"ask": 0.68,
"price": 0.32,
"spread": 0.36,
"volume": 728.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003760",
"range": [
52.0,
53.0
],
"bid": 0.185,
"ask": 0.815,
"price": 0.185,
"spread": 0.63,
"volume": 526.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003761",
"range": [
54.0,
55.0
],
"bid": 0.085,
"ask": 0.915,
"price": 0.085,
"spread": 0.83,
"volume": 421.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003762",
"range": [
56.0,
57.0
],
"bid": 0.017,
"ask": 0.983,
"price": 0.017,
"spread": 0.966,
"volume": 1112.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003763",
"range": [
58.0,
59.0
],
"bid": 0.009,
"ask": 0.991,
"price": 0.009,
"spread": 0.982,
"volume": 1092.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003764",
"range": [
60.0,
61.0
],
"bid": 0.006,
"ask": 0.994,
"price": 0.006,
"spread": 0.988,
"volume": 1543.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on April 19?",
"market_id": "2003765",
"range": [
62.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0025,
"ask": 0.9975,
"price": 0.0025,
"spread": 0.995,
"volume": 2673.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:33:37.470860+00:00"
}