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hermes_weatherbot/data/markets/chicago_2026-04-18.json
T
John Doe 3722cf2ffd ii
2026-04-18 15:27:39 +08:00

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{
"city": "chicago",
"city_name": "Chicago",
"date": "2026-04-18",
"unit": "F",
"station": "KORD",
"event_end_date": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"hours_at_discovery": 5.4,
"status": "open",
"position": null,
"actual_temp": null,
"resolved_outcome": null,
"pnl": null,
"forecast_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:33.876961+00:00",
"horizon": "D+0",
"hours_left": 5.4,
"ecmwf": 66,
"hrrr": 63,
"metar": 63,
"best": 63,
"best_source": "hrrr"
}
],
"market_snapshots": [
{
"ts": "2026-04-18T06:33:33.876961+00:00",
"top_bucket": "62.0-63.0F",
"top_price": 0.9185
}
],
"all_outcomes": [
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996411",
"range": [
-999.0,
53.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 55796.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996412",
"range": [
54.0,
55.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 11575.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996413",
"range": [
56.0,
57.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 10782.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996414",
"range": [
58.0,
59.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 13442.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996415",
"range": [
60.0,
61.0
],
"bid": 0.0005,
"ask": 0.9995,
"price": 0.0005,
"spread": 0.999,
"volume": 13791.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996416",
"range": [
62.0,
63.0
],
"bid": 0.9185,
"ask": 0.0815,
"price": 0.9185,
"spread": -0.837,
"volume": 10274.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996417",
"range": [
64.0,
65.0
],
"bid": 0.0615,
"ask": 0.9385,
"price": 0.0615,
"spread": 0.877,
"volume": 5738.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996418",
"range": [
66.0,
67.0
],
"bid": 0.0345,
"ask": 0.9655,
"price": 0.0345,
"spread": 0.931,
"volume": 9171.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996419",
"range": [
68.0,
69.0
],
"bid": 0.0025,
"ask": 0.9975,
"price": 0.0025,
"spread": 0.995,
"volume": 8138.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996420",
"range": [
70.0,
71.0
],
"bid": 0.0045,
"ask": 0.9955,
"price": 0.0045,
"spread": 0.991,
"volume": 7215.0
},
{
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 18?",
"market_id": "1996421",
"range": [
72.0,
999.0
],
"bid": 0.0015,
"ask": 0.9985,
"price": 0.0015,
"spread": 0.997,
"volume": 13447.0
}
],
"created_at": "2026-04-18T06:33:36.997932+00:00"
}