Files
fx-quant/results/phase1/S3_USD_JPY_report.json
T
Brent NealeandClaude Opus 4.6 dce54845c2 Phase 1: Event-driven backtester, 5 strategies, and baseline results
- Built event-driven backtesting engine with spread/slippage modeling,
  3-TP partial closes, trailing stops, and rich trade logging (20+ features)
- Implemented 5 strategy signal generators (MA Breakout, VWAP Reversal,
  Key Level Breakout, EMA Ribbon Scalp, Momentum Exhaustion)
- Full indicator library (EMA, SMA, RSI, ATR, MACD, ADX, Stochastic,
  Session VWAP bands, swing points, key levels, RSI divergence)
- Data pipeline: Dukascopy download, validation, 70/30 train/test split
- Baseline results: all 5 strategies generate 200+ trades on training data
  (Jan 2021 - Aug 2023), best profit factors 0.82-0.96 on select pairs
- Trade logs and reports saved for Phase 3 ML feature engineering

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-18 06:04:40 +10:00

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JSON

{
"pair": "USD_JPY",
"strategy_id": 3,
"strategy_name": "S3_Key_Level_Breakout",
"total_trades": 220,
"win_rate_pct": 35.45,
"avg_rr": 1.6,
"expectancy_pips": -1.37,
"sharpe_ratio": -0.98,
"max_drawdown_pct": -26.12,
"profit_factor": 0.87,
"total_pnl_pips": -300.7,
"total_pnl_dollars": -17192.04,
"avg_win_pips": 28.66,
"avg_loss_pips": 17.86,
"max_consecutive_wins": 3,
"max_consecutive_losses": 10,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 609.8,
"best_trade_pips": 111.53,
"worst_trade_pips": -60.24,
"best_trade_dollars": 3133.4,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1073.07,
"final_equity": 82807.96,
"starting_equity": 100000.0,
"session_breakdown": {
"LONDON": {
"trades": 116,
"win_rate": 37.06896551724138,
"total_pnl_pips": -213.5047343767306
},
"OVERLAP": {
"trades": 104,
"win_rate": 33.65384615384615,
"total_pnl_pips": -87.1917729201391
}
},
"exit_reasons": {
"SL": 142,
"TP3": 28,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 25,
"TP1+SL": 25
}
}