Files
fx-quant/results/phase1/S2_GBP_JPY_report.json
T
Brent NealeandClaude Opus 4.6 dce54845c2 Phase 1: Event-driven backtester, 5 strategies, and baseline results
- Built event-driven backtesting engine with spread/slippage modeling,
  3-TP partial closes, trailing stops, and rich trade logging (20+ features)
- Implemented 5 strategy signal generators (MA Breakout, VWAP Reversal,
  Key Level Breakout, EMA Ribbon Scalp, Momentum Exhaustion)
- Full indicator library (EMA, SMA, RSI, ATR, MACD, ADX, Stochastic,
  Session VWAP bands, swing points, key levels, RSI divergence)
- Data pipeline: Dukascopy download, validation, 70/30 train/test split
- Baseline results: all 5 strategies generate 200+ trades on training data
  (Jan 2021 - Aug 2023), best profit factors 0.82-0.96 on select pairs
- Trade logs and reports saved for Phase 3 ML feature engineering

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-18 06:04:40 +10:00

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JSON

{
"pair": "GBP_JPY",
"strategy_id": 2,
"strategy_name": "S2_Session_VWAP_Reversal",
"total_trades": 348,
"win_rate_pct": 20.69,
"avg_rr": 2.51,
"expectancy_pips": -4.55,
"sharpe_ratio": -3.15,
"max_drawdown_pct": -67.39,
"profit_factor": 0.62,
"total_pnl_pips": -1583.63,
"total_pnl_dollars": -65240.52,
"avg_win_pips": 41.8,
"avg_loss_pips": 16.64,
"max_consecutive_wins": 3,
"max_consecutive_losses": 18,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 221.6,
"best_trade_pips": 133.0,
"worst_trade_pips": -87.62,
"best_trade_dollars": 3890.84,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1018.57,
"final_equity": 34759.48,
"starting_equity": 100000.0,
"session_breakdown": {
"LONDON": {
"trades": 194,
"win_rate": 21.649484536082475,
"total_pnl_pips": -1066.9327875983017
},
"OVERLAP": {
"trades": 154,
"win_rate": 19.480519480519483,
"total_pnl_pips": -516.6924885002354
}
},
"exit_reasons": {
"TP1+TP2+SL": 34,
"SL": 275,
"TP1+SL": 14,
"TIME": 2,
"TP3": 21,
"TP1+TIME": 2
}
}