Files
fx-quant/results/phase1/S1_EUR_CAD_report.json
T
Brent NealeandClaude Opus 4.6 dce54845c2 Phase 1: Event-driven backtester, 5 strategies, and baseline results
- Built event-driven backtesting engine with spread/slippage modeling,
  3-TP partial closes, trailing stops, and rich trade logging (20+ features)
- Implemented 5 strategy signal generators (MA Breakout, VWAP Reversal,
  Key Level Breakout, EMA Ribbon Scalp, Momentum Exhaustion)
- Full indicator library (EMA, SMA, RSI, ATR, MACD, ADX, Stochastic,
  Session VWAP bands, swing points, key levels, RSI divergence)
- Data pipeline: Dukascopy download, validation, 70/30 train/test split
- Baseline results: all 5 strategies generate 200+ trades on training data
  (Jan 2021 - Aug 2023), best profit factors 0.82-0.96 on select pairs
- Trade logs and reports saved for Phase 3 ML feature engineering

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-18 06:04:40 +10:00

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JSON

{
"pair": "EUR_CAD",
"strategy_id": 1,
"strategy_name": "S1_MA_Breakout_Retest",
"total_trades": 83,
"win_rate_pct": 44.58,
"avg_rr": 1.1,
"expectancy_pips": -0.9,
"sharpe_ratio": -1.0,
"max_drawdown_pct": -9.26,
"profit_factor": 0.88,
"total_pnl_pips": -74.43,
"total_pnl_dollars": -5635.08,
"avg_win_pips": 15.14,
"avg_loss_pips": 13.8,
"max_consecutive_wins": 4,
"max_consecutive_losses": 5,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 300.4,
"best_trade_pips": 33.9,
"worst_trade_pips": -22.21,
"best_trade_dollars": 2148.48,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1017.68,
"final_equity": 94364.92,
"starting_equity": 100000.0,
"session_breakdown": {
"LONDON": {
"trades": 33,
"win_rate": 27.27272727272727,
"total_pnl_pips": -197.00053954000785
},
"OVERLAP": {
"trades": 50,
"win_rate": 56.00000000000001,
"total_pnl_pips": 122.56671504231885
}
},
"exit_reasons": {
"SL": 46,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 18,
"TP1+SL": 15,
"TP3": 4
}
}