Files
fx-quant/results/phase2/trades_S7_Tight_IS.csv
T
Brent NealeandClaude Opus 4.6 9c5d55ec46 Refine Phase 2 portfolio: data-driven filters, drop S4F and S9
S7: add RSI floor (RSI<40 = 0% WR) and ATR percentile cap (high-vol
regime = worse RR). IS flips from PF 0.68 to 1.52, OOS holds at 1.80.

S3: add confluence gate (C>=4) and skip hours 09-10 (0% WR). IS PF
1.06 -> 1.22, OOS PF 1.07 -> 1.23.

S9_Filtered: add skip_monday (unreliable Asian ranges after weekend
gaps). IS PF 1.10 -> 1.31, OOS holds strong at 2.26.

Drop S9/GBP_USD (negative PF across all param combos) and S4F/EUR_AUD
(overfit: IS 1.43 collapses to OOS 0.48). 3-strategy portfolio: all
PASS generalization, IS PF 1.29, OOS PF 1.55, Gen 1.46.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-20 10:25:09 +10:00

11 KiB

1timestampstrategy_idpairsignal_directionentry_pricesl_pricetp1_pricetp2_pricetp3_pricelot_sizeconfluence_scoresessionspread_at_entryatr_at_entryadx_at_entryrsi_at_entryema_50_valueema_200_valuevwap_deviationnews_within_60minmacd_hist_at_entrystoch_k_at_entrydistance_from_ema50_pipscandle_body_ratiohour_of_dayday_of_weekentry_patternexit_priceexit_reasonexit_timepnl_pipspnl_dollarshold_time_minuteswin
22021-01-19 09:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYLONG141.56141.2521264151365141.7663103772952142.00162075459045142.001620754590453248.093LONDON2.50.1568735848634779748.8021345253058168.66737170477022141.1757334553746141.175150281980455.591737610288305False0.06176918357434768660.19947656776639635.526654462540820.234939759036243691liquidity_sweep_bullish142.00162075459045TP32021-01-20 09:00:00+00:0032.3966925574964361052.27373129078611440True
32021-02-03 13:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYLONG143.38142.98100883435788143.58198674846315143.81297349692633143.812973496926332532.694OVERLAP2.50.1539911656421076921.1912592546323946.771428044045194143.4376216374294142.899033509637971.9550885825168507False-0.0212276229911088923.32069110572441-8.6621637429402650.7763713080167911132liquidity_sweep_bullish142.98100883435788SL2021-02-04 07:00:00+00:00-39.89911656421157-1010.520935310131080False
42021-04-13 10:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT150.213150.71331798824258149.93402301763615149.62604603527228149.626046035272281999.563LONDON2.50.205317988242569528.5926965305117243.78288547843401150.43765868033003151.06143682161715-13.406886587759459False-0.02736928586129824821.467421310283054-19.5658680330041080.7345679012345386101liquidity_sweep_bearish150.213TP1+SL2021-04-13 12:00:00+00:0013.948849118192186278.91560742772367120True
52021-05-31 15:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYLONG155.623155.28565511043521155.8210173343472156.0480346686944156.04803466869442973.834OVERLAP2.50.1513448895648061649.65407681626217649.52039425705005155.4898975578868154.7048186869773812.271567464063082False-0.01799986623380885761.1734000883926910.4102442113202190.6586826347304442150liquidity_sweep_bullish155.623TP1+SL2021-06-01 06:00:00+00:009.900866717360657294.43494470088643900True
62021-08-03 08:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT151.824152.23044597313304151.57933104030045151.30566208060085151.305662080600852475.493LONDON2.50.1824459731330469233.1711170813185945.683075608404145152.16133874825707152.20288283213353-4.566666666664787False0.0372280395782061164.9472313596493-30.833874825705720.3675889328062610481liquidity_sweep_bearish151.30566208060085TP32021-08-03 13:00:00+00:0038.15055334294405944.4131329492457300True
72021-08-25 08:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT150.64000000000001151.1143351528358150.39999727074635150.13099454149267150.130994541492672141.094LONDON2.50.1793351528357777817.79531668502339856.211904198229135150.4649640402053150.79013373274236-4.599999999999227False-0.00446736394424608637.2041301047401420.403595979470880.2842639593909178682liquidity_sweep_bearish151.1143351528358SL2021-08-25 14:00:00+00:00-47.433515283577776-1015.5942523851555360False
82021-08-30 11:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYLONG151.209150.86378738668466151.40531891997304151.63063783994605151.630637839946052912.523LONDON2.50.1502126133153485815.18933005253049954.705688561359246151.04245608816143150.93216826907656.492283032335422False-0.00998887743867799738.11320754717143413.7543911838577060.6758241758243243110liquidity_sweep_bullish151.209TP1+SL2021-08-31 12:00:00+00:009.815945998651898285.891390399936261500True
92021-09-23 08:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT150.088150.47218151232715149.82572773150926149.5344554630185149.53445546301852624.544LONDON2.50.1941815123271587563.1858085362707168.69619970958104149.68521903350933150.50964258294968-2.6666666666642413False0.05781919282016674583.7248963318163743.178096649066330.0991735537190160283liquidity_sweep_bearish150.47218151232715SL2021-09-23 11:00:00+00:00-38.41815123271601-1008.2997463631249180False
102021-10-07 14:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYLONG151.944151.3881015502808152.2508476745788152.58669534915762152.586695349157621795.684OVERLAP2.50.2238984497192145822.24167541443847566.41797593643571151.3989704432982151.0746287409282337.27070275714084False0.0564204931652599581.105095311320451.602955670179540.7073170731707205143liquidity_sweep_bullish152.58669534915762TP32021-10-08 14:00:00+00:0047.47750909878311852.54413538502851440True
112021-11-10 08:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT153.114153.57571037474384152.83443443788425152.52586887576848152.525868875768482180.464LONDON2.50.2057103747438368327.30333936298203751.70142632925221153.2037801251759154.30654252539233-2.1666666666675383False0.0306064582565934576.81042808310049-6.0780125175909920.359897172236459582liquidity_sweep_bearish153.114TP1+SL2021-11-10 13:00:00+00:0013.978278105787467304.7907627854534300True
122021-11-15 15:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT153.043153.46258659358037152.79512010962947152.5182402192589152.51824021925892406.634OVERLAP2.50.184586593580366126.9588145934172559.84293364942911152.85382660290435153.4913905851730412.504539957382121False0.01122476833012685277.4881292417753521.817339709565430.1333333333333036150liquidity_sweep_bearish153.46258659358037SL2021-11-16 02:00:00+00:00-41.95865935803624-1009.7896837083077660False
132021-12-07 08:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT150.749151.30533092471234150.4520036129315150.12600722586296150.126007225862961796.944LONDON2.50.21733092471233944.1217302380303660.80343102295601150.34598174091798151.0283122465493-10.333333333335304False0.02449624040943307346.7754001926663643.2018259082013860.516129032258049781liquidity_sweep_bearish150.12600722586296TP32021-12-07 18:00:00+00:0045.99980475675753826.5888915960787600True
142022-01-19 11:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT156.041156.43849237103325155.75576144345013155.44152288690026155.441522886900262535.793LONDON2.50.2094923710332446434.72523807419714457.08044012005093156.01329311136905156.298713766525224.32564558679644False0.06026098741789369488.3561172735565.6706888630941420.08085106382980577112liquidity_sweep_bearish155.44152288690026TP32022-01-20 01:00:00+00:0044.236019888930921121.7325687415214840True
152022-03-10 14:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT152.542153.23728211357013152.15507682964483151.73915365928966151.739153659289661465.844OVERLAP2.50.2772821135701145634.4439279722016348.96824245640294152.4310556085491153.02428985117828-10.608162200864513False-0.0473848574349977162.87977998952205613.9944391450910640.7665995975854918143liquidity_sweep_bearish152.542TP1+SL2022-03-11 04:00:00+00:0019.346158517758738283.5837300167147840True
162022-03-21 12:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYLONG156.834156.3809811067696157.1095283398456157.4140566796912157.41405667969122256.04LONDON2.50.203018893230403121.16081636123539453.91313960830786156.46535250114061154.96408395960919.23077418468381False-0.0540733653610414336.5873538735558433.964749885939230.7545787545788286120liquidity_sweep_bullish157.4140566796912TP32022-03-21 16:00:00+00:0042.77950809416346965.1057026043276240True
172022-05-11 14:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT160.697161.69475357350146160.1383696397478159.5507392794956159.55073927949561033.984OVERLAP2.50.391753573501468633.3156031865786551.16802955039148160.74251807937966161.639106152898085.364409921671154False0.0387472802509884184.30833446758261-1.65180793796650960.8672699849170123142liquidity_sweep_bearish159.5507392794956TP32022-05-11 17:00:00+00:0085.24566262863617881.4231024475723180True
182022-05-31 08:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYLONG161.343160.72255655448865161.713665168267162.11333033653403162.113330336534031676.995LONDON2.50.266443445511343940.9707490493949452.6601700874127160.98094345373124160.252777318031359.166666666664014False-0.0768624003902637632.8407733473609633.3056546268750250.746666666666669781liquidity_sweep_bullish162.11333033653403TP32022-05-31 14:00:00+00:0057.05023459302235956.7267291015255360True
192022-10-05 16:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYLONG163.444162.44778143286752164.24032785069872165.06565570139745165.065655701397451054.033OVERLAP2.50.550218567132487137.26087636561090540.05966386655959163.8379885139377161.34716298486475-28.55607972133214False-0.2206077677500316633.859759392854045-42.298851393769610.4076433121019019162liquidity_sweep_bullish163.444TP1+SL2022-10-06 08:00:00+00:0039.81639253493653419.6767222359916960True
202022-11-10 13:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT166.77100000000002167.8142816755394166.2445774866909165.6891549733818165.68915497338181010.54OVERLAP2.50.3702816755394116625.59864559261614851.48614850917761166.98441038809315167.723927399861969.600177960467704False0.0777349630548630245.926269157594554-18.4410388093141360.19135802469136923133liquidity_sweep_bearish165.6891549733818TP32022-11-10 14:00:00+00:0080.41444760005487812.587992998554660True
212022-11-17 12:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT165.601166.37750674191966165.0322398871205164.43447977424103164.434479774241031368.135LONDON2.50.398506741919656622.8907262413619944.044798449171644165.73961325783645166.08930902550796-23.59962682566845False-0.047663913193800245.39971771968385-10.9613257836457480.19363762102353005123liquidity_sweep_bearish166.37750674191966SL2022-11-17 22:00:00+00:00-77.65067419196612-1062.3621688225462600False
222022-12-15 09:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYLONG168.53199999999998167.69108965238104168.99636552142846169.48973104285693169.489731042856931250.723LONDON2.50.328910347618980730.31459006208729865.12720658759604167.8456964107379167.3702893629730424.657734193786496False0.0432022052679028673.0498630372459465.730358926208510.816216216216202193liquidity_sweep_bullish167.69108965238104SL2022-12-15 19:00:00+00:00-84.09103476189442-1051.743389973966600False
232022-12-23 15:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT160.13400000000001160.86604406507368159.6409339023895159.11886780477897159.118867804778971422.355OVERLAP2.50.3480440650736814630.5914689054661161.980188466308554159.99876926789878162.967223551262114.144913648058832False0.0558473417395045145.71117093582281416.4230732101231070.1756756756756945154liquidity_sweep_bearish160.13400000000001TP1+SL2022-12-26 08:00:00+00:0024.65330488052615350.65628196816373900True
242022-12-27 11:00:00+00:007GBP_JPYSHORT160.385161.07102035672665159.98946946491003159.5649389298201159.56493892982011522.894LONDON2.50.283020356726632217.7997205183187648.930149693745925160.31840309992057162.01386307840843-22.18699037434817False-0.01770113563698991238.450330619574789.5596900079414130.6943319838057043111liquidity_sweep_bearish161.07102035672665SL2022-12-28 02:00:00+00:00-68.6020356726658-1044.7335410554604900False