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Brent Neale 935e02bdc6 Add held-out test set validation and S3 multi-pair expansion
Test set (Sep 2023 - Dec 2024): only S9_Filtered passes (PF=1.13),
portfolio PF=0.91 FAIL. S3 expansion to GBP_USD, EUR_USD, GBP_AUD
shows no generalization — GBP_JPY remains the only viable pair.
No strategy is consistently profitable across all 4 validation periods.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-21 12:41:44 +10:00

65 lines
1.2 KiB
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{
"S7_Tight": {
"pair": "GBP_JPY",
"timeframe": "H1",
"metrics_test": {
"trades": 17,
"wr": 52.9,
"pf": 0.64,
"sharpe": -3.04,
"pnl_pips": -181.0,
"max_dd_pips": -265.0,
"expectancy": -10.64
}
},
"S9_Filtered": {
"pair": "GBP_AUD",
"timeframe": "H1",
"metrics_test": {
"trades": 20,
"wr": 60.0,
"pf": 1.13,
"sharpe": 0.83,
"pnl_pips": 52.2,
"max_dd_pips": -115.7,
"expectancy": 2.61
}
},
"S3": {
"pair": "GBP_JPY",
"timeframe": "H1",
"metrics_test": {
"trades": 55,
"wr": 45.5,
"pf": 0.95,
"sharpe": -0.36,
"pnl_pips": -72.5,
"max_dd_pips": -325.7,
"expectancy": -1.32
}
},
"S8_OB": {
"pair": "GBP_USD",
"timeframe": "M15",
"metrics_test": {
"trades": 34,
"wr": 35.3,
"pf": 0.92,
"sharpe": -0.58,
"pnl_pips": -20.0,
"max_dd_pips": -59.1,
"expectancy": -0.59
}
},
"_portfolio": {
"metrics_test": {
"trades": 126,
"wr": 46.0,
"pf": 0.91,
"sharpe": -0.58,
"pnl_pips": -221.2,
"max_dd_pips": -325.7,
"expectancy": -1.76
}
}
}