Files
Brent Neale 4f911b2072 Add Phase 2 backtesting pipeline: IS/OOS split, param sweep, generalization scoring
Externalize hardcoded params in S4F (5 params) and S3 (9 params) as class
attributes for sweep compatibility. Add unified backtest runner with IS/OOS
validation and generalization scores, plus parameter grid sweep (90 combos)
with OOS validation. S7/S9/S9_Filtered pass generalization; S4F/S3 confirm
defaults are near-optimal.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-20 10:25:08 +10:00

35 KiB

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392021-10-28 08:00:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.54421.54669953076205751.5410507038569141.5410507038569141.541050703856914410323.513LONDON2.00.00112976538102874128.83072030832244847.979554480860511.54483670917964641.54556611979626850.466666666665283False-0.0001616319314828578368.13981570482851-3.96709179646403950.528846153846125183ribbon_trend_context1.541050703856914TP32021-10-28 11:45:00+00:0031.492962198376621292.2302789535213225True
402021-10-28 12:30:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.545521.54886115434056971.54110826848914551.54110826848914551.5411082684891455310832.263LONDON2.00.001550577170284811224.984100333349760.332814021925621.54378464999874021.545112052887624528.591535171054172False0.0001791251106713735750.6240671641791419.7535000125981240.952272727272717123ribbon_trend_context1.5488611543405697SL2021-10-28 12:45:00+00:00-33.41154340569696-1038.538554688088415False
412021-11-08 12:30:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.562561.56014462058112821.56558306912830721.56558306912830721.5655830691283072425669.423LONDON2.00.001087689709435794416.76678338916753649.772720916987381.56236470971586861.5612199059988425-1.095198117817553False7.810396503680415e-0561.526479750779195-0.447097158686737830.41803278688525486120ribbon_trend_context1.5601446205811282SL2021-11-08 14:00:00+00:00-24.153794188717104-1028.15315631105890False
422021-11-17 08:00:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.551141.5537379168060851.54784312479087241.54784312479087241.5478431247908724391803.013LONDON2.00.001178958403042539834.87200654536814453.960020440584471.55091223083452511.55239416150200237.466666666668953False-6.469142909886426e-0555.438184663532774.6776916547486280.836283185840628982ribbon_trend_context1.553737916806085SL2021-11-17 09:15:00+00:00-25.9791680608501-1017.871624353693375False
432021-11-17 13:30:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.551791.55410872931894081.54891190602158881.54891190602158881.5489119060215888434588.423OVERLAP2.00.001039364659470432637.9264920895858948.003370531067121.55201919204387861.5524937568399841-6.70094629106277False-0.0002473843161128161740.870655296709370.108079561214058370.5241935483870737132ribbon_trend_context1.5541087293189408SL2021-11-17 14:15:00+00:00-23.187293189408376-1007.692911126174645False
442022-01-11 08:15:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.578871.57647013090693781.58186980363959331.58186980363959331.5818698036395933415696.03LONDON2.00.001079934546531122315.72343721705658152.996675887632141.57813695210140261.57754131907680044.813646093708712False2.0832861257876845e-0537.951353436546264.9304789859738740.681ribbon_trend_context1.5818698036395933TP32022-01-11 14:30:00+00:0029.9980371175668951247.0064037624088375True
452022-01-11 15:00:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.57991.57706372503211641.58355441245182551.58355441245182551.5835544124518255356131.213OVERLAP2.00.001298137483941835248.0243199708852950.2258028618562451.5791347961565841.57799381655051032.466533912905966False-7.430586083406851e-0641.077541931304125.2520384341603330.3529411764705608151ribbon_trend_context1.5770637250321164SL2022-01-11 18:15:00+00:00-28.362749678836337-1010.0860362051098195False
462022-02-14 13:30:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.590351.5937421293936451.58586180590953261.58586180590953261.5858618059095326294795.713OVERLAP2.00.001576064696822470737.35309234966701639.3715145303710441.59244650508116181.5928648899270563-21.1083451347438False-0.000402679509632836929.783293932227323-18.5650508116186330.48571428571431835130ribbon_trend_context1.5858618059095326TP32022-02-14 17:00:00+00:0044.881942427149061323.1004083990533210True
472022-02-16 13:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.585961.5887011571518851.58244826427217291.58244826427217291.5824482642721729369630.833OVERLAP2.00.001250578575942419425.56736368941077652.327161634783681.58619915715571971.58802459057146143.443589421245896False-2.699863469640031e-0558.875043267567460.0084284428036873750.7924528301887135132ribbon_trend_context1.5824482642721729TP32022-02-16 18:15:00+00:0035.1173582283371741298.04582693476270True
482022-03-25 13:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.465891.46934174789745131.46131237815382291.46131237815382291.4613123781538229297297.683OVERLAP2.00.00160587394872565721.56137244785879852.838761280003911.4656942324776111.4683937743969133.615789340636333False1.458134738146859e-0578.961691041896474.3576752238894120.3680555555555004134ribbon_trend_context1.4613123781538229TP32022-03-25 17:00:00+00:0045.776220001514041360.916400561972195True
492022-04-19 13:15:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.46491.46185027224445441.46887459163331861.46887459163331861.4688745916333186340950.373OVERLAP2.00.00140486387777280525.55806149839797650.0910521274421751.46426009507900481.46365403687307840.9218648530562312False-6.644908940982742e-0531.5367388906346663.9990492099528650.5744680851063352131ribbon_trend_context1.4618502722444544SL2022-04-19 14:15:00+00:00-30.49727755545684-1039.805806652570560False
502022-05-11 13:00:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.51291.50705116503534061.52107325244698851.52107325244698851.5210732524469885176002.193OVERLAP2.00.00280441748232957753.7068116721152956.27400872827291.51105953755432231.511050234435132233.3259637498351False0.001333560306252755584.641498520919816.004624456775750.985507246376809132ribbon_trend_context1.5070511650353406SL2022-05-11 13:15:00+00:00-58.48834964659266-1029.407762728603515False
512022-05-25 14:00:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.509211.50504570974921511.5148564353761771.5148564353761771.514856435376177244726.863OVERLAP2.00.00196214512539240641.4896924056594146.5595061940818551.50933891782658751.5077934328822473-8.378040023926392False-0.0002085081968162855427.122930868787076-3.6891782658754480.8235294117647571142ribbon_trend_context1.51077TIME2022-05-26 05:00:00+00:0015.600000000000058381.7739016000014900True
522022-05-26 12:30:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.510881.50758784260076781.51521823609884821.51521823609884821.5152182360988482310717.653LONDON2.00.001526078699616048821.15773772447178754.662119487895511.50920285033538711.508290877777674510.731386922087083False0.0001310752745228171658.974655917329914.3714966461283570.49238578680203615123ribbon_trend_context1.5152182360988482TP32022-05-26 15:15:00+00:0043.382362384680821347.9665691616422165True
532022-06-01 08:15:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.494141.49732174357223611.4899673846416461.4899673846416461.489967384641646325736.843LONDON2.00.001470871786118015820.5302325942020354.332099059090921.49355891241134971.495641739938467810.791580802100853False-5.527113564671088e-0548.515040991473098.2108758865029330.793333333333436982ribbon_trend_context1.489967384641646TP32022-06-01 10:30:00+00:0041.7261548645185561359.1745830918906135True
542022-06-17 08:30:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.5021.49819018048412331.5071147292738151.5071147292738151.507114729273815275604.353LONDON2.00.001784909757938292737.0446782922628750.959142865863621.5002773712287731.4991178102630975-10.592788925769536False-9.0117971759694e-0510.5886907423977614.826287712270680.29126213592230584ribbon_trend_context1.507114729273815TP32022-06-17 13:15:00+00:0051.1472945939726741409.6416880830352285True
552022-06-27 08:15:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.52554000000000011.52248060370347621.52952909444478611.52952909444478611.5295290944447861347813.473LONDON2.00.001409698148262027529.38655824305443855.854306595412631.52377499657511261.523314527306584-2.779750553498772False1.5952790169506987e-0570.0118867612317615.2500342488748330.0921985815604210680ribbon_trend_context1.5295290944447861TP32022-06-27 16:15:00+00:0039.890945594766381387.4608208896907480True
562022-07-12 09:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.487871.49079890647922331.48407664028116541.48407664028116541.4840766402811654368046.533LONDON2.00.001344453239611580415.38205657318560241.8041517795036341.48974605213237691.4900021101899552-11.275263576615568False-9.24214012277673e-0530.00224693854778-16.3605213237683070.417721518987231591ribbon_trend_context1.4907989064792233SL2022-07-12 11:00:00+00:00-29.28906479223281-1077.973866372645775False
572022-07-12 13:30:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.487421.49072412504199941.48306381243700081.48306381243700081.4830638124370008322988.423OVERLAP2.00.001532062520999740421.03538097528152740.9163840448522151.48962368693004831.489934991412072-18.137487974243527False-0.0002385656634719062320.32667001874784-19.636869300483360.12403100775188862131ribbon_trend_context1.4830638124370008TP32022-07-12 21:15:00+00:0043.561876978704821406.9981817586242465True
582022-07-19 13:30:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.48481.48823816083643971.48024275874534041.48024275874534041.4802427587453404314489.13OVERLAP2.00.001599080418219853429.63176770618525448.116713758446641.48548491851925381.4857036462636968-7.839473966226862False-0.000295119994151325437.82543695944414-4.4491851925387850.5428571428571066131ribbon_trend_context1.4802427587453404TP32022-07-20 04:00:00+00:0045.5724139956886061433.2027462331512870True
592022-07-20 13:00:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.480591.48430691768873051.47561462346690451.47561462346690451.4756146234669045294759.323OVERLAP2.00.00173845884436515935.2138209781464956.637316214454421.48032540167095571.483079088267937219.95859179743764False0.000281914053704143287.170050195702365.0459832904437010.5980392156863051132ribbon_trend_context1.48006TIME2022-07-21 04:00:00+00:005.300000000001414156.2224396000417900True
602022-07-21 13:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.480671.4857110125593091.47370848116103641.47370848116103641.4737084811610364217646.423OVERLAP2.00.00240050627965453231.47390257545660245.488253794806561.48181707731717841.4815542212736048-23.041189601986645False-0.000594308708211993915.467596025009774-9.0707731717842850.768939393939392133ribbon_trend_context1.4737084811610364TP32022-07-22 01:15:00+00:0069.615191588180721515.1497226781648690True
612022-07-25 08:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.473031.47659938581543981.46827592127684041.46827592127684041.4682759212768404311625.03LONDON2.00.001664692907719870627.8492398516656940.003530767524551.47518983509309831.47561685798975156.378266440669744False-0.000340865343018252838.86978514317847-19.1983509309823220.606498194945858580ribbon_trend_context1.4682759212768404TP32022-07-25 15:15:00+00:0047.5407887571737361481.4898296454267390True
622022-08-01 13:00:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.459431.4626285566668741.4552321649996891.4552321649996891.455232164999689352385.423OVERLAP2.00.00147927833343700152.2735386571765660.377928187364231.45893601849004081.460381919402571830.69874875092804False0.000419906038770714180.808153552456187.3398150995918070.9327485380117094130ribbon_trend_context1.462628556666874SL2022-08-01 14:15:00+00:00-31.985566668739636-1127.12473445018275False
632022-09-13 13:15:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.475391.47120489973836021.48106765039245961.48106765039245961.4810676503924596266625.273OVERLAP2.00.001972550130819892733.74516117162757.147104177795051.4730022126007391.472992451711258315.353827758650684False0.0004009262174549286570.0621712099473821.4778739926102520.42971887550204096131ribbon_trend_context1.4810676503924596TP32022-09-13 18:45:00+00:0056.776506054045451513.8051256316505330True
642022-09-20 08:30:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.491981.48888738842074191.49601891736888741.49601891736888741.4960189173688874365707.63LONDON2.00.001426305789629125920.81187308817234848.314966172000061.49182096925974751.490765667957138-13.818290046985204False1.7707113415083367e-0568.94609080202767-0.80969259747432080.81914893617010181ribbon_trend_context1.4888873884207419SL2022-09-20 12:00:00+00:00-30.926115792582195-1130.9915583827333210False
652022-09-20 14:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.492551.48917808750914541.49700786873628221.49700786873628221.4970078687362822332061.33OVERLAP2.00.00156595624542737536.68111976537464655.8600033521228241.49126052558561881.490832886580324612.16551569826363False0.000398167963901882786.2593482078682910.4947441438119070.2256097560975684141ribbon_trend_context1.4891780875091454SL2022-09-20 19:15:00+00:00-33.71912490854667-1119.681645199439270False
662022-10-06 14:30:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.528681.5242603422580811.53470948661287881.53470948661287881.5347094866128788250807.843OVERLAP2.00.002089828870959583728.0785799897371557.8246086809822941.52511617216581571.525217202387340718.867023235020763False-1.9833372109258254e-0590.5212652879250833.2382783418427860.6144578313253157143ribbon_trend_context1.524260342258081SL2022-10-07 01:30:00+00:00-44.19657741919102-1108.4848117900076660False
672022-10-07 08:00:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.528481.52503906286233471.5330414057064981.5330414057064981.533041405706498318924.743LONDON2.00.001600468568832683522.45721954263763850.644700382828621.52762076673005651.526440373595531-4.4666666666648425False-1.789040373478953e-0730.8052434456931056.1923326994350880.877906976744043484ribbon_trend_context1.5250390628623347SL2022-10-07 10:00:00+00:00-34.40937137665356-1097.399981986268120False
682022-10-13 12:15:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.548681.54539457021546721.55300814467679921.55300814467679921.5530081446767992330680.013LONDON2.00.001522714892266377234.66197718791113455.490208989244321.54684563867115751.54580448537971739.354566692310051False0.000176083531238611153.4037558685436415.9436132884249740.55862068965509123ribbon_trend_context1.5530081446767992TP32022-10-13 12:30:00+00:0043.2814480768528541431.230968286818315True
692022-10-21 08:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.560631.55711991053563571.56529513419654621.56529513419654621.5652951341965462313592.663LONDON2.00.001635044732182122224.9865657412009251.809385047196521.55916893637040891.5585692360190913-10.163157578773063False4.6242769643727705e-0563.078024465327312.2106362959106820.774907749077490284ribbon_trend_context1.5571199105356357SL2022-10-21 13:00:00+00:00-35.10089464364263-1100.7382919679644255False
702022-10-21 13:00:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.560481.55561550428222571.56717674357666171.56717674357666171.5671767435766617224017.243OVERLAP2.00.00231224785888718134.8199193665482948.758167871818121.55988969524377421.5588617425944382-3.2602070978637876False0.0001178500703722511846.245685745531283.5030475622588320.37126600284495725134ribbon_trend_context1.5556155042822257SL2022-10-21 13:30:00+00:00-48.644957177743635-1089.73090468763230False
712022-11-14 09:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.543491.54675795409987531.5391880688501871.5391880688501871.539188068850187330125.073LONDON2.00.001513977049937629216.9059437556930551.739806504202181.54334876201134461.5448069874633297.534139662153105False-4.6226294270883175e-0546.728145841711663.81237988655414030.908108108108221690ribbon_trend_context1.539188068850187TP32022-11-14 12:30:00+00:0043.019312801250831420.1753649864825165True
722022-11-14 12:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.543471.54693136173634141.53887795739548781.53887795739548781.5388779573954878315781.893LONDON2.00.001610680868170726526.68790113712204755.698540437841981.54273785314907631.544468266055324412.58800566890761False-1.8639283626077576e-0556.483044095243419.7214685092361640.926829268292666120ribbon_trend_context1.5388779573954878TP32022-11-14 15:30:00+00:0045.920427499302451450.0839385337702165True
732022-11-15 08:00:00+00:004EUR_AUDSHORT1.54112999999999991.54453188223916871.53662717664124671.53662717664124671.5366271766412467325565.73LONDON2.00.001580941119584390339.7300648961251857.109790508793111.5402728446737331.542410569122445.666666666666043False9.443144217327723e-0571.9409033813486610.9715532626686320.743749999999976281ribbon_trend_context1.5445318822391687SL2022-11-15 11:30:00+00:00-34.01882239168818-1107.5361725125638210False
742022-11-21 09:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.547311.54390190719143081.55182213921285351.55182213921285351.5518221392128535321722.73LONDON2.00.001584046404284541628.40713264702891651.4135659248517741.54693127379764481.54637268270922974.226201059529533False0.0002602791681879548662.664887430217051.38726202355110570.891752577319568190ribbon_trend_context1.5518221392128535TP32022-11-21 15:30:00+00:0045.1213935310286441451.6576554565072345True
752022-11-22 14:45:00+00:004EUR_AUDLONG1.549521.54625025246511271.55382462130233081.55382462130233081.5538246213023308339774.673OVERLAP2.00.001514873767443635234.6932114032943759.3156592488391041.54828355556937461.54829957503238117.32247164133449False0.0004726463972565625782.356646160095049.9644443062540940.42600896860983467141ribbon_trend_context1.5538246213023308TP32022-11-23 04:00:00+00:0043.046214290212511462.601325520624795True
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