Files
fx-quant/results/phase2/regime_analysis.json
Brent Neale ad58e3be0c Update regime analysis for 4-strategy portfolio
S7: UP (1.26->1.80), S9F: UP (0.58->2.26), S3: STABLE (1.16->1.23),
S8_OB: UP (0.66->1.59). Three of four strategies show improving edge.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-21 00:38:30 +10:00

154 lines
3.0 KiB
JSON

{
"S7_Tight_GBP_JPY": {
"pair": "GBP_JPY",
"timeframe": "H1",
"years": {
"2021": {
"trades": 12,
"wr": 66.7,
"pf": 1.26,
"pnl_pips": 44.0,
"max_dd_pips": -76.0,
"expectancy": 3.66
},
"2022": {
"trades": 11,
"wr": 72.7,
"pf": 1.71,
"pnl_pips": 163.2,
"max_dd_pips": -205.7,
"expectancy": 14.84
},
"2023": {
"trades": 15,
"wr": 73.3,
"pf": 1.8,
"pnl_pips": 200.1,
"max_dd_pips": -73.5,
"expectancy": 13.34
}
},
"full": {
"trades": 38,
"wr": 71.1,
"pf": 1.63,
"pnl_pips": 407.2,
"max_dd_pips": -310.7,
"expectancy": 10.72
}
},
"S9_Filtered_GBP_AUD": {
"pair": "GBP_AUD",
"timeframe": "H1",
"years": {
"2021": {
"trades": 21,
"wr": 42.9,
"pf": 0.58,
"pnl_pips": -285.3,
"max_dd_pips": -374.2,
"expectancy": -13.59
},
"2022": {
"trades": 21,
"wr": 76.2,
"pf": 3.11,
"pnl_pips": 584.8,
"max_dd_pips": -73.2,
"expectancy": 27.85
},
"2023": {
"trades": 9,
"wr": 66.7,
"pf": 2.26,
"pnl_pips": 217.8,
"max_dd_pips": -49.6,
"expectancy": 24.19
}
},
"full": {
"trades": 51,
"wr": 60.8,
"pf": 1.46,
"pnl_pips": 517.2,
"max_dd_pips": -393.2,
"expectancy": 10.14
}
},
"S3_GBP_JPY": {
"pair": "GBP_JPY",
"timeframe": "H1",
"years": {
"2021": {
"trades": 46,
"wr": 54.3,
"pf": 1.16,
"pnl_pips": 101.1,
"max_dd_pips": -184.1,
"expectancy": 2.2
},
"2022": {
"trades": 38,
"wr": 52.6,
"pf": 1.27,
"pnl_pips": 262.1,
"max_dd_pips": -335.7,
"expectancy": 6.9
},
"2023": {
"trades": 32,
"wr": 59.4,
"pf": 1.23,
"pnl_pips": 135.5,
"max_dd_pips": -182.9,
"expectancy": 4.24
}
},
"full": {
"trades": 116,
"wr": 55.2,
"pf": 1.23,
"pnl_pips": 494.7,
"max_dd_pips": -335.7,
"expectancy": 4.26
}
},
"S8_OB_GBP_USD": {
"pair": "GBP_USD",
"timeframe": "M15",
"years": {
"2021": {
"trades": 31,
"wr": 29.0,
"pf": 0.66,
"pnl_pips": -99.2,
"max_dd_pips": -164.1,
"expectancy": -3.2
},
"2022": {
"trades": 36,
"wr": 44.4,
"pf": 2.15,
"pnl_pips": 322.6,
"max_dd_pips": -76.7,
"expectancy": 8.96
},
"2023": {
"trades": 17,
"wr": 52.9,
"pf": 1.59,
"pnl_pips": 89.6,
"max_dd_pips": -40.6,
"expectancy": 5.27
}
},
"full": {
"trades": 84,
"wr": 40.5,
"pf": 1.43,
"pnl_pips": 313.0,
"max_dd_pips": -164.1,
"expectancy": 3.73
}
}
}