Files
Brent Neale edbe359d1b Phase 1 complete: S3-S6 strategies, S4 variant analysis, learnings doc
- S3 Key Level Breakout: best performer (52-53% WR, PF ~1.0 on JPY crosses)
- S4 EMA Ribbon: tested 7 variants (D/E/F/F-v2/G/G-Minimal), exhausted
  - Only EUR_AUD S4-F marginally profitable (PF 1.06)
  - Detailed filter funnel analysis revealed contradictory filter stacking
- S5 Momentum Exhaustion: extended to 5 pairs, PF 0.43-0.77
- S6 EMA Bounce: 59-60% WR but PF 0.83-0.84, needs SL/TP restructuring
- Added STRATEGY_LEARNINGS.md with design principles and next steps
- Added M5 data downloader for 3-timeframe strategies
- Updated README with full strategy scorecard

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-18 20:42:16 +10:00

141 lines
3.5 KiB
JSON

{
"S4_GBP_AUD": {
"pair": "GBP_AUD",
"strategy_id": 4,
"strategy_name": "S4_EMA_Ribbon_Scalp",
"total_trades": 571,
"win_rate_pct": 38.0,
"avg_rr": 1.13,
"expectancy_pips": -4.75,
"sharpe_ratio": -3.25,
"max_drawdown_pct": -70.26,
"profit_factor": 0.63,
"total_pnl_pips": -2713.91,
"total_pnl_dollars": -70126.02,
"avg_win_pips": 28.22,
"avg_loss_pips": 24.97,
"max_consecutive_wins": 6,
"max_consecutive_losses": 12,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 265.5,
"best_trade_pips": 97.29,
"worst_trade_pips": -83.64,
"best_trade_dollars": 2227.85,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1000.0,
"final_equity": 29873.98,
"starting_equity": 100000.0,
"session_breakdown": {
"LONDON": {
"trades": 388,
"win_rate": 37.88659793814433,
"total_pnl_pips": -1695.5452153584915
},
"OVERLAP": {
"trades": 183,
"win_rate": 38.25136612021858,
"total_pnl_pips": -1018.3638497348865
}
},
"exit_reasons": {
"SL": 353,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 64,
"TP1+SL": 84,
"TP3": 51,
"TP1+TIME": 5,
"TIME": 7,
"TP1+TP2+TIME": 7
}
},
"S4_EUR_AUD": {
"pair": "EUR_AUD",
"strategy_id": 4,
"strategy_name": "S4_EMA_Ribbon_Scalp",
"total_trades": 531,
"win_rate_pct": 39.74,
"avg_rr": 1.14,
"expectancy_pips": -3.24,
"sharpe_ratio": -2.21,
"max_drawdown_pct": -60.51,
"profit_factor": 0.74,
"total_pnl_pips": -1721.5,
"total_pnl_dollars": -57192.16,
"avg_win_pips": 24.67,
"avg_loss_pips": 21.65,
"max_consecutive_wins": 5,
"max_consecutive_losses": 13,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 276.4,
"best_trade_pips": 86.03,
"worst_trade_pips": -44.06,
"best_trade_dollars": 1812.98,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1062.74,
"final_equity": 42807.84,
"starting_equity": 100000.0,
"session_breakdown": {
"LONDON": {
"trades": 329,
"win_rate": 41.03343465045592,
"total_pnl_pips": -1070.278089009583
},
"OVERLAP": {
"trades": 202,
"win_rate": 37.62376237623762,
"total_pnl_pips": -651.2189908399273
}
},
"exit_reasons": {
"TP1+TP2+SL": 80,
"TP1+TP2+TIME": 9,
"SL": 319,
"TP1+SL": 67,
"TP3": 50,
"TP1+TIME": 3,
"TIME": 2,
"TP1+TP2+END": 1
}
},
"S4_GBP_JPY": {
"pair": "GBP_JPY",
"strategy_id": 4,
"strategy_name": "S4_EMA_Ribbon_Scalp",
"total_trades": 500,
"win_rate_pct": 42.4,
"avg_rr": 1.18,
"expectancy_pips": -1.9,
"sharpe_ratio": -1.69,
"max_drawdown_pct": -47.49,
"profit_factor": 0.79,
"total_pnl_pips": -949.03,
"total_pnl_dollars": -41679.0,
"avg_win_pips": 29.68,
"avg_loss_pips": 25.14,
"max_consecutive_wins": 9,
"max_consecutive_losses": 10,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 298.9,
"best_trade_pips": 153.57,
"worst_trade_pips": -102.66,
"best_trade_dollars": 2100.21,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1010.43,
"final_equity": 58321.0,
"starting_equity": 100000.0,
"session_breakdown": {
"LONDON": {
"trades": 335,
"win_rate": 40.8955223880597,
"total_pnl_pips": -865.0529088630541
},
"OVERLAP": {
"trades": 165,
"win_rate": 45.45454545454545,
"total_pnl_pips": -83.98119338088975
}
},
"exit_reasons": {
"SL": 281,
"TP1+SL": 75,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 66,
"TP1+TIME": 4,
"TP3": 55,
"TP1+TP2+TIME": 9,
"TIME": 10
}
}
}