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Brent NealeandClaude Opus 4.6 8df1bac3a4 Add 2025 forward validation: only S3 survives out of 4 strategies
Downloaded 2025 data (Oct 2024-Dec 2025) for GBP_JPY H1, GBP_AUD H1,
GBP_USD M15+H1 via Dukascopy. Ran all 4 Phase 2 passing strategies on
2025 data. Results: S7_Tight PF=0.52 FAIL, S9_Filtered PF=0.74 FAIL,
S3 PF=1.05 PASS (+52p), S8_OB PF=0.84 FAIL. Portfolio PF=0.83 (-373p).
Only S3 (Key Level Breakout) maintained edge into 2025.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-21 12:00:22 +10:00

9.3 KiB

1timestampstrategy_idpairsignal_directionentry_pricesl_pricetp1_pricetp2_pricetp3_pricelot_sizeconfluence_scoresessionspread_at_entryatr_at_entryadx_at_entryrsi_at_entryema_50_valueema_200_valuevwap_deviationnews_within_60minmacd_hist_at_entrystoch_k_at_entrydistance_from_ema50_pipscandle_body_ratiohour_of_dayday_of_weekentry_patternexit_priceexit_reasonexit_timepnl_pipspnl_dollarshold_time_minuteswin
22025-01-17 11:30:00+00:008GBP_USDSHORT1.22071.22179987880566571.21895747462889631.21799121194334431.2179912119433443897661.165LONDON1.50.000966262685551899720.8450113086458353.9672903133446061.22095481757273561.22170578813692914.408661075588913False0.0003783355715400908588.21294508794394-0.64817572735575980.8987341772150974114order_block_retest_short1.2179912119433443TP32025-01-17 13:15:00+00:0022.2565674405570631997.8856146308688105True
32025-01-17 15:15:00+00:008GBP_USDSHORT1.22050999999999981.22195723507625531.21771843282496441.21622764923744661.2162276492374466696015.015OVERLAP1.50.001490783587517717538.6663644485009855.42466276203621.22005781936530821.221318086311582214.479532997535571False0.0003235912601924728582.136313226288016.4218063469168030.718750000000112154order_block_retest_short1.2162276492374466TP32025-01-17 21:45:00+00:0035.369590303209472461.7765748584243390True
42025-02-13 09:30:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.24897000000000011.2483986245622271.2508558362518211.25189375437773131.25189375437773131806019.374LONDON1.50.001037918125910438635.0935288256899952.0857642017055941.24750871327335041.244357699182562.7325698144498034False-0.0003212383177686852352.9695831526234712.7128672664955640.769230769230681793order_block_retest_long1.248398624562227SL2025-02-13 11:45:00+00:00-5.713754377731917-1031.915108160614135False
52025-02-13 15:00:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.250581.24832126965816781.2529815356122141.2542773034183211.254277303418321452287.75OVERLAP1.50.00129576780610702939.0571651719515862.963429029757451.24771755330342771.245073270165739223.75098904269679False0.0002301781165442414885.4433188461765126.7244669657218380.7571428571428447153order_block_retest_long1.25058TP1+SL2025-02-13 18:30:00+00:0012.007678061070058543.0925092581837210True
62025-02-18 11:00:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.26054000000000021.25938862773584951.26195914842767041.26276372264150541.2627637226415054892002.455LONDON1.50.000804574213835129730.60720804893515348.957316319957421.2606061953752661.2590680755001311-2.2740659569375765False-0.0001334663311300212430.73067283593535-2.56195375265999560.8829787234044262111order_block_retest_long1.2593886277358495SL2025-02-18 12:15:00+00:00-11.513722641507407-1027.026880484507775False
72025-02-18 13:30:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.25983000000000021.25940426807507461.26114487949950371.26189731924925551.26189731924925552388255.55OVERLAP1.50.000752439749751829524.99657434574093546.7853565873968341.26023524637405321.2591098426653864-4.691727773975529False-5.292202501422491e-0562.63449326409103-5.95246374053060.6521739130437021131order_block_retest_long1.2594042680750746SL2025-02-18 13:45:00+00:00-4.2573192492567635-1016.756611229333715False
82025-02-18 14:00:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.26051000000000021.25938170053412041.26197532977253141.2628029946587971.262802994658797892129.335OVERLAP1.50.000827664886265625621.23154123451511753.740095022569321.26019956422303011.2591227721935592.651101806887546False3.812354488079634e-0582.442741409225721.20435776969962660.730263157894756141order_block_retest_long1.2605100000000002TP1+SL2025-02-18 16:45:00+00:007.326648862655549653.6318340986157165True
92025-03-28 09:15:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.29491000000000021.29389948358494241.29619010943371671.2969251641505751.2969251641505751002581.85LONDON1.50.000735054716858339924.96100292452014550.099060094697861.29461571754832931.2933809042338165-1.5100220579311596False-1.7796324347916882e-0531.0758377425072751.04282451670822950.1842105263158586694order_block_retest_long1.2938994835849424SL2025-03-28 10:45:00+00:00-10.105164150577828-1013.12536633817990False
102025-03-28 16:15:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.29473000000000021.29380322114574261.29665185902838131.29770778854257181.29770778854257181082236.725OVERLAP1.50.001055929514190634529.80688942510983748.878589708040481.29460345769572661.2936569539321616-2.1709510945577826False-8.893257477541881e-0528.903654485050524-0.63457695726576450.676470588235467164order_block_retest_long1.2938032211457426SL2025-03-28 17:00:00+00:00-9.26778854257515-1002.994107397011145False
112025-04-29 08:15:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.34259000000000021.34172779123027591.34441472513149531.3454220876972431.3454220876972431151651.675LONDON1.50.00100736256574763523.44887955785099755.982789694772111.34131457373521261.33689851130989526.225963849175731False0.0001883221209602302780.6548007330785710.8542626478747020.898305084745845681order_block_retest_long1.3417277912302759SL2025-04-29 08:30:00+00:00-8.622087697243153-992.964169541653115False
122025-09-23 11:00:00+00:008GBP_USDSHORT1.35106999999999981.3523481095697721.34933926953485341.348378904302281.34837890430228769131.655LONDON1.50.000960365232573260318.52714060952266852.509954057762541.35096595635338511.35114264108678045.125306603559476False1.7955590843987803e-0547.397166277218592.94043646614783330.21212121212106938111order_block_retest_short1.352348109569772SL2025-09-23 12:45:00+00:00-12.781095697722566-983.0345222797259105False
132025-09-23 13:30:00+00:008GBP_USDSHORT1.351441.35233043221050391.34982711859664061.3489256778949611.3489256778949611092957.075OVERLAP1.50.000901440701679705528.62108520435660451.854248804489761.35124528158550941.35120359441979894.245638161839427False0.0001240236985418254746.12415203886573.84718414490725640.6220472440943161131order_block_retest_short1.3523304322105039SL2025-09-23 14:15:00+00:00-8.904322105038887-973.204179825953545False
142025-09-23 15:15:00+00:008GBP_USDSHORT1.35121.3523525188438871.34943987437408721.34846481156113061.3484648115611306835970.835OVERLAP1.50.000975062812956504714.53179254477966448.101192977195651.35139836824222971.351248689260827-0.15546186224124625False-1.858984620550013e-0560.35129740519671-0.083682422296060820.9499999999996808151order_block_retest_short1.352352518843887SL2025-09-23 16:45:00+00:00-11.525188438870071-963.472134514861890False
152025-11-07 11:30:00+00:008GBP_USDSHORT1.311341.3126776899345051.31021206710330061.3095531006549511.309553100654951713048.215LONDON1.50.000658966448349706328.94720036930381555.4053004745632051.31133550091770951.3095934766402567.658962541503556False0.0001731843820883096778.92085584848411.9449908229063340.09638554216878428114order_block_retest_short1.312677689934505SL2025-11-07 12:00:00+00:00-13.37689934505004-953.837413333810430False
162025-11-07 12:15:00+00:008GBP_USDSHORT1.312221.31268243104449981.3110604597033351.31038568955500281.31038568955500282042032.125LONDON1.50.000674770148332463640.3293837098481461.991246655008261.3114519594082791.30967527969145713.231795975916505False0.000305331441975147586.544098723777039.5804059172110990.6046511627906256124order_block_retest_short1.31222TP1+SL2025-11-07 13:00:00+00:005.7977014833243691183.909265112000645True
172025-11-18 14:15:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.31568000000000021.31474936203566341.31722758642891141.3180963796433671.3180963796433671027400.745OVERLAP1.50.000868793214455638920.16941453530731554.058511744713171.31522668543536651.31562211208461523.501596141906038False0.0001257435210401818671.74610816883612.6331456463357660.7037037037038103141order_block_retest_long1.3147493620356634SL2025-11-18 15:45:00+00:00-9.30637964336789-956.138133231710690False
182025-11-26 12:15:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.31552000000000021.31475972283122421.31859851445850551.3202327716877581.3202327716877581245041.674LONDON1.50.001634257229252661445.73462965017030543.125625986347481.31735167110000951.3148759397381775-14.286202300348716False-0.0001986287718654704732.159064877289765-20.2167110000939230.6917293233082669122order_block_retest_long1.3147597228312242SL2025-11-26 12:30:00+00:00-7.602771687760246-946.576755875773415False
192025-12-04 13:15:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.33391.3329284030325271.33532064644981971.33612596967472991.3361259696747299964505.885OVERLAP1.50.000805323224909933132.1538595001344841.3320271179448541.33420782711047361.3298869918749696-9.59350743660714False-0.0001853572817760977719.911912384751183-4.9782711047363650.20833333333344897133order_block_retest_long1.332928403032527SL2025-12-04 13:30:00+00:00-9.715969674730651-937.110988117940115False
202025-12-04 13:30:00+00:008GBP_USDLONG1.33364000000000021.33290623138734651.335208457417691.3360876861265351.3360876861265351264349.365OVERLAP1.50.000879228708844942436.1284451964116739.3192605943222661.33417810840025891.329922444692134-10.96753521290239False-0.0002388625540629338318.124639588484566-7.2810840025883120.15760869565211488133order_block_retest_long1.336087686126535TP32025-12-04 14:15:00+00:0020.0807179147151762538.90428438106745True