Phase 1 complete: S3-S6 strategies, S4 variant analysis, learnings doc

- S3 Key Level Breakout: best performer (52-53% WR, PF ~1.0 on JPY crosses)
- S4 EMA Ribbon: tested 7 variants (D/E/F/F-v2/G/G-Minimal), exhausted
  - Only EUR_AUD S4-F marginally profitable (PF 1.06)
  - Detailed filter funnel analysis revealed contradictory filter stacking
- S5 Momentum Exhaustion: extended to 5 pairs, PF 0.43-0.77
- S6 EMA Bounce: 59-60% WR but PF 0.83-0.84, needs SL/TP restructuring
- Added STRATEGY_LEARNINGS.md with design principles and next steps
- Added M5 data downloader for 3-timeframe strategies
- Updated README with full strategy scorecard

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Brent Neale
2026-02-18 20:42:16 +10:00
co-authored by Claude Opus 4.6
parent dce54845c2
commit edbe359d1b
88 changed files with 12570 additions and 2963 deletions
+28 -28
View File
@@ -2,42 +2,42 @@
"pair": "EUR_AUD",
"strategy_id": 5,
"strategy_name": "S5_Momentum_Exhaustion",
"total_trades": 284,
"win_rate_pct": 31.34,
"avg_rr": 1.54,
"expectancy_pips": -2.48,
"sharpe_ratio": -3.15,
"max_drawdown_pct": -48.68,
"profit_factor": 0.65,
"total_pnl_pips": -704.74,
"total_pnl_dollars": -47670.21,
"avg_win_pips": 18.64,
"avg_loss_pips": 12.12,
"max_consecutive_wins": 5,
"total_trades": 680,
"win_rate_pct": 47.65,
"avg_rr": 0.77,
"expectancy_pips": -3.51,
"sharpe_ratio": -2.72,
"max_drawdown_pct": -68.29,
"profit_factor": 0.68,
"total_pnl_pips": -2384.67,
"total_pnl_dollars": -67383.67,
"avg_win_pips": 17.33,
"avg_loss_pips": 22.47,
"max_consecutive_wins": 9,
"max_consecutive_losses": 9,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 129.8,
"best_trade_pips": 78.7,
"worst_trade_pips": -28.46,
"best_trade_dollars": 2740.9,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1007.73,
"final_equity": 52329.79,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 202.8,
"best_trade_pips": 78.23,
"worst_trade_pips": -49.08,
"best_trade_dollars": 1199.92,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1013.3,
"final_equity": 32616.33,
"starting_equity": 100000.0,
"session_breakdown": {
"LONDON": {
"trades": 160,
"win_rate": 31.874999999999996,
"total_pnl_pips": -393.9153103944255
"trades": 459,
"win_rate": 46.84095860566449,
"total_pnl_pips": -1784.298599856944
},
"OVERLAP": {
"trades": 124,
"win_rate": 30.64516129032258,
"total_pnl_pips": -310.82703073516905
"trades": 221,
"win_rate": 49.321266968325794,
"total_pnl_pips": -600.3694128375001
}
},
"exit_reasons": {
"SL": 195,
"TP1+SL": 36,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 37,
"TP3": 16
"SL": 356,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 107,
"TP1+SL": 148,
"TP3": 69
}
}