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Phase 1 complete: S3-S6 strategies, S4 variant analysis, learnings doc
- S3 Key Level Breakout: best performer (52-53% WR, PF ~1.0 on JPY crosses) - S4 EMA Ribbon: tested 7 variants (D/E/F/F-v2/G/G-Minimal), exhausted - Only EUR_AUD S4-F marginally profitable (PF 1.06) - Detailed filter funnel analysis revealed contradictory filter stacking - S5 Momentum Exhaustion: extended to 5 pairs, PF 0.43-0.77 - S6 EMA Bounce: 59-60% WR but PF 0.83-0.84, needs SL/TP restructuring - Added STRATEGY_LEARNINGS.md with design principles and next steps - Added M5 data downloader for 3-timeframe strategies - Updated README with full strategy scorecard Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
co-authored by
Claude Opus 4.6
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"pair": "GBP_AUD",
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"strategy_id": 4,
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"strategy_name": "S4_EMA_Ribbon_Scalp",
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"total_trades": 79,
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"win_rate_pct": 34.18,
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"avg_rr": 1.25,
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"expectancy_pips": -2.46,
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"sharpe_ratio": -4.02,
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"max_drawdown_pct": -21.21,
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"profit_factor": 0.59,
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"total_pnl_pips": -194.5,
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"total_pnl_dollars": -19363.47,
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"avg_win_pips": 13.23,
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"avg_loss_pips": 10.61,
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"max_consecutive_wins": 4,
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"max_consecutive_losses": 10,
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"avg_hold_time_minutes": 36.8,
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"best_trade_pips": 30.01,
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"worst_trade_pips": -20.79,
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"best_trade_dollars": 2060.18,
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"worst_trade_dollars": -1017.88,
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"final_equity": 80636.53,
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"total_trades": 571,
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"win_rate_pct": 38.0,
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"avg_rr": 1.13,
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"expectancy_pips": -4.75,
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"sharpe_ratio": -3.25,
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"max_drawdown_pct": -70.26,
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"profit_factor": 0.63,
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"total_pnl_pips": -2713.91,
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"total_pnl_dollars": -70126.02,
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"avg_win_pips": 28.22,
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"avg_loss_pips": 24.97,
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"max_consecutive_wins": 6,
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"max_consecutive_losses": 12,
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"avg_hold_time_minutes": 265.5,
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"best_trade_pips": 97.29,
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"worst_trade_pips": -83.64,
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"best_trade_dollars": 2227.85,
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"worst_trade_dollars": -1000.0,
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"final_equity": 29873.98,
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"starting_equity": 100000.0,
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"session_breakdown": {
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"LONDON": {
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"trades": 41,
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"win_rate": 26.82926829268293,
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"total_pnl_pips": -178.7168295102963
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"trades": 388,
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"win_rate": 37.88659793814433,
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"total_pnl_pips": -1695.5452153584915
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},
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"OVERLAP": {
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"trades": 38,
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"win_rate": 42.10526315789473,
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"total_pnl_pips": -15.785910522057456
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"trades": 183,
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"win_rate": 38.25136612021858,
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"total_pnl_pips": -1018.3638497348865
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}
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},
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"exit_reasons": {
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"SL": 52,
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"TP1+TP2+SL": 11,
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"TP1+SL": 12,
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"TP3": 4
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"SL": 353,
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"TP1+TP2+SL": 64,
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"TP1+SL": 84,
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"TP3": 51,
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"TP1+TIME": 5,
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"TIME": 7,
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"TP1+TP2+TIME": 7
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}
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}
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