Phase 1 complete: S3-S6 strategies, S4 variant analysis, learnings doc

- S3 Key Level Breakout: best performer (52-53% WR, PF ~1.0 on JPY crosses)
- S4 EMA Ribbon: tested 7 variants (D/E/F/F-v2/G/G-Minimal), exhausted
  - Only EUR_AUD S4-F marginally profitable (PF 1.06)
  - Detailed filter funnel analysis revealed contradictory filter stacking
- S5 Momentum Exhaustion: extended to 5 pairs, PF 0.43-0.77
- S6 EMA Bounce: 59-60% WR but PF 0.83-0.84, needs SL/TP restructuring
- Added STRATEGY_LEARNINGS.md with design principles and next steps
- Added M5 data downloader for 3-timeframe strategies
- Updated README with full strategy scorecard

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Brent Neale
2026-02-18 20:42:16 +10:00
co-authored by Claude Opus 4.6
parent dce54845c2
commit edbe359d1b
88 changed files with 12570 additions and 2963 deletions
+32 -29
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@@ -2,42 +2,45 @@
"pair": "GBP_AUD",
"strategy_id": 4,
"strategy_name": "S4_EMA_Ribbon_Scalp",
"total_trades": 79,
"win_rate_pct": 34.18,
"avg_rr": 1.25,
"expectancy_pips": -2.46,
"sharpe_ratio": -4.02,
"max_drawdown_pct": -21.21,
"profit_factor": 0.59,
"total_pnl_pips": -194.5,
"total_pnl_dollars": -19363.47,
"avg_win_pips": 13.23,
"avg_loss_pips": 10.61,
"max_consecutive_wins": 4,
"max_consecutive_losses": 10,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 36.8,
"best_trade_pips": 30.01,
"worst_trade_pips": -20.79,
"best_trade_dollars": 2060.18,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1017.88,
"final_equity": 80636.53,
"total_trades": 571,
"win_rate_pct": 38.0,
"avg_rr": 1.13,
"expectancy_pips": -4.75,
"sharpe_ratio": -3.25,
"max_drawdown_pct": -70.26,
"profit_factor": 0.63,
"total_pnl_pips": -2713.91,
"total_pnl_dollars": -70126.02,
"avg_win_pips": 28.22,
"avg_loss_pips": 24.97,
"max_consecutive_wins": 6,
"max_consecutive_losses": 12,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 265.5,
"best_trade_pips": 97.29,
"worst_trade_pips": -83.64,
"best_trade_dollars": 2227.85,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1000.0,
"final_equity": 29873.98,
"starting_equity": 100000.0,
"session_breakdown": {
"LONDON": {
"trades": 41,
"win_rate": 26.82926829268293,
"total_pnl_pips": -178.7168295102963
"trades": 388,
"win_rate": 37.88659793814433,
"total_pnl_pips": -1695.5452153584915
},
"OVERLAP": {
"trades": 38,
"win_rate": 42.10526315789473,
"total_pnl_pips": -15.785910522057456
"trades": 183,
"win_rate": 38.25136612021858,
"total_pnl_pips": -1018.3638497348865
}
},
"exit_reasons": {
"SL": 52,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 11,
"TP1+SL": 12,
"TP3": 4
"SL": 353,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 64,
"TP1+SL": 84,
"TP3": 51,
"TP1+TIME": 5,
"TIME": 7,
"TP1+TP2+TIME": 7
}
}