Phase 1 complete: S3-S6 strategies, S4 variant analysis, learnings doc

- S3 Key Level Breakout: best performer (52-53% WR, PF ~1.0 on JPY crosses)
- S4 EMA Ribbon: tested 7 variants (D/E/F/F-v2/G/G-Minimal), exhausted
  - Only EUR_AUD S4-F marginally profitable (PF 1.06)
  - Detailed filter funnel analysis revealed contradictory filter stacking
- S5 Momentum Exhaustion: extended to 5 pairs, PF 0.43-0.77
- S6 EMA Bounce: 59-60% WR but PF 0.83-0.84, needs SL/TP restructuring
- Added STRATEGY_LEARNINGS.md with design principles and next steps
- Added M5 data downloader for 3-timeframe strategies
- Updated README with full strategy scorecard

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Brent Neale
2026-02-18 20:42:16 +10:00
co-authored by Claude Opus 4.6
parent dce54845c2
commit edbe359d1b
88 changed files with 12570 additions and 2963 deletions
+33 -29
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@@ -2,42 +2,46 @@
"pair": "EUR_AUD",
"strategy_id": 4,
"strategy_name": "S4_EMA_Ribbon_Scalp",
"total_trades": 64,
"win_rate_pct": 39.06,
"avg_rr": 1.57,
"expectancy_pips": 0.03,
"sharpe_ratio": -1.44,
"max_drawdown_pct": -10.14,
"profit_factor": 0.82,
"total_pnl_pips": 2.01,
"total_pnl_dollars": -6615.42,
"avg_win_pips": 12.59,
"avg_loss_pips": 8.02,
"max_consecutive_wins": 3,
"max_consecutive_losses": 5,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 46.2,
"best_trade_pips": 36.66,
"worst_trade_pips": -14.72,
"best_trade_dollars": 2401.09,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1017.5,
"final_equity": 93384.58,
"total_trades": 531,
"win_rate_pct": 39.74,
"avg_rr": 1.14,
"expectancy_pips": -3.24,
"sharpe_ratio": -2.21,
"max_drawdown_pct": -60.51,
"profit_factor": 0.74,
"total_pnl_pips": -1721.5,
"total_pnl_dollars": -57192.16,
"avg_win_pips": 24.67,
"avg_loss_pips": 21.65,
"max_consecutive_wins": 5,
"max_consecutive_losses": 13,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 276.4,
"best_trade_pips": 86.03,
"worst_trade_pips": -44.06,
"best_trade_dollars": 1812.98,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1062.74,
"final_equity": 42807.84,
"starting_equity": 100000.0,
"session_breakdown": {
"LONDON": {
"trades": 36,
"win_rate": 33.33333333333333,
"total_pnl_pips": -37.71266692845352
"trades": 329,
"win_rate": 41.03343465045592,
"total_pnl_pips": -1070.278089009583
},
"OVERLAP": {
"trades": 28,
"win_rate": 46.42857142857143,
"total_pnl_pips": 39.72751125460139
"trades": 202,
"win_rate": 37.62376237623762,
"total_pnl_pips": -651.2189908399273
}
},
"exit_reasons": {
"TP1+SL": 9,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 9,
"SL": 39,
"TP3": 7
"TP1+TP2+SL": 80,
"TP1+TP2+TIME": 9,
"SL": 319,
"TP1+SL": 67,
"TP3": 50,
"TP1+TIME": 3,
"TIME": 2,
"TP1+TP2+END": 1
}
}