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Phase 1 complete: S3-S6 strategies, S4 variant analysis, learnings doc
- S3 Key Level Breakout: best performer (52-53% WR, PF ~1.0 on JPY crosses) - S4 EMA Ribbon: tested 7 variants (D/E/F/F-v2/G/G-Minimal), exhausted - Only EUR_AUD S4-F marginally profitable (PF 1.06) - Detailed filter funnel analysis revealed contradictory filter stacking - S5 Momentum Exhaustion: extended to 5 pairs, PF 0.43-0.77 - S6 EMA Bounce: 59-60% WR but PF 0.83-0.84, needs SL/TP restructuring - Added STRATEGY_LEARNINGS.md with design principles and next steps - Added M5 data downloader for 3-timeframe strategies - Updated README with full strategy scorecard Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
co-authored by
Claude Opus 4.6
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{
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"pair": "GBP_AUD",
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"strategy_id": 1,
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"strategy_name": "S1_MA_Breakout_Retest",
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"total_trades": 122,
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"win_rate_pct": 39.34,
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"avg_rr": 1.36,
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"expectancy_pips": -1.19,
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"sharpe_ratio": -1.55,
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"max_drawdown_pct": -17.01,
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"profit_factor": 0.81,
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"total_pnl_pips": -145.24,
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"total_pnl_dollars": -12339.87,
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"avg_win_pips": 22.33,
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"avg_loss_pips": 16.45,
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"max_consecutive_wins": 4,
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"max_consecutive_losses": 9,
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"avg_hold_time_minutes": 237.3,
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"best_trade_pips": 44.83,
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"worst_trade_pips": -26.92,
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"best_trade_dollars": 2242.77,
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"worst_trade_dollars": -1000.0,
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"final_equity": 87660.13,
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"strategy_name": "S1_Trendline_Breakout_Retest",
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"total_trades": 34,
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"win_rate_pct": 35.29,
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"avg_rr": 0.9,
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"expectancy_pips": -5.66,
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"sharpe_ratio": -6.23,
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"max_drawdown_pct": -15.94,
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"profit_factor": 0.4,
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"total_pnl_pips": -192.44,
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"total_pnl_dollars": -12502.09,
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"avg_win_pips": 15.51,
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"avg_loss_pips": 17.21,
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"max_consecutive_wins": 3,
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"max_consecutive_losses": 7,
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"avg_hold_time_minutes": 114.3,
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"best_trade_pips": 52.77,
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"worst_trade_pips": -42.38,
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"best_trade_dollars": 3239.32,
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"worst_trade_dollars": -1022.39,
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"final_equity": 87497.91,
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"starting_equity": 100000.0,
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"session_breakdown": {
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"LONDON": {
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"trades": 58,
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"win_rate": 41.37931034482759,
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"total_pnl_pips": -22.01687471378051
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"trades": 21,
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"win_rate": 38.095238095238095,
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"total_pnl_pips": -24.36960397938039
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},
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"OVERLAP": {
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"trades": 64,
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"win_rate": 37.5,
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"total_pnl_pips": -123.2260709958683
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"trades": 13,
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"win_rate": 30.76923076923077,
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"total_pnl_pips": -168.06717463446904
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}
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},
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"exit_reasons": {
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"SL": 74,
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"TP1+SL": 21,
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"TP1+TP2+SL": 17,
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"TP3": 10
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"SL": 22,
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"TP3": 2,
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"TP1+TP2+SL": 3,
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"TP1+SL": 7
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}
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}
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