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Phase 1 complete: S3-S6 strategies, S4 variant analysis, learnings doc
- S3 Key Level Breakout: best performer (52-53% WR, PF ~1.0 on JPY crosses) - S4 EMA Ribbon: tested 7 variants (D/E/F/F-v2/G/G-Minimal), exhausted - Only EUR_AUD S4-F marginally profitable (PF 1.06) - Detailed filter funnel analysis revealed contradictory filter stacking - S5 Momentum Exhaustion: extended to 5 pairs, PF 0.43-0.77 - S6 EMA Bounce: 59-60% WR but PF 0.83-0.84, needs SL/TP restructuring - Added STRATEGY_LEARNINGS.md with design principles and next steps - Added M5 data downloader for 3-timeframe strategies - Updated README with full strategy scorecard Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
co-authored by
Claude Opus 4.6
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{
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"pair": "EUR_AUD",
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"strategy_id": 1,
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"strategy_name": "S1_MA_Breakout_Retest",
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"total_trades": 95,
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"win_rate_pct": 45.26,
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"avg_rr": 1.24,
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"expectancy_pips": 0.19,
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"sharpe_ratio": -0.28,
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"max_drawdown_pct": -8.42,
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"profit_factor": 0.96,
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"total_pnl_pips": 18.43,
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"total_pnl_dollars": -1952.89,
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"avg_win_pips": 17.6,
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"avg_loss_pips": 14.2,
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"max_consecutive_wins": 5,
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"max_consecutive_losses": 5,
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"avg_hold_time_minutes": 202.3,
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"best_trade_pips": 56.97,
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"worst_trade_pips": -24.57,
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"best_trade_dollars": 2281.5,
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"worst_trade_dollars": -1061.56,
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"final_equity": 98047.11,
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"strategy_name": "S1_Trendline_Breakout_Retest",
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"total_trades": 36,
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"win_rate_pct": 47.22,
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"avg_rr": 0.88,
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"expectancy_pips": -1.4,
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"sharpe_ratio": -5.02,
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"max_drawdown_pct": -9.87,
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"profit_factor": 0.49,
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"total_pnl_pips": -50.34,
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"total_pnl_dollars": -9120.74,
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"avg_win_pips": 11.07,
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"avg_loss_pips": 12.56,
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"max_consecutive_wins": 3,
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"max_consecutive_losses": 6,
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"avg_hold_time_minutes": 72.9,
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"best_trade_pips": 41.53,
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"worst_trade_pips": -21.87,
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"best_trade_dollars": 1574.69,
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"worst_trade_dollars": -1005.65,
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"final_equity": 90879.26,
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"starting_equity": 100000.0,
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"session_breakdown": {
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"LONDON": {
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"trades": 51,
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"win_rate": 39.21568627450981,
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"total_pnl_pips": -72.08655191531844
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"trades": 24,
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"win_rate": 54.166666666666664,
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"total_pnl_pips": 7.739853762499994
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},
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"OVERLAP": {
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"trades": 44,
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"win_rate": 52.27272727272727,
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"total_pnl_pips": 90.52045431346279
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"trades": 12,
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"win_rate": 33.33333333333333,
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"total_pnl_pips": -58.084017714383535
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}
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},
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"exit_reasons": {
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"SL": 52,
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"TP1+SL": 19,
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"TP3": 9,
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"TP1+TP2+SL": 15
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"TP1+SL": 10,
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"SL": 19,
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"TP1+TP2+SL": 5,
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"TP3": 2
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}
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}
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