Phase 1 complete: S3-S6 strategies, S4 variant analysis, learnings doc

- S3 Key Level Breakout: best performer (52-53% WR, PF ~1.0 on JPY crosses)
- S4 EMA Ribbon: tested 7 variants (D/E/F/F-v2/G/G-Minimal), exhausted
  - Only EUR_AUD S4-F marginally profitable (PF 1.06)
  - Detailed filter funnel analysis revealed contradictory filter stacking
- S5 Momentum Exhaustion: extended to 5 pairs, PF 0.43-0.77
- S6 EMA Bounce: 59-60% WR but PF 0.83-0.84, needs SL/TP restructuring
- Added STRATEGY_LEARNINGS.md with design principles and next steps
- Added M5 data downloader for 3-timeframe strategies
- Updated README with full strategy scorecard

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Brent Neale
2026-02-18 20:42:16 +10:00
co-authored by Claude Opus 4.6
parent dce54845c2
commit edbe359d1b
88 changed files with 12570 additions and 2963 deletions
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@@ -1,43 +1,43 @@
{
"pair": "EUR_AUD",
"strategy_id": 1,
"strategy_name": "S1_MA_Breakout_Retest",
"total_trades": 95,
"win_rate_pct": 45.26,
"avg_rr": 1.24,
"expectancy_pips": 0.19,
"sharpe_ratio": -0.28,
"max_drawdown_pct": -8.42,
"profit_factor": 0.96,
"total_pnl_pips": 18.43,
"total_pnl_dollars": -1952.89,
"avg_win_pips": 17.6,
"avg_loss_pips": 14.2,
"max_consecutive_wins": 5,
"max_consecutive_losses": 5,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 202.3,
"best_trade_pips": 56.97,
"worst_trade_pips": -24.57,
"best_trade_dollars": 2281.5,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1061.56,
"final_equity": 98047.11,
"strategy_name": "S1_Trendline_Breakout_Retest",
"total_trades": 36,
"win_rate_pct": 47.22,
"avg_rr": 0.88,
"expectancy_pips": -1.4,
"sharpe_ratio": -5.02,
"max_drawdown_pct": -9.87,
"profit_factor": 0.49,
"total_pnl_pips": -50.34,
"total_pnl_dollars": -9120.74,
"avg_win_pips": 11.07,
"avg_loss_pips": 12.56,
"max_consecutive_wins": 3,
"max_consecutive_losses": 6,
"avg_hold_time_minutes": 72.9,
"best_trade_pips": 41.53,
"worst_trade_pips": -21.87,
"best_trade_dollars": 1574.69,
"worst_trade_dollars": -1005.65,
"final_equity": 90879.26,
"starting_equity": 100000.0,
"session_breakdown": {
"LONDON": {
"trades": 51,
"win_rate": 39.21568627450981,
"total_pnl_pips": -72.08655191531844
"trades": 24,
"win_rate": 54.166666666666664,
"total_pnl_pips": 7.739853762499994
},
"OVERLAP": {
"trades": 44,
"win_rate": 52.27272727272727,
"total_pnl_pips": 90.52045431346279
"trades": 12,
"win_rate": 33.33333333333333,
"total_pnl_pips": -58.084017714383535
}
},
"exit_reasons": {
"SL": 52,
"TP1+SL": 19,
"TP3": 9,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 15
"TP1+SL": 10,
"SL": 19,
"TP1+TP2+SL": 5,
"TP3": 2
}
}