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fx-quant/results/phase2/kelly_sizing.json
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{
"S7_Tight_GBP_JPY": {
"trades": 98,
"win_rate": 59.2,
"avg_win_pips": 42.8,
"avg_loss_pips": 62.3,
"avg_win_loss_ratio": 0.69,
"kelly_full_pct": 0,
"kelly_half_pct": 0,
"monte_carlo_half_kelly": {
"p50_dd": 0,
"p75_dd": 0,
"p95_dd": 0,
"p99_dd": 0,
"ruin_pct": 0
}
},
"S9_GBP_USD": {
"trades": 285,
"win_rate": 53.7,
"avg_win_pips": 29.3,
"avg_loss_pips": 41.7,
"avg_win_loss_ratio": 0.7,
"kelly_full_pct": 0,
"kelly_half_pct": 0,
"monte_carlo_half_kelly": {
"p50_dd": 0,
"p75_dd": 0,
"p95_dd": 0,
"p99_dd": 0,
"ruin_pct": 0
}
},
"S9_Filtered_GBP_AUD": {
"trades": 66,
"win_rate": 60.6,
"avg_win_pips": 49.5,
"avg_loss_pips": 57.9,
"avg_win_loss_ratio": 0.85,
"kelly_full_pct": 14.53,
"kelly_half_pct": 7.26,
"monte_carlo_half_kelly": {
"p50_dd": 2.5,
"p75_dd": 3.3,
"p95_dd": 4.8,
"p99_dd": 6.3,
"ruin_pct": 0.0
}
},
"S4F_EUR_AUD": {
"trades": 95,
"win_rate": 45.3,
"avg_win_pips": 38.8,
"avg_loss_pips": 28.7,
"avg_win_loss_ratio": 1.35,
"kelly_full_pct": 4.7,
"kelly_half_pct": 2.35,
"monte_carlo_half_kelly": {
"p50_dd": 0.7,
"p75_dd": 1.0,
"p95_dd": 1.5,
"p99_dd": 1.9,
"ruin_pct": 0.0
}
},
"S3_GBP_JPY": {
"trades": 150,
"win_rate": 50.7,
"avg_win_pips": 43.5,
"avg_loss_pips": 41.9,
"avg_win_loss_ratio": 1.04,
"kelly_full_pct": 3.11,
"kelly_half_pct": 1.56,
"monte_carlo_half_kelly": {
"p50_dd": 0.9,
"p75_dd": 1.2,
"p95_dd": 1.9,
"p99_dd": 2.4,
"ruin_pct": 0.0
}
}
}