Files
forex-dashboard/data/rate-probabilities.json
T
2026-07-09 08:20:32 +00:00

696 lines
20 KiB
JSON

{
"data": {
"USD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 3.75,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Jul 29",
"meeting_iso": "2026-07-29",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.833,
"prob_move_pct": 33,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 8.300000000000018,
"num_moves": 0.33200000000000074
},
{
"meeting": "Sep 16",
"meeting_iso": "2026-09-16",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.9648,
"prob_move_pct": 68,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 21.47999999999999,
"num_moves": 0.8591999999999996
},
{
"meeting": "Oct 28",
"meeting_iso": "2026-10-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.028,
"prob_move_pct": 76,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 27.799999999999958,
"num_moves": 1.1119999999999983
},
{
"meeting": "Dec 9",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-09",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1216,
"prob_move_pct": 85,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 37.16,
"num_moves": 1.4864
},
{
"meeting": "Jan 27",
"meeting_iso": "2027-01-27",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1638,
"prob_move_pct": 88,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 41.38000000000002,
"num_moves": 1.6552000000000007
},
{
"meeting": "Mar 17",
"meeting_iso": "2027-03-17",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.2123,
"prob_move_pct": 90,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 46.22999999999999,
"num_moves": 1.8491999999999995
},
{
"meeting": "Apr 28",
"meeting_iso": "2027-04-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.2278,
"prob_move_pct": 91,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 47.78000000000002,
"num_moves": 1.911200000000001
},
{
"meeting": "Jun 9",
"meeting_iso": "2027-06-09",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.2172,
"prob_move_pct": 90,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 46.720000000000006,
"num_moves": 1.8688000000000002
},
{
"meeting": "Jul 28",
"meeting_iso": "2027-07-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1827,
"prob_move_pct": 85,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 43.26999999999997,
"num_moves": 1.7307999999999988
},
{
"meeting": "Sep 15",
"meeting_iso": "2027-09-15",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.128,
"prob_move_pct": 79,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 37.80000000000001,
"num_moves": 1.5120000000000005
},
{
"meeting": "Oct 27",
"meeting_iso": "2027-10-27",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0686,
"prob_move_pct": 72,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 31.86,
"num_moves": 1.2744
},
{
"meeting": "Dec 8",
"meeting_iso": "2027-12-08",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0492,
"prob_move_pct": 70,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 29.91999999999999,
"num_moves": 1.1967999999999996
}
]
}
},
"EUR": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 2.4,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.6399999999999997,
"prob_move_pct": 28,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 24,
"num_moves": 0.96
}
]
}
},
"GBP": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 3.75,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.93,
"prob_move_pct": 7,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 18,
"num_moves": 0.72
}
]
}
},
"JPY": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 1,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 1.2,
"prob_move_pct": 1,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 20,
"num_moves": 0.8
}
]
}
},
"CAD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 2.25,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.33,
"prob_move_pct": 9,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 8,
"num_moves": 0.32
}
]
}
},
"AUD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 4.35,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.449999999999999,
"prob_move_pct": 15,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 10,
"num_moves": 0.4
}
]
}
},
"NZD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 2.5,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.12,
"prob_move_pct": 82,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 62,
"num_moves": 2.48
}
]
}
},
"CHF": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 0,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 0.05,
"prob_move_pct": 4,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 5,
"num_moves": 0.2
}
]
}
}
},
"fetchedAt": "2026-07-09T08:20:31.516Z",
"snapshots": [
{
"data": {
"USD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 3.75,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Jul 29",
"meeting_iso": "2026-07-29",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.7998,
"prob_move_pct": 20,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 4.979999999999984,
"num_moves": 0.19919999999999938
},
{
"meeting": "Sep 16",
"meeting_iso": "2026-09-16",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.908,
"prob_move_pct": 55,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 15.799999999999992,
"num_moves": 0.6319999999999997
},
{
"meeting": "Oct 28",
"meeting_iso": "2026-10-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.96,
"prob_move_pct": 64,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 20.999999999999996,
"num_moves": 0.8399999999999999
},
{
"meeting": "Dec 9",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-09",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.055,
"prob_move_pct": 78,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 30.49999999999997,
"num_moves": 1.2199999999999989
},
{
"meeting": "Jan 27",
"meeting_iso": "2027-01-27",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0851,
"prob_move_pct": 80,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 33.50999999999998,
"num_moves": 1.3403999999999991
},
{
"meeting": "Mar 17",
"meeting_iso": "2027-03-17",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1286,
"prob_move_pct": 84,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 37.85999999999996,
"num_moves": 1.5143999999999982
},
{
"meeting": "Apr 28",
"meeting_iso": "2027-04-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1322,
"prob_move_pct": 84,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 38.22000000000001,
"num_moves": 1.5288000000000006
},
{
"meeting": "Jun 9",
"meeting_iso": "2027-06-09",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1065,
"prob_move_pct": 80,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 35.64999999999996,
"num_moves": 1.4259999999999986
},
{
"meeting": "Jul 28",
"meeting_iso": "2027-07-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0895,
"prob_move_pct": 78,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 33.95000000000002,
"num_moves": 1.3580000000000008
},
{
"meeting": "Sep 15",
"meeting_iso": "2027-09-15",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0654,
"prob_move_pct": 75,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 31.540000000000035,
"num_moves": 1.2616000000000014
},
{
"meeting": "Oct 27",
"meeting_iso": "2027-10-27",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0297,
"prob_move_pct": 70,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 27.970000000000006,
"num_moves": 1.1188000000000002
},
{
"meeting": "Dec 8",
"meeting_iso": "2027-12-08",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0103,
"prob_move_pct": 67,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 26.029999999999998,
"num_moves": 1.0412
}
]
}
},
"EUR": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 2.15,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.3899999999999997,
"prob_move_pct": 28,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 24,
"num_moves": 0.96
}
]
}
},
"GBP": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 3.75,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.93,
"prob_move_pct": 7,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 18,
"num_moves": 0.72
}
]
}
},
"JPY": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 0.75,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 0.95,
"prob_move_pct": 1,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 20,
"num_moves": 0.8
}
]
}
},
"CAD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 2.25,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.33,
"prob_move_pct": 9,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 8,
"num_moves": 0.32
}
]
}
},
"AUD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 4.35,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.449999999999999,
"prob_move_pct": 15,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 10,
"num_moves": 0.4
}
]
}
},
"NZD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 2.25,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.87,
"prob_move_pct": 82,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 62,
"num_moves": 2.48
}
]
}
},
"CHF": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 0,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 0.05,
"prob_move_pct": 4,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 5,
"num_moves": 0.2
}
]
}
}
},
"fetchedAt": "2026-07-03T12:51:24.776Z"
}
],
"previousWeek": {
"USD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 3.75,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Jul 29",
"meeting_iso": "2026-07-29",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.7998,
"prob_move_pct": 20,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 4.979999999999984,
"num_moves": 0.19919999999999938
},
{
"meeting": "Sep 16",
"meeting_iso": "2026-09-16",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.908,
"prob_move_pct": 55,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 15.799999999999992,
"num_moves": 0.6319999999999997
},
{
"meeting": "Oct 28",
"meeting_iso": "2026-10-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.96,
"prob_move_pct": 64,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 20.999999999999996,
"num_moves": 0.8399999999999999
},
{
"meeting": "Dec 9",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-09",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.055,
"prob_move_pct": 78,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 30.49999999999997,
"num_moves": 1.2199999999999989
},
{
"meeting": "Jan 27",
"meeting_iso": "2027-01-27",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0851,
"prob_move_pct": 80,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 33.50999999999998,
"num_moves": 1.3403999999999991
},
{
"meeting": "Mar 17",
"meeting_iso": "2027-03-17",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1286,
"prob_move_pct": 84,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 37.85999999999996,
"num_moves": 1.5143999999999982
},
{
"meeting": "Apr 28",
"meeting_iso": "2027-04-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1322,
"prob_move_pct": 84,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 38.22000000000001,
"num_moves": 1.5288000000000006
},
{
"meeting": "Jun 9",
"meeting_iso": "2027-06-09",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1065,
"prob_move_pct": 80,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 35.64999999999996,
"num_moves": 1.4259999999999986
},
{
"meeting": "Jul 28",
"meeting_iso": "2027-07-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0895,
"prob_move_pct": 78,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 33.95000000000002,
"num_moves": 1.3580000000000008
},
{
"meeting": "Sep 15",
"meeting_iso": "2027-09-15",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0654,
"prob_move_pct": 75,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 31.540000000000035,
"num_moves": 1.2616000000000014
},
{
"meeting": "Oct 27",
"meeting_iso": "2027-10-27",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0297,
"prob_move_pct": 70,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 27.970000000000006,
"num_moves": 1.1188000000000002
},
{
"meeting": "Dec 8",
"meeting_iso": "2027-12-08",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0103,
"prob_move_pct": 67,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 26.029999999999998,
"num_moves": 1.0412
}
]
}
},
"EUR": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 2.15,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.3899999999999997,
"prob_move_pct": 28,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 24,
"num_moves": 0.96
}
]
}
},
"GBP": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 3.75,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.93,
"prob_move_pct": 7,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 18,
"num_moves": 0.72
}
]
}
},
"JPY": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 0.75,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 0.95,
"prob_move_pct": 1,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 20,
"num_moves": 0.8
}
]
}
},
"CAD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 2.25,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.33,
"prob_move_pct": 9,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 8,
"num_moves": 0.32
}
]
}
},
"AUD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 4.35,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.449999999999999,
"prob_move_pct": 15,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 10,
"num_moves": 0.4
}
]
}
},
"NZD": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 2.25,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.87,
"prob_move_pct": 82,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 62,
"num_moves": 2.48
}
]
}
},
"CHF": {
"today": {
"midpoint": 0,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 0.05,
"prob_move_pct": 4,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 5,
"num_moves": 0.2
}
]
}
}
},
"previousWeekFetchedAt": "2026-07-03T12:51:24.776Z"
}