// lib/tecpi.ts // Scrape deux pages TE country-list en parallèle : // - core-inflation-rate → cpiCore YoY // - inflation-rate-mom → cpiMoM // Une seule requête HTTP par page (cache 6h) — remplace les séries FRED mensuelles // qui avaient jusqu'à 1.5 an de retard (GBP/JPY/CHF/CAD/AUD/NZD stale FRED). import type { Currency } from "./types"; const TE_COUNTRY_CPI: Record = { USD: "United States", EUR: "Euro Area", GBP: "United Kingdom", JPY: "Japan", CHF: "Switzerland", CAD: "Canada", AUD: "Australia", NZD: "New Zealand", }; export interface CoreCPIEntry { value: number; // YoY % prev: number; // valeur précédente refMonth: string; // "2026-04-01" } export type CoreCPIMap = Partial>; export interface MoMCPIEntry { value: number; // MoM % (ou QoQ pour AUD/NZD) prev: number | null; // période précédente (null si calculé depuis index) refMonth: string; isQoQ?: boolean; // true pour AUD et NZD (données trimestrielles) } export type MoMCPIMap = Partial>; // Convertit "Apr/26" → "2026-04-01" function parseRefDate(raw: string): string { const MONTHS: Record = { Jan: "01", Feb: "02", Mar: "03", Apr: "04", May: "05", Jun: "06", Jul: "07", Aug: "08", Sep: "09", Oct: "10", Nov: "11", Dec: "12", }; const m = raw.match(/([A-Za-z]+)\/(\d{2})/); if (!m) return ""; const month = MONTHS[m[1]] ?? "01"; const year = `20${m[2]}`; return `${year}-${month}-01`; } export async function fetchTECoreInflation(): Promise { try { const res = await fetch( "https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/core-inflation-rate?continent=world", { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, // 6h — données mensuelles, inutile de re-fetcher trop souvent headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, } ); if (!res.ok) { console.warn("[tecpi] HTTP", res.status); return {}; } const html = await res.text(); return parseCoreInflationHTML(html); } catch (err) { console.error("[tecpi] error:", err); return {}; } } // ── Inflation Rate YoY (headline) ──────────────────────────────────────────── export async function fetchTEInflationYoY(): Promise { try { const res = await fetch( "https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/inflation-rate?continent=world", { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, } ); if (!res.ok) { console.warn("[tecpi-yoy] HTTP", res.status); return {}; } const html = await res.text(); return parseCoreInflationHTML(html); // même structure de parsing } catch (err) { console.error("[tecpi-yoy] error:", err); return {}; } } // ── CPI Index → MoM% ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────── // Scrape country-list/consumer-price-index-cpi // Calcule MoM% = (Last - Previous) / Previous × 100 // Retourne aussi les valeurs brutes pour le tooltip export interface CPIIndexEntry { momPct: number; // MoM% calculé rawLast: number; // valeur brute (index points) rawPrev: number; refMonth: string; } export type CPIIndexMap = Partial>; export async function fetchTECPIIndex(): Promise { try { const res = await fetch( "https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/consumer-price-index-cpi?continent=world", { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, } ); if (!res.ok) { console.warn("[tecpi-idx] HTTP", res.status); return {}; } const html = await res.text(); return parseCPIIndexHTML(html, TE_COUNTRY_CPI); } catch (err) { console.error("[tecpi-idx] error:", err); return {}; } } function parseCPIIndexHTML(html: string, countryMap: Record): CPIIndexMap { const result: CPIIndexMap = {}; const seen = new Set(); const rowPattern = /]*>([\s\S]*?)<\/tr>/g; let m: RegExpExecArray | null; while ((m = rowPattern.exec(html)) !== null) { const text = m[1].replace(/<[^>]+>/g, " ").replace(/\s+/g, " ").trim(); for (const [ccy, country] of Object.entries(countryMap) as [Currency, string][]) { if (seen.has(ccy)) continue; if (!text.startsWith(country)) continue; const nums = text.match(/-?\d+(?:\.\d+)?/g); const dateMatch = text.match(/([A-Za-z]{3}\/\d{2})/); if (nums && nums.length >= 2) { const rawLast = parseFloat(nums[0]); const rawPrev = parseFloat(nums[1]); if (rawPrev !== 0) { result[ccy] = { momPct: parseFloat(((rawLast - rawPrev) / rawPrev * 100).toFixed(3)), rawLast, rawPrev, refMonth: dateMatch ? parseRefDate(dateMatch[1]) : "", }; seen.add(ccy); } } break; } if (seen.size === 8) break; } return result; } // ── Core Consumer Prices index → MoM% (depuis pages individuelles) ─────────── // La country-list arrondit à l'entier → 0% faux pour CAD/JPY/CHF. // On scrape la meta description de chaque page individuelle (décimales disponibles). // Format meta : "...increased to 0.40 percent in April from 0.20 percent..." // Pour CHF on utilise /switzerland/core-consumer-prices (pas de page -mom) // Pages existantes avec % direct : USD, EUR, GBP, CAD // Pages index seulement (calcul delta) : JPY, CHF, AUD (QoQ), NZD (QoQ) const TE_CORE_MOM_SLUG: Record = { USD: "united-states/core-inflation-rate-mom", EUR: "euro-area/core-inflation-rate-mom", GBP: "united-kingdom/core-inflation-rate-mom", JPY: "japan/core-consumer-prices", // pas de page -mom directe CAD: "canada/core-inflation-rate-mom", AUD: "australia/core-consumer-prices", // QoQ (données trimestrielles) NZD: "new-zealand/core-consumer-prices", // QoQ (données trimestrielles) CHF: "switzerland/core-consumer-prices", // index → delta calculé }; // Devises publiées en QoQ (trimestriel) plutôt que MoM export const CORE_CPI_QOQ: Set = new Set(["AUD", "NZD"]); async function fetchOneTEMeta(url: string): Promise { try { const res = await fetch(url, { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, }); if (!res.ok) return ""; const html = await res.text(); const m = html.match(/name=["']description["'][^>]*content=["']([^"']+)["']/i) ?? html.match(/content=["']([^"']+)["'][^>]*name=["']description["']/i); return m?.[1] ?? ""; } catch { return ""; } } function parseMetaForMoM(desc: string): { value: number; prev: number; isIndex?: boolean } | null { // Pattern 1 : "increased/decreased to X percent from Y percent" const p1 = desc.match( /(?:increased|decreased|declined|rose|fell|eased|changed)\s+to\s*([\d.]+)\s+percent[^.]*?from\s+([\d.]+)\s+percent/i ); if (p1) return { value: parseFloat(p1[1]), prev: parseFloat(p1[2]) }; // Pattern 2 : "remained unchanged at X percent" → current = prev = X, delta = 0 const p2 = desc.match(/(?:remained unchanged at|is unchanged at)\s*([\d.]+)\s+percent/i); if (p2) { const v = parseFloat(p2[1]); return { value: v, prev: v }; } // Pattern 3 : "increased to X points from Y points" → calcul MoM% = (X-Y)/Y*100 const p3 = desc.match( /(?:increased|decreased|declined|rose|fell|eased|changed)\s+to\s*([\d.]+)\s+points?[^.]*?from\s+([\d.]+)\s+points?/i ); if (p3) { const last = parseFloat(p3[1]); const prev = parseFloat(p3[2]); if (prev !== 0) return { value: parseFloat(((last - prev) / prev * 100).toFixed(3)), prev, isIndex: true }; } // Pattern 4 : "remained unchanged at X points" → delta = 0, on retourne 0 const p4 = desc.match(/(?:remained unchanged at|is unchanged at)\s*([\d.]+)\s+points?/i); if (p4) return { value: 0, prev: parseFloat(p4[1]), isIndex: true }; return null; } export async function fetchTECoreCPIMoM(): Promise { const entries = await Promise.all( (Object.entries(TE_CORE_MOM_SLUG) as [Currency, string][]).map(async ([ccy, slug]) => { const desc = await fetchOneTEMeta(`https://tradingeconomics.com/${slug}`); const parsed = parseMetaForMoM(desc); if (!parsed) return null; const MONTHS: Record = { January:"01",February:"02",March:"03",April:"04",May:"05",June:"06",July:"07",August:"08",September:"09",October:"10",November:"11",December:"12" }; const QUARTERS: Record = { first:"01",second:"04",third:"07",fourth:"10" }; const curYear = new Date().getFullYear().toString(); // Mois courant = premier "to/at X [points/percent] in [Month]" dans la description const dateCurrM = desc.match(/(?:to|at)\s+[\d.]+\s+(?:points?|percent)\s+in\s+([A-Za-z]+)/i); // Année = "of [Year]" n'importe où const yearM = desc.match(/\bof\s+(\d{4})\b/); // Trimestriel NZD const dateQ = desc.match(/in\s+the\s+(first|second|third|fourth)\s+quarter\s+of\s+(\d{4})/i); let refMonth = ""; if (dateQ) { refMonth = `${dateQ[2]}-${QUARTERS[dateQ[1].toLowerCase()]}-01`; } else if (dateCurrM) { const mn = dateCurrM[1]; const cap = mn.charAt(0).toUpperCase() + mn.slice(1).toLowerCase(); if (MONTHS[cap]) refMonth = `${yearM?.[1] ?? curYear}-${MONTHS[cap]}-01`; } const entry: MoMCPIEntry = { value: parsed.value, // Pour les devises index-only (JPY/CHF/AUD/NZD), parsed.prev est la valeur brute // de l'index, pas le MoM% précédent → on met null prev: parsed.isIndex ? null : parsed.prev, refMonth, isQoQ: CORE_CPI_QOQ.has(ccy) || undefined, }; return [ccy, entry] as [Currency, MoMCPIEntry]; }) ); const result: MoMCPIMap = {}; for (const entry of entries) { if (entry) result[entry[0]] = entry[1]; } return result; } // ── Core Consumer Prices index (for tooltip raw values alongside CoreMoM) ──── export async function fetchTECoreConsumerPricesIndex(): Promise { try { const res = await fetch( "https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/core-consumer-prices?continent=world", { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, } ); if (!res.ok) return {}; const html = await res.text(); return parseCPIIndexHTML(html, TE_COUNTRY_CPI); } catch { return {}; } } // ── MoM inflation rate ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────── export async function fetchTEMoMInflation(): Promise { try { const res = await fetch( "https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/inflation-rate-mom?continent=world", { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, } ); if (!res.ok) { console.warn("[tecpi-mom] HTTP", res.status); return {}; } const html = await res.text(); return parseMoMHTML(html); } catch (err) { console.error("[tecpi-mom] error:", err); return {}; } } function parseMoMHTML(html: string, countryMap: Record = TE_COUNTRY_CPI): MoMCPIMap { const result: MoMCPIMap = {}; const seen = new Set(); const rowPattern = /]*>([\s\S]*?)<\/tr>/g; let m: RegExpExecArray | null; while ((m = rowPattern.exec(html)) !== null) { const text = m[1].replace(/<[^>]+>/g, " ").replace(/\s+/g, " ").trim(); const textLower = text.toLowerCase(); for (const [ccy, country] of Object.entries(countryMap) as [Currency, string][]) { if (seen.has(ccy)) continue; if (!textLower.startsWith(country.toLowerCase())) continue; const nums = text.match(/-?\d+\.?\d*/g); const dateMatch = text.match(/([A-Za-z]{3}\/\d{2})/); if (nums && nums.length >= 2) { result[ccy] = { value: parseFloat(nums[0]), prev: parseFloat(nums[1]), refMonth: dateMatch ? parseRefDate(dateMatch[1]) : "", }; seen.add(ccy); } break; } if (seen.size === 8) break; } return result; } // ── PPI MoM ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── export async function fetchTEPPIMoM(): Promise { try { const res = await fetch( "https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/producer-price-inflation-mom?continent=world", { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, } ); if (!res.ok) { console.warn("[tecpi-ppi] HTTP", res.status); return {}; } const html = await res.text(); return parseMoMHTML(html); // case-insensitive → "Euro area" matche "Euro Area" } catch (err) { console.error("[tecpi-ppi] error:", err); return {}; } } // ── Core YoY ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── function parseCoreInflationHTML(html: string): CoreCPIMap { const result: CoreCPIMap = {}; const seen = new Set(); const rowPattern = /]*>([\s\S]*?)<\/tr>/g; let m: RegExpExecArray | null; while ((m = rowPattern.exec(html)) !== null) { const text = m[1].replace(/<[^>]+>/g, " ").replace(/\s+/g, " ").trim(); for (const [ccy, country] of Object.entries(TE_COUNTRY_CPI) as [Currency, string][]) { if (seen.has(ccy)) continue; if (!text.startsWith(country)) continue; // Format : "Country Last Previous Mon/YY %" // Last / Previous peuvent être négatifs (ex : Morocco -0.3) const nums = text.match(/-?\d+\.?\d*/g); // Chercher la date de référence (format Mon/YY) const dateMatch = text.match(/([A-Za-z]{3}\/\d{2})/); if (nums && nums.length >= 2) { result[ccy] = { value: parseFloat(nums[0]), prev: parseFloat(nums[1]), refMonth: dateMatch ? parseRefDate(dateMatch[1]) : "", }; seen.add(ccy); } break; } if (seen.size === 8) break; } return result; } // ── Core CPI YoY individuel (valeur précise + consensus via TEForecast) ─────── // Utilisé pour EUR (fiabilité) et JPY (consensus). // Retourne { value, consensus, refMonth } — prev reste fourni par le country-list. export interface CoreCPIPageEntry { value: number; consensus: number | null; // TEForecast[0] si disponible refMonth: string; } const TE_CORE_YOY_SLUG: Partial> = { EUR: "euro-area/core-inflation-rate", JPY: "japan/core-inflation-rate", }; // Pages individuelles pour Inflation Rate YoY (headline) — plus à jour que le country-list const TE_INFLATION_YOY_SLUG: Partial> = { EUR: "euro-area/inflation-cpi", GBP: "united-kingdom/inflation-cpi", JPY: "japan/inflation-cpi", }; export async function fetchTECoreInflationPages(): Promise>> { const MONTHS: Record = { January:"01",February:"02",March:"03",April:"04",May:"05",June:"06",July:"07",August:"08",September:"09",October:"10",November:"11",December:"12" }; const entries = await Promise.all( (Object.entries(TE_CORE_YOY_SLUG) as [Currency, string][]).map(async ([ccy, slug]) => { try { const res = await fetch(`https://tradingeconomics.com/${slug}`, { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, }); if (!res.ok) return null; const html = await res.text(); // Meta description → valeur courante const metaM = html.match(/name=["']description["'][^>]*content=["']([^"']+)["']/i) ?? html.match(/content=["']([^"']+)["'][^>]*name=["']description["']/i); const desc = metaM?.[1] ?? ""; const valM = desc.match(/(?:increased|decreased|declined|rose|fell|eased|remained unchanged at)\s+([\d.]+)\s+percent/i); if (!valM) return null; const value = parseFloat(valM[1]); // Date : "in [Month] of [Year]" const dateM = desc.match(/in\s+([A-Za-z]+)\s+of\s+(\d{4})/i); let refMonth = ""; if (dateM && MONTHS[dateM[1]]) refMonth = `${dateM[2]}-${MONTHS[dateM[1]]}-01`; // Consensus = TEForecast[0] let consensus: number | null = null; const fcM = html.match(/TEForecast\s*=\s*\[\s*([\d.,\s]+)\]/); if (fcM) { const first = fcM[1].split(",")[0].trim(); if (first) consensus = parseFloat(first); } return [ccy, { value, consensus, refMonth }] as [Currency, CoreCPIPageEntry]; } catch { return null; } }) ); const result: Partial> = {}; for (const e of entries) if (e) result[e[0]] = e[1]; return result; } // ── Inflation Rate YoY individuel (EUR valeur à jour + GBP/JPY consensus) ──── // Meta format : "increased to X.XX percent in [Month] from Y.YY percent in [PrevMonth] of [Year]" export interface InflationYoYPageEntry { value: number; prev: number | null; consensus: number | null; refMonth: string; } export async function fetchTEInflationYoYPages(): Promise>> { const MONTHS: Record = { January:"01",February:"02",March:"03",April:"04",May:"05",June:"06",July:"07",August:"08",September:"09",October:"10",November:"11",December:"12" }; const entries = await Promise.all( (Object.entries(TE_INFLATION_YOY_SLUG) as [Currency, string][]).map(async ([ccy, slug]) => { try { const res = await fetch(`https://tradingeconomics.com/${slug}`, { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, }); if (!res.ok) return null; const html = await res.text(); const metaM = html.match(/name=["']description["'][^>]*content=["']([^"']+)["']/i) ?? html.match(/content=["']([^"']+)["'][^>]*name=["']description["']/i); const desc = metaM?.[1] ?? ""; // "increased/decreased to X percent in [Month] from Y percent in [PrevMonth] of [Year]" const p1 = desc.match( /(?:increased|decreased|declined|rose|fell|eased|changed)\s+to\s+([\d.]+)\s+percent[^.]*?from\s+([\d.]+)\s+percent/i ); // "remained unchanged at X percent in [Month]" const p2 = !p1 ? desc.match(/(?:remained unchanged at|is unchanged at)\s*([\d.]+)\s+percent/i) : null; const value = p1 ? parseFloat(p1[1]) : p2 ? parseFloat(p2[1]) : null; const prev = p1 ? parseFloat(p1[2]) : p2 ? parseFloat(p2[1]) : null; if (value === null) return null; // Date : current month + year const dateCurrM = desc.match(/(?:to|at)\s+[\d.]+\s+percent\s+in\s+([A-Za-z]+)/i); const yearM = desc.match(/\bof\s+(\d{4})\b/); const curYear = new Date().getFullYear().toString(); let refMonth = ""; if (dateCurrM) { const mn = dateCurrM[1]; const cap = mn.charAt(0).toUpperCase() + mn.slice(1).toLowerCase(); if (MONTHS[cap]) refMonth = `${yearM?.[1] ?? curYear}-${MONTHS[cap]}-01`; } // Consensus = TEForecast[0] let consensus: number | null = null; const fcM = html.match(/TEForecast\s*=\s*\[\s*([\d.,\s]+)\]/); if (fcM) { const first = fcM[1].split(",")[0].trim(); if (first) consensus = parseFloat(first); } return [ccy, { value, prev, consensus, refMonth }] as [Currency, InflationYoYPageEntry]; } catch { return null; } }) ); const result: Partial> = {}; for (const e of entries) if (e) result[e[0]] = e[1]; return result; } // ── AUD Commodity Prices YoY ───────────────────────────────────────────────── // Indicateur spécifique AUD : https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/commodity-prices-yoy // Format meta : "increased to X.XX percent in [Month] from Y.YY percent in [PrevMonth] of [Year]" export async function fetchTEAUDCommodityYoY(): Promise { const MONTHS: Record = { January:"01",February:"02",March:"03",April:"04",May:"05",June:"06",July:"07",August:"08",September:"09",October:"10",November:"11",December:"12" }; try { const res = await fetch("https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/commodity-prices-yoy", { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, }); if (!res.ok) return null; const html = await res.text(); const metaM = html.match(/name=["']description["'][^>]*content=["']([^"']+)["']/i) ?? html.match(/content=["']([^"']+)["'][^>]*name=["']description["']/i); const desc = metaM?.[1] ?? ""; const p1 = desc.match(/(?:increased|decreased|declined|rose|fell|eased|changed)\s+to\s+([\d.]+)\s+percent[^.]*?from\s+([\d.]+)\s+percent/i); const p2 = !p1 ? desc.match(/(?:remained unchanged at|is unchanged at)\s*([\d.]+)\s+percent/i) : null; const value = p1 ? parseFloat(p1[1]) : p2 ? parseFloat(p2[1]) : null; const prev = p1 ? parseFloat(p1[2]) : p2 ? parseFloat(p2[1]) : null; if (value === null) return null; const dateCurrM = desc.match(/(?:to|at)\s+[\d.]+\s+percent\s+in\s+([A-Za-z]+)/i); const yearM = desc.match(/\bof\s+(\d{4})\b/); const curYear = new Date().getFullYear().toString(); let refMonth = ""; if (dateCurrM) { const mn = dateCurrM[1]; const cap = mn.charAt(0).toUpperCase() + mn.slice(1).toLowerCase(); if (MONTHS[cap]) refMonth = `${yearM?.[1] ?? curYear}-${MONTHS[cap]}-01`; } let consensus: number | null = null; const fcM = html.match(/TEForecast\s*=\s*\[\s*([\d.,\s]+)\]/); if (fcM) { const first = fcM[1].split(",")[0].trim(); if (first) consensus = parseFloat(first); } return { value, prev, consensus, refMonth }; } catch { return null; } } // ── Unemployment Rate ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────── // Source : https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/unemployment-rate?continent=world // Une seule requête HTTP (cache 6h) pour les 8 devises. // Donne le taux national officiel (ex : SECO ~3% pour CHF) au lieu du taux ILO harmonisé // FRED qui peut être de 2-3 pp supérieur (ex : LRHUTTTTCHQ156S ~5% pour CHF). export async function fetchTEUnemploymentRate(): Promise { try { const res = await fetch( "https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/unemployment-rate?continent=world", { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, } ); if (!res.ok) { console.warn("[tecpi-une] HTTP", res.status); return {}; } const html = await res.text(); return parseCoreInflationHTML(html); } catch (err) { console.error("[tecpi-une] error:", err); return {}; } } // ── STIR — Taux interbancaire 3 mois ───────────────────────────────────────── // Source : https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/3-month-interbank-rate // Donne le taux de marché à 3 mois (SOFR 3M, EURIBOR 3M, SONIA 3M, TIBOR 3M…) // pour les 8 devises en une seule requête. // Interprétation : // STIR > taux directeur → marché price des hausses → signal hawkish // STIR < taux directeur → marché price des baisses → signal dovish // STIR en hausse → conditions de crédit plus restrictives (prêter = plus risqué/cher) // STIR en baisse → conditions de crédit plus souples (prêter = plus sûr/moins cher) export async function fetchTESTIRRate(): Promise { try { const res = await fetch( "https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/3-month-interbank-rate?continent=world", { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, } ); if (!res.ok) { console.warn("[tecpi-stir] HTTP", res.status); return {}; } const html = await res.text(); return parseCoreInflationHTML(html); } catch (err) { console.error("[tecpi-stir] error:", err); return {}; } } // ── GDP Growth Rate QoQ% ────────────────────────────────────────────────────── // Source : https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/gdp-growth-rate // Une seule requête HTTP (cache 6h) couvre les 8 devises. // Remplace les séries FRED qui retournent souvent un indice niveau à la place // du QoQ% réel, et qui sont en retard d'1 à 4 trimestres selon la devise. export async function fetchTEGDPGrowthRate(): Promise { try { const res = await fetch( "https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/gdp-growth-rate?continent=world", { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers: { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }, } ); if (!res.ok) { console.warn("[tecpi-gdp] HTTP", res.status); return {}; } const html = await res.text(); return parseCoreInflationHTML(html); } catch (err) { console.error("[tecpi-gdp] error:", err); return {}; } } // ── Employment Change — pages individuelles TradingEconomics ───────────────── // USD : /united-states/non-farm-payrolls → en milliers, MoM // GBP : /united-kingdom/employment-change → en milliers, MoM (3 mois glissants) // AUD : /australia/employment-change → en personnes → /1000 // EUR : /euro-area/employment-change → QoQ% converti en milliers via le niveau total export interface TEEmploymentEntry { value: number; // milliers de personnes (toutes devises, EUR converti depuis le %) prev: number | null; } const TE_EMP_CONFIG: Partial> = { USD: { slug: "united-states/non-farm-payrolls", unitKw: "thousand", divisor: 1, precision: 0 }, GBP: { slug: "united-kingdom/employment-change", unitKw: "thousand", divisor: 1, precision: 0 }, AUD: { slug: "australia/employment-change", unitKw: "person", divisor: 1000, precision: 1 }, EUR: { slug: "euro-area/employment-change", unitKw: "percent", divisor: 1, precision: 2 }, }; export async function fetchTEEmploymentChange(): Promise>> { const headers = { "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36", "Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,application/xml;q=0.9,*/*;q=0.8", "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.9", }; const entries = await Promise.all( (Object.entries(TE_EMP_CONFIG) as [Currency, NonNullable][]) .map(async ([ccy, { slug, unitKw, divisor, precision }]) => { try { const res = await fetch(`https://tradingeconomics.com/${slug}`, { next: { revalidate: 21600 }, headers, }); if (!res.ok) return null; const html = await res.text(); // Current value — meta description (préféré) OU body HTML si absent const metaM = html.match(/name=["']description["'][^>]*content=["']([^"']+)["']/i) ?? html.match(/content=["']([^"']+)["'][^>]*name=["']description["']/i); // Fallback : chercher le passage clé directement dans le body (supprime les balises) const bodyText = html.replace(/<[^>]+>/g, " ").replace(/\s+/g, " "); const desc = metaM?.[1] ?? bodyText.slice(0, 3000); // body limité à 3k chars // Verbes positifs/négatifs larges (grew/rose/fell/dropped/etc.) const incrM = desc.match(/(?:increased|grew|rose|gained|expanded|climbed)\s+by\s+([\d,]+\.?\d*)/i); const decrM = desc.match(/(?:decreased|fell|dropped|declined|contracted|shrank|slipped)\s+by\s+([\d,]+\.?\d*)/i); if (!incrM && !decrM) return null; const sign = incrM ? 1 : -1; const absVal = parseFloat((incrM?.[1] ?? decrM![1]).replace(/,/g, "")); const curRaw = sign * absVal; // Find previous from table: groups of (value, prev, unit-label) // Pour EUR : la colonne unité contient "%" pas "percent" → vérifier les deux const tdVals: string[] = []; const tdRe = /]*>([^<]+)<\/td>/g; let m: RegExpExecArray | null; while ((m = tdRe.exec(html)) !== null) tdVals.push(m[1].trim()); let prevRaw: number | null = null; for (let i = 0; i < tdVals.length - 2; i++) { const a = parseFloat(tdVals[i].replace(/[,%]/g, "")); const b = parseFloat(tdVals[i + 1].replace(/[,%]/g, "")); const c = tdVals[i + 2].toLowerCase(); const unitMatch = unitKw === "percent" ? (c.includes("percent") || c.includes("%")) : c.includes(unitKw); if (isNaN(a) || isNaN(b) || !unitMatch) continue; const tol = Math.max(1, Math.abs(curRaw) * 0.02); if (Math.abs(a - curRaw) <= tol) { prevRaw = b; break; } } // EUR : la page donne un % QoQ → convertir en Δ milliers de personnes. // Niveau total d'emploi dans le body ("to 176.308 million") → Δk = niveau_k × %/100. // Fallback hardcodé ≈ 176 000k (zone euro Q1 2026) si le niveau n'est pas parseable. if (unitKw === "percent") { const lvlM = desc.match(/to\s+([\d.]+)\s*(million|thousand)/i) ?? bodyText.match(/to\s+([\d.]+)\s*(million|thousand)/i); let levelK = 176000; // fallback ≈ zone euro if (lvlM) { const lvlNum = parseFloat(lvlM[1]); levelK = /million/i.test(lvlM[2]) ? lvlNum * 1000 : lvlNum; } return [ccy, { value: parseFloat((levelK * curRaw / 100).toFixed(1)), prev: prevRaw !== null ? parseFloat((levelK * prevRaw / 100).toFixed(1)) : null, }] as [Currency, TEEmploymentEntry]; } return [ccy, { value: parseFloat((curRaw / divisor).toFixed(precision)), prev: prevRaw !== null ? parseFloat((prevRaw / divisor).toFixed(precision)) : null, }] as [Currency, TEEmploymentEntry]; } catch { return null; } }) ); const result: Partial> = {}; for (const e of entries) if (e) result[e[0]] = e[1]; return result; }