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auto: sync 2026-06-03 00:44

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Capucine Gest
2026-06-03 00:44:00 +02:00
parent 842198c64e
commit d075ed484a
2 changed files with 15 additions and 11 deletions
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components/CurrencyCard.tsx
+14 -10
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@@ -437,16 +437,17 @@ export default function CurrencyCard({
}); });
} }
// Inflation pressure // Taux réel = Taux directeur − CPI YoY headline (= Inflation Rate YoY TE)
const cpiYoY = inds?.cpiYoY?.value ?? inds?.cpiCore?.value ?? null; // Pas de fallback sur Core CPI : Core < Headline → gonflerait artificiellement le taux réel
const cpiHeadlineForReal = inds?.cpiYoY?.value ?? null;
const policyRate = inds?.policyRate?.value ?? null; const policyRate = inds?.policyRate?.value ?? null;
if (cpiYoY !== null && policyRate !== null) { if (cpiHeadlineForReal !== null && policyRate !== null) {
const realRate = policyRate - cpiYoY; const realRate = policyRate - cpiHeadlineForReal;
const inflDir: SignalDir = realRate < 0 ? "bearish" : realRate > 1.5 ? "bullish" : "neutral"; const inflDir: SignalDir = realRate < 0 ? "bearish" : realRate > 1.5 ? "bullish" : "neutral";
mispricingSignals.push({ mispricingSignals.push({
id: "inflation", label: "Taux Réel (Taux − Inflation)", direction: inflDir, id: "inflation", label: "Taux Réel (CT − CPI YoY)", direction: inflDir,
value: `${realRate > 0 ? "+" : ""}${realRate.toFixed(2)}%`, value: `${realRate > 0 ? "+" : ""}${realRate.toFixed(2)}%`,
detail: `Taux directeur ${policyRate.toFixed(2)}% − Inflation YoY ${cpiYoY.toFixed(2)}% = Taux réel ${realRate.toFixed(2)}%. ${realRate < 0 ? "Taux réel négatif → politique encore accommodante → bearish devise." : "Taux réel positif → politique restrictive → bullish devise."}`, detail: `Taux directeur ${policyRate.toFixed(2)}% − CPI YoY ${cpiHeadlineForReal.toFixed(2)}% = Taux réel ${realRate.toFixed(2)}%. ${realRate < 0 ? "Taux réel négatif → politique encore accommodante → bearish devise." : realRate > 1.5 ? "Taux réel élevé → politique très restrictive → bullish devise." : "Taux réel faiblement positif → neutre."}`,
strength: Math.min(100, Math.abs(realRate) * 25), strength: Math.min(100, Math.abs(realRate) * 25),
icon: <Zap size={13} />, icon: <Zap size={13} />,
}); });
@@ -779,9 +780,11 @@ export default function CurrencyCard({
</div> </div>
)} )}
{(() => { {(() => {
const cpiRef = inds?.cpiYoY?.value ?? inds?.cpiCore?.value ?? null; // Taux réel = Taux directeur − CPI YoY headline (= Inflation Rate YoY)
if (policyRateValue === null || cpiRef === null) return null; // On n'utilise PAS Core CPI comme fallback : Core < Headline → gonflerait le taux réel
const realRate = parseFloat((policyRateValue - cpiRef).toFixed(2)); const cpiHeadline = inds?.cpiYoY?.value ?? null;
if (policyRateValue === null || cpiHeadline === null) return null;
const realRate = parseFloat((policyRateValue - cpiHeadline).toFixed(2));
const rDir: SignalDir = realRate < 0 ? "bearish" : realRate > 1.5 ? "bullish" : "neutral"; const rDir: SignalDir = realRate < 0 ? "bearish" : realRate > 1.5 ? "bullish" : "neutral";
return ( return (
<div className="flex items-center justify-between text-[12px]"> <div className="flex items-center justify-between text-[12px]">
@@ -789,7 +792,8 @@ export default function CurrencyCard({
<span className="text-slate-600">→</span> <span className="text-slate-600">→</span>
<span className="text-slate-400">Taux réel (CT−CPI)</span> <span className="text-slate-400">Taux réel (CT−CPI)</span>
</div> </div>
<span className={`font-semibold tabular-nums ${sigColor(rDir)}`}> <span className={`font-semibold tabular-nums ${sigColor(rDir)}`}
title={`${policyRateValue.toFixed(2)}% − CPI ${cpiHeadline.toFixed(2)}%`}>
{realRate > 0 ? "+" : ""}{realRate}% {realRate > 0 ? "+" : ""}{realRate}%
</span> </span>
</div> </div>
tsconfig.tsbuildinfo
+1 -1
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