diff --git a/data/rate-probabilities.json b/data/rate-probabilities.json index d1d32bf..c07b5c8 100644 --- a/data/rate-probabilities.json +++ b/data/rate-probabilities.json @@ -7,11 +7,11 @@ { "meeting": "Dec", "meeting_iso": "2026-12-31", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.64, - "prob_move_pct": 30, + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.03, + "prob_move_pct": 0, "prob_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": 31, - "num_moves": 1.24 + "change_bps": -30, + "num_moves": 1.2 } ] } @@ -23,11 +23,11 @@ { "meeting": "Dec", "meeting_iso": "2026-12-31", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.13, + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.16, "prob_move_pct": 0, "prob_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": -27, - "num_moves": 1.08 + "change_bps": -24, + "num_moves": 0.96 } ] } @@ -39,11 +39,11 @@ { "meeting": "Dec", "meeting_iso": "2026-12-31", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.55, + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.57, "prob_move_pct": 0, "prob_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": -20, - "num_moves": 0.8 + "change_bps": -18, + "num_moves": 0.72 } ] } @@ -55,11 +55,11 @@ { "meeting": "Dec", "meeting_iso": "2026-12-31", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 0.31, + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 0.3, "prob_move_pct": 0, "prob_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": -19, - "num_moves": 0.76 + "change_bps": -20, + "num_moves": 0.8 } ] } @@ -71,11 +71,11 @@ { "meeting": "Dec", "meeting_iso": "2026-12-31", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.07, + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.17, "prob_move_pct": 0, "prob_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": -18, - "num_moves": 0.72 + "change_bps": -8, + "num_moves": 0.32 } ] } @@ -87,11 +87,11 @@ { "meeting": "Dec", "meeting_iso": "2026-12-31", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.02, + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.9999999999999996, "prob_move_pct": 0, "prob_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": -8, - "num_moves": 0.32 + "change_bps": -10, + "num_moves": 0.4 } ] } @@ -103,11 +103,11 @@ { "meeting": "Dec", "meeting_iso": "2026-12-31", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.8, - "prob_move_pct": 62, + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 2.87, + "prob_move_pct": 82, "prob_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": 55, - "num_moves": 2.2 + "change_bps": 62, + "num_moves": 2.48 } ] } @@ -129,6 +129,6 @@ } } }, - "fetchedAt": "2026-07-03T09:50:34.333Z", + "fetchedAt": "2026-07-03T12:01:40.632Z", "snapshots": [] } \ No newline at end of file