From 8c8ddf51ffaba4f2b9967297217423b9c86ff001 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "github-actions[bot]" Date: Mon, 29 Jun 2026 17:28:56 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] chore: update rate-probabilities data [skip ci] --- data/rate-probabilities.json | 4086 +--------------------------------- 1 file changed, 78 insertions(+), 4008 deletions(-) diff --git a/data/rate-probabilities.json b/data/rate-probabilities.json index 966c7de..59f78cb 100644 --- a/data/rate-probabilities.json +++ b/data/rate-probabilities.json @@ -2,4063 +2,133 @@ "data": { "USD": { "today": { - "as_of": "2026-06-26", - "run_date": "2026-06-27T08:00:59", - "run_date_tz": "America/New_York", - "current band": "3.50 - 3.75", - "midpoint": 3.625, - "most_recent_effr": 3.63, - "last_sofr": 3.64, - "sofr_effective_date": "2026-06-25", - "effr_target_spread_bps": -0.5, - "spread_is_frozen": false, - "effr_is_stale": false, - "assumed_move_bps": 25, + "midpoint": 4.33, "rows": [ { - "meeting": "Jul 29, 2026", - "meeting_iso": "2026-07-29", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.643, - "prob_move_pct": 7.38, + "meeting": "Dec", + "meeting_iso": "2026-12-31", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.64, + "prob_move_pct": 30, "prob_is_cut": false, - "num_moves": 0.07, - "num_moves_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": 1.8 - }, - { - "meeting": "Sep 16, 2026", - "meeting_iso": "2026-09-16", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.726, - "prob_move_pct": 32.94, - "prob_is_cut": false, - "num_moves": 0.4, - "num_moves_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": 10.1 - }, - { - "meeting": "Oct 28, 2026", - "meeting_iso": "2026-10-28", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.804, - "prob_move_pct": 31.4, - "prob_is_cut": false, - "num_moves": 0.72, - "num_moves_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": 17.9 - }, - { - "meeting": "Dec 09, 2026", - "meeting_iso": "2026-12-09", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.887, - "prob_move_pct": 33.04, - "prob_is_cut": false, - "num_moves": 1.05, - "num_moves_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": 26.2 - }, - { - "meeting": "Jan 27, 2027", - "meeting_iso": "2027-01-27", - 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