diff --git a/data/rate-probabilities.json b/data/rate-probabilities.json index 9019a3e..e4c1090 100644 --- a/data/rate-probabilities.json +++ b/data/rate-probabilities.json @@ -5,13 +5,112 @@ "midpoint": 3.75, "rows": [ { - "meeting": "Dec", - "meeting_iso": "2026-12-31", - "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.05, - "prob_move_pct": 17, + "meeting": "Jul 29", + "meeting_iso": "2026-07-29", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.833, + "prob_move_pct": 33, "prob_is_cut": false, - "change_bps": 30, - "num_moves": 1.2 + "change_bps": 8.300000000000018, + "num_moves": 0.33200000000000074 + }, + { + "meeting": "Sep 16", + "meeting_iso": "2026-09-16", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.9648, + "prob_move_pct": 68, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 21.47999999999999, + "num_moves": 0.8591999999999996 + }, + { + "meeting": "Oct 28", + "meeting_iso": "2026-10-28", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.028, + "prob_move_pct": 76, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 27.799999999999958, + "num_moves": 1.1119999999999983 + }, + { + "meeting": "Dec 9", + "meeting_iso": "2026-12-09", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1216, + "prob_move_pct": 85, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 37.16, + "num_moves": 1.4864 + }, + { + "meeting": "Jan 27", + "meeting_iso": "2027-01-27", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1638, + "prob_move_pct": 88, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 41.38000000000002, + "num_moves": 1.6552000000000007 + }, + { + "meeting": "Mar 17", + "meeting_iso": "2027-03-17", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.2123, + "prob_move_pct": 90, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 46.22999999999999, + "num_moves": 1.8491999999999995 + }, + { + "meeting": "Apr 28", + "meeting_iso": "2027-04-28", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.2278, + "prob_move_pct": 91, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 47.78000000000002, + "num_moves": 1.911200000000001 + }, + { + "meeting": "Jun 9", + "meeting_iso": "2027-06-09", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.2172, + "prob_move_pct": 90, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 46.720000000000006, + "num_moves": 1.8688000000000002 + }, + { + "meeting": "Jul 28", + "meeting_iso": "2027-07-28", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1827, + "prob_move_pct": 85, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 43.26999999999997, + "num_moves": 1.7307999999999988 + }, + { + "meeting": "Sep 15", + "meeting_iso": "2027-09-15", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.128, + "prob_move_pct": 79, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 37.80000000000001, + "num_moves": 1.5120000000000005 + }, + { + "meeting": "Oct 27", + "meeting_iso": "2027-10-27", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0686, + "prob_move_pct": 72, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 31.86, + "num_moves": 1.2744 + }, + { + "meeting": "Dec 8", + "meeting_iso": "2027-12-08", + "implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0492, + "prob_move_pct": 70, + "prob_is_cut": false, + "change_bps": 29.91999999999999, + "num_moves": 1.1967999999999996 } ] } @@ -129,7 +228,7 @@ } } }, - "fetchedAt": "2026-07-08T19:10:13.771Z", + "fetchedAt": "2026-07-08T19:09:37.374Z", "snapshots": [ { "data": {