fix: restaure la vraie courbe USD (12 réunions) — erreur de résolution de conflit rebase

Le commit précédent a gardé par erreur la version distante (1 point dégradé,
même run bloqué 403) au lieu de la mienne : pendant un `git rebase`,
--ours/--theirs sont inversés par rapport à un merge classique (--ours =
branche cible/origin, pas le commit en cours de replay). Re-fetch confirme
à nouveau 12 réunions FOMC depuis mon IP.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
caty21
2026-07-08 21:09:59 +02:00
parent dc91350bfa
commit 8c6f96efd7
+106 -7
View File
@@ -5,13 +5,112 @@
"midpoint": 3.75,
"rows": [
{
"meeting": "Dec",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-31",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.05,
"prob_move_pct": 17,
"meeting": "Jul 29",
"meeting_iso": "2026-07-29",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.833,
"prob_move_pct": 33,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 30,
"num_moves": 1.2
"change_bps": 8.300000000000018,
"num_moves": 0.33200000000000074
},
{
"meeting": "Sep 16",
"meeting_iso": "2026-09-16",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 3.9648,
"prob_move_pct": 68,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 21.47999999999999,
"num_moves": 0.8591999999999996
},
{
"meeting": "Oct 28",
"meeting_iso": "2026-10-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.028,
"prob_move_pct": 76,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 27.799999999999958,
"num_moves": 1.1119999999999983
},
{
"meeting": "Dec 9",
"meeting_iso": "2026-12-09",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1216,
"prob_move_pct": 85,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 37.16,
"num_moves": 1.4864
},
{
"meeting": "Jan 27",
"meeting_iso": "2027-01-27",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1638,
"prob_move_pct": 88,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 41.38000000000002,
"num_moves": 1.6552000000000007
},
{
"meeting": "Mar 17",
"meeting_iso": "2027-03-17",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.2123,
"prob_move_pct": 90,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 46.22999999999999,
"num_moves": 1.8491999999999995
},
{
"meeting": "Apr 28",
"meeting_iso": "2027-04-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.2278,
"prob_move_pct": 91,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 47.78000000000002,
"num_moves": 1.911200000000001
},
{
"meeting": "Jun 9",
"meeting_iso": "2027-06-09",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.2172,
"prob_move_pct": 90,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 46.720000000000006,
"num_moves": 1.8688000000000002
},
{
"meeting": "Jul 28",
"meeting_iso": "2027-07-28",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.1827,
"prob_move_pct": 85,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 43.26999999999997,
"num_moves": 1.7307999999999988
},
{
"meeting": "Sep 15",
"meeting_iso": "2027-09-15",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.128,
"prob_move_pct": 79,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 37.80000000000001,
"num_moves": 1.5120000000000005
},
{
"meeting": "Oct 27",
"meeting_iso": "2027-10-27",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0686,
"prob_move_pct": 72,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 31.86,
"num_moves": 1.2744
},
{
"meeting": "Dec 8",
"meeting_iso": "2027-12-08",
"implied_rate_post_meeting": 4.0492,
"prob_move_pct": 70,
"prob_is_cut": false,
"change_bps": 29.91999999999999,
"num_moves": 1.1967999999999996
}
]
}
@@ -129,7 +228,7 @@
}
}
},
"fetchedAt": "2026-07-08T19:10:13.771Z",
"fetchedAt": "2026-07-08T19:09:37.374Z",
"snapshots": [
{
"data": {