mirror of
https://github.com/caty21/forex-dashboard.git
synced 2026-08-15 13:38:06 +00:00
feat: banques centrales (vote+dot plot+previsions), calendrier elargi, fix InvestingLive, M3 auto
Central bank governance (nouvel onglet Banques centrales) : - lib/centralBankGovernance.ts + app/api/central-bank-sources : scraping live du vote de la derniere reunion, dot plot Fed (SEP), et desormais les previsions macro (PIB + inflation) publiees par chaque BC elle-meme (Fed SEP, Eurosystem staff projections, BoJ Outlook Report PDF, SNB conditional forecast, BoC MPR, RBA SMP). GBP/NZD laisses honnetement vides quand aucune source chiffree fiable n'est accessible (RBNZ bloque par Cloudflare). - components/CentralBankSourcesTab.tsx : nouvel onglet avec cards par banque. Taux directeurs + Money Supply M3 : - data/rate_decisions.json corrige (JPY, EUR, NZD etc. etaient perimes d'1-2 decisions) et desormais auto-maintenu : .github/workflows/update-rate-decisions.yml (horaire) detecte les changements de taux via Trading Economics et fait glisser current -> prev sans perte de donnee. - data/money-supply-m3.json (nouveau) + .github/workflows/fetch-money-supply.yml (hebdo) : M3 par devise (proxy M2 pour l'USD, la Fed ne publiant plus M3 depuis 2006), affiche dans CurrencyCard. Calendrier economique elargi : - lib/calendar-countries.ts, lib/calendar-taxonomy.ts, lib/fxstreetCalendar.ts : couverture pays elargie + classification des evenements + source FXStreet. Fix InvestingLive : - lib/investinglive.ts : l'ancienne API WordPress (wp-json) renvoyait 404 depuis leur migration Nuxt.js -> reecrit vers api.investinglive.com/api/homepage/articles, + fix crash silencieux (Tldr pas toujours un tableau). Divers : - .vercel/ ajoute au .gitignore (ne doit jamais etre commite, cf. son propre README). - scripts/ (lancement PWA, push env Vercel), captures d'ecran, cache InvestingLive. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
caty21
co-authored by
Claude Sonnet 5
Claude Sonnet 5
parent
82a732fbdf
commit
0657b50c07
+105
-17
@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import type { Currency } from "@/lib/types";
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export const dynamic = "force-dynamic";
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import cpiOverridesRaw from "@/data/cpi_overrides.json";
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import rateDecisionsRaw from "@/data/rate_decisions.json";
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import moneySupplyM3Raw from "@/data/money-supply-m3.json";
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import { fetchFFThisWeek, fetchFFEvents } from "@/lib/forexfactory";
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import type { FFEvent } from "@/lib/forexfactory";
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import { fetchTECoreInflation, fetchTEMoMInflation, fetchTEInflationYoY, fetchTECoreCPIMoM, fetchTECoreConsumerPricesIndex, fetchTEPPIMoM, fetchTECoreInflationPages, fetchTEInflationYoYPages, fetchTEAUDCommodityYoY, fetchTEGDPGrowthRate, fetchTEUnemploymentRate, fetchTESTIRRate, fetchTEEmploymentChange } from "@/lib/tecpi";
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@@ -129,6 +130,78 @@ async function boeRate(): Promise<Obs[]> {
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} catch { return []; }
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}
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// ── SNB officiel (CHF policy rate) ─────────────────────────────────────────────
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// snb.ch publie ses décisions sous /press-releases-restricted/pre_YYYYMMDD.
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// On découvre la plus récente depuis la page listing (1er lien du pattern),
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// puis on lit le taux dans le titre : "leaves ... unchanged at X%" / "lowers/raises ... to X%".
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async function scrapeSnbRate(): Promise<number | null> {
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const headers = {
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"User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko) Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36",
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"Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,*/*;q=0.8",
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};
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try {
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const listRes = await fetch("https://www.snb.ch/en/the-snb/mandates-goals/monetary-policy/decisions", {
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next: { revalidate: REVALIDATE }, headers,
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});
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if (!listRes.ok) return null;
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const listHtml = await listRes.text();
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const linkMatch = listHtml.match(/href="(\/en\/publications\/communication\/press-releases-restricted\/pre_\d{8}[^"]*)"/);
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if (!linkMatch) return null;
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const prRes = await fetch(`https://www.snb.ch${linkMatch[1]}`, {
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next: { revalidate: REVALIDATE }, headers,
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});
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if (!prRes.ok) return null;
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const prHtml = await prRes.text();
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const rateMatch = prHtml.match(/SNB policy rate\s+(?:unchanged at|to)\s+(-?[\d.]+)%/i);
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return rateMatch ? parseFloat(rateMatch[1]) : null;
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} catch { return null; }
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}
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// ── Fed officiel (USD policy rate) ──────────────────────────────────────────────
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// fomccalendars.htm liste, pour chaque réunion, un lien de statement
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// /newsevents/pressreleases/monetary(YYYYMMDD)a.htm. On prend la réunion passée
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// la plus récente puis on lit la fourchette officielle : "target range for the
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// federal funds rate at/to X to Y percent" (X/Y en fractions type "3-1/2").
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// On retourne le haut de fourchette (convention "upper bound" déjà utilisée ici).
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function parseFedFraction(s: string): number {
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const m = s.match(/^(\d+)(?:-(\d+)\/(\d+))?$/);
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if (!m) return NaN;
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const whole = parseFloat(m[1]);
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return m[2] ? whole + parseFloat(m[2]) / parseFloat(m[3]) : whole;
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}
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async function scrapeFedRate(): Promise<number | null> {
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const headers = {
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"User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64) AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko) Chrome/124.0.0.0 Safari/537.36",
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"Accept": "text/html,application/xhtml+xml,*/*;q=0.8",
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};
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try {
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const calRes = await fetch("https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm", {
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next: { revalidate: REVALIDATE }, headers,
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});
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if (!calRes.ok) return null;
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const calHtml = await calRes.text();
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const todayCompact = new Date().toISOString().slice(0,10).replace(/-/g,"");
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const dates = new Set<string>();
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for (const m of Array.from(calHtml.matchAll(/\/newsevents\/pressreleases\/monetary(\d{8})a\.htm/g))) dates.add(m[1]);
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const latestPast = Array.from(dates).filter(d => d <= todayCompact).sort().reverse()[0];
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if (!latestPast) return null;
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const stRes = await fetch(`https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary${latestPast}a.htm`, {
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next: { revalidate: REVALIDATE }, headers,
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});
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if (!stRes.ok) return null;
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const stHtml = await stRes.text();
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const rateMatch = stHtml.match(/target range for the federal funds rate[\s\S]{0,60}?\d+(?:-\d\/\d)?\s*to\s*(\d+(?:-\d\/\d)?)\s*percent/i);
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if (!rateMatch) return null;
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const upper = parseFedFraction(rateMatch[1]);
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return isNaN(upper) ? null : upper;
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} catch { return null; }
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}
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// ── DBnomics API (agrégateur IMF/IFS, BIS, OECD…) ────────────────────────────
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// Format : https://api.db.nomics.world/v22/series/{provider}/{dataset}/{code}?observations=1
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// Utilisé pour les séries absentes de FRED : JPY CPI, AUD/NZD CPI fallback
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@@ -530,6 +603,19 @@ function getRateDecision(ccy: string): RateDecision | null {
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return entry?.decisions?.[ccy] ?? null;
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}
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// ── money-supply-m3.json — masse monétaire M3 (niveau, statique) ─────────────
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type MoneySupplyM3 = {
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value: number; unit: string; period: string; isProxy: boolean;
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proxyLabel?: string; source: string;
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};
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function getMoneySupplyM3(ccy: string): MoneySupplyM3 | null {
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type MsRaw = [{ series: Record<string, MoneySupplyM3> }];
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const entry = (moneySupplyM3Raw as unknown as MsRaw)[0];
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return entry?.series?.[ccy] ?? null;
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}
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/** Construit un IndicatorResult à partir de la valeur TE + prev de l'override */
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function buildRateIndicator(current: number, prev: number, today: string): IndicatorResult {
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const surprise = parseFloat((current - prev).toFixed(4));
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@@ -846,11 +932,13 @@ export async function GET(req: NextRequest) {
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// USD — midpoint de la fourchette cible (DFEDTARU + DFEDTARL) / 2
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// Rateprobability.com / marchés quotent le midpoint (3.625%) pas l'upper bound (3.75%)
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// USD — TE scraping (taux Fed upper bound officiel = 3.75%)
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// USD — Fed officiel en primaire (source directe federalreserve.gov, cf. scrapeFedRate)
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// Repli TE scraping puis FRED upper bound si federalreserve.gov indisponible.
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// Ancien calcul midpoint FRED (DFEDTARU+DFEDTARL)/2 = 3.625% → pas le taux annoncé
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if (currency === "USD") {
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const te = await scrapeTeRate(TE_COUNTRY.USD);
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const fed = await scrapeFedRate();
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const ovr = getRateDecision("USD");
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const te = fed ?? await scrapeTeRate(TE_COUNTRY.USD);
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if (te !== null && ovr) {
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indicators.policyRate = buildRateIndicator(te, ovr.prev, today);
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} else if (te !== null) {
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@@ -930,15 +1018,17 @@ export async function GET(req: NextRequest) {
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}
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}
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// CHF — TE scraping (taux SNB officiel exact = 0.00%)
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// CHF — SNB officiel en primaire (source directe snb.ch, cf. scrapeSnbRate)
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// Repli TE scraping si snb.ch indisponible.
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// IR3TIB01CHM156N = SARON 3M (~-0.04%) ≠ taux SNB officiel
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if (currency === "CHF") {
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const te = await scrapeTeRate(TE_COUNTRY.CHF);
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const snb = await scrapeSnbRate();
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const ovr = getRateDecision("CHF");
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if (te !== null && ovr) {
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indicators.policyRate = buildRateIndicator(te, ovr.prev, today);
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} else if (te !== null) {
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indicators.policyRate = { value: te, prev: null, surprise: null, trend: null, lastUpdated: today };
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const rate = snb ?? await scrapeTeRate(TE_COUNTRY.CHF);
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if (rate !== null && ovr) {
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indicators.policyRate = buildRateIndicator(rate, ovr.prev, today);
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} else if (rate !== null) {
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indicators.policyRate = { value: rate, prev: null, surprise: null, trend: null, lastUpdated: today };
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}
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}
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@@ -1047,18 +1137,16 @@ export async function GET(req: NextRequest) {
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toDateObj.setDate(toDateObj.getDate() + 21);
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const toDate = toDateObj.toISOString().slice(0, 10);
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const [ffPMI, pmiMfgRaw, pmiSvcRaw, pmiCompositeRaw, ffForecasts, teForecastMap, invForecastMap] = await Promise.all([
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const [ffPMI, pmiMfgRaw, pmiSvcRaw, pmiCompositeRaw, ffForecasts, teForecastMap] = await Promise.all([
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fetchFFPMI(currency),
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scrapePMI(currency, "manufacturing-pmi"),
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scrapePMI(currency, "services-pmi"),
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scrapePMI(currency, "composite-pmi"),
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fetchFFForecasts(currency),
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fetchTEInflationForecasts(today, toDate),
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(await import("@/lib/investing")).fetchInvestingInflationForecasts(today, toDate),
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]);
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const teCpiForecast = teForecastMap[currency];
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const invForecast = invForecastMap[currency];
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// FF en priorité (forecast + actual) ; TE en fallback
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indicators.pmiMfg = ffPMI.mfg ? toPmiIndicator(ffPMI.mfg) : toPmiIndicator(pmiMfgRaw);
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indicators.pmiServices = ffPMI.svc ? toPmiIndicator(ffPMI.svc) : toPmiIndicator(pmiSvcRaw);
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@@ -1337,14 +1425,14 @@ export async function GET(req: NextRequest) {
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const data = {
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currency, indicators,
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moneySupplyM3: getMoneySupplyM3(currency),
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forecasts: {
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// CPI — TE calendar forecast (priorité) puis ForexFactory
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// Les forecasts TE sont des strings "2.8%" → parseFloat les convertit en number
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cpi: parseTeF(teCpiForecast?.cpiYoY) ?? parseTeF(invForecast?.cpiYoY) ?? ffForecasts.cpi ?? null,
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cpiCore: parseTeF(teCpiForecast?.cpiCore) ?? parseTeF(invForecast?.cpiCore) ?? null,
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cpiMoM: parseTeF(teCpiForecast?.cpiMoM) ?? parseTeF(invForecast?.cpiMoM) ?? null,
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cpiCoreMoM: parseTeF(teCpiForecast?.cpiCoreMoM) ?? parseTeF(invForecast?.cpiCoreMoM) ?? null,
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ppiMoM: parseTeF(teCpiForecast?.ppiMoM) ?? parseTeF(invForecast?.ppiMoM) ?? null,
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cpi: parseTeF(teCpiForecast?.cpiYoY) ?? ffForecasts.cpi ?? null,
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cpiCore: parseTeF(teCpiForecast?.cpiCore) ?? null,
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cpiMoM: parseTeF(teCpiForecast?.cpiMoM) ?? null,
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cpiCoreMoM: parseTeF(teCpiForecast?.cpiCoreMoM) ?? null,
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ppiMoM: parseTeF(teCpiForecast?.ppiMoM) ?? null,
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cpiSurprise: ffForecasts.cpiSurprise,
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unemployment: ffForecasts.unemployment,
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unemploymentSurprise: ffForecasts.unemploymentSurprise,
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