Files
drift/run_pipeline.py
T
Daniel Szemerey fc4e59a7d2 feat(Sweep): separated level-1 and level-2 sweep configs, skip assets with too few samples to train on, simplified model mapping (#84)
* feat: Added ensemble models to sweep and configured naming convention.

* fix: Default value was misconfigured.

* feat(Sweep): separated level-1 and level-2 sweep configs, skip assets with too few samples to train on, simplified model mapping

* fix(Sweep): syntax error

* chore(Sweep): set sweep names accordingly

* fix(Sweep): set sliding window

* fix(Sweep): adjusted sweep config

* fix(Sweep): removed invalid feature extractor preset

Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2021-12-23 23:48:59 +01:00

108 lines
5.1 KiB
Python

from utils.load_data import load_data
import pandas as pd
from training.training import run_single_asset_trainig
from reporting.wandb import launch_wandb, send_report_to_wandb, register_config_with_wandb
from models.model_map import map_model_name_to_function
from feature_extractors.feature_extractor_presets import preprocess_feature_extractors_config
from config import get_default_config, validate_config, get_model_name
from utils.helpers import get_first_valid_return_index
def setup_pipeline(project_name:str, with_wandb: bool, sweep: bool):
model_config, training_config, data_config = get_default_config()
wandb = None
if with_wandb:
wandb = launch_wandb(project_name=project_name, default_config=dict(**model_config, **training_config, **data_config), sweep=sweep)
register_config_with_wandb(wandb, model_config, training_config, data_config)
model_config = map_model_name_to_function(model_config, data_config['method'])
data_config = preprocess_feature_extractors_config(data_config)
pipeline(project_name, wandb, sweep, model_config, training_config, data_config)
def pipeline(project_name:str, wandb, sweep:bool, model_config:dict, training_config:dict, data_config:dict ):
results = pd.DataFrame()
validate_config(model_config, training_config, data_config)
for asset in data_config['all_assets']:
print('--------\nPredicting: ', asset)
all_predictions = pd.DataFrame()
# 1. Load data
data_params = data_config.copy()
data_params['target_asset'] = asset
X, y, target_returns = load_data(**data_params)
first_valid_index = get_first_valid_return_index(X.iloc[:,0])
samples_to_train = len(y) - first_valid_index
if samples_to_train < training_config['sliding_window_size'] * 2.6:
print("Not enough samples to train")
continue
# 2. Train Level-1 models
current_result, current_predictions = run_single_asset_trainig(
ticker_to_predict = asset,
X = X,
y = y,
target_returns = target_returns,
models = model_config['level_1_models'],
method = data_config['method'],
expanding_window = training_config['expanding_window'],
sliding_window_size = training_config['sliding_window_size'],
retrain_every = training_config['retrain_every'],
scaler = training_config['scaler'],
no_of_classes = data_config['no_of_classes'],
level = 1
)
results = pd.concat([results, current_result], axis=1)
all_predictions = pd.concat([all_predictions, current_predictions], axis=1)
if len(model_config['level_2_models']) > 0:
# 3. Train Level-2 (Ensemble) model
ensemble_X = all_predictions
if training_config['include_original_data_in_ensemble']:
ensemble_X = pd.concat([ensemble_X, X], axis=1)
ensemble_result, ensemble_preds = run_single_asset_trainig(
ticker_to_predict = asset,
X = ensemble_X,
y = y,
target_returns = target_returns,
models = model_config['level_2_models'],
method = data_config['method'],
expanding_window = training_config['expanding_window'],
sliding_window_size = training_config['sliding_window_size'],
retrain_every = training_config['retrain_every'],
scaler = training_config['scaler'],
no_of_classes = data_config['no_of_classes'],
level = 2
)
results = pd.concat([results, ensemble_result], axis=1)
all_predictions = pd.concat([all_predictions, ensemble_preds], axis=1)
# 4. Save & report results
send_report_to_wandb(results, wandb, project_name, get_model_name(model_config))
results.to_csv('results.csv')
level1_columns = results[[column for column in results.columns if 'Ensemble' not in column]]
ensemble_columns = results[[column for column in results.columns if 'Ensemble' in column]]
print("\n--------\n")
print("Benchmark buy-and-hold sharpe: ", round(results.loc['benchmark_sharpe'].mean(), 3))
print("Level-1: Number of samples evaluated: ", level1_columns.loc['no_of_samples'].sum())
print("Mean Sharpe ratio for Level-1 models: ", round(level1_columns.loc['sharpe'].mean(), 3))
print("Mean Probabilistic Sharpe ratio for Level-1 models: ", round(level1_columns.loc['prob_sharpe'].mean(), 3))
print("Level-2 (Ensemble): Number of samples evaluated: ", ensemble_columns.loc['no_of_samples'].sum())
print("Mean Sharpe ratio for Level-2 (Ensemble) models: ", round(ensemble_columns.loc['sharpe'].mean(), 3))
print("Mean Probabilistic Sharpe ratio for Level-2 (Ensemble) models: ", round(ensemble_columns.loc['prob_sharpe'].mean(), 3))
if sweep:
if wandb.run is not None:
wandb.finish()
if __name__ == '__main__':
setup_pipeline(project_name='price-prediction', with_wandb = False, sweep = False)