Files
drift/tests/test_evaluation.py
T
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 9488e92597 feature(MetaLabeling): replaced previous non-functional Ensembling method with Meta-labeling method available for both lvl1 and lvl2 models (#110)
* feature(MetaLabeling): added hacky prototype

* fix(MetaLabeling): drop index until first valid X & y

* fix(MetaLabeling): transform both X & y before feature selection

* fix(MetaLabeling): got feature selection to work

* fix(MetaLabeling): correct values for meta_y

* feat(MetaLabeling): created predictions multiplied by bet sizes

* feat(Pipeline): print out averaged result

* fix(Evaluation): correctly deal with non-discretized data

* fix(Pipeline): use the right column names

* refactor(Pipeline): move out meta-labeling

* refactor(Pipeline): complete refactoring

* feat(CI): post results to PR

* fix(Pipeline): use the correct filename

* chore(Config): removed now redundant feature_selection flag

* feat(Models): added SVC

* fix(Pipeline): accidentally switched two return values

* feat(Sweep): prepared sweep_meta.yaml, moved report_results() into a separate file

* fix(Pipeline): wrong function name

* fix(Sweep): yaml + run_sweep

* fix(Sweep): typo in name

* fix(Reporting): only save averaged results

* feat(MetaLabeling): use optional meta-labeling step for every lvl1 models, before averaging

* feat(Reporting): print out sharpe improvement in meta-labeling step

* fix(Sweep): adjusted config, defaulted to good defaults

* fix(Sweep): adjusted sweep
2022-01-06 16:36:45 +01:00

105 lines
2.6 KiB
Python

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from training.walk_forward import walk_forward_train_test
from models.base import Model
from utils.evaluate import evaluate_predictions
no_of_rows = 100
def __generate_even_odd_test_data(no_of_rows) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.Series]:
''' Test data, where X[n][any_column] == 1 if n is even, else 0
'''
no_columns = 6
X = [[-1 if row % 2 == 0 else 1] * no_columns for row in range(no_of_rows)]
assert X[0][0] == -1
assert X[1][0] == 1
assert X[2][0] == -1
assert X[3][0] == 1
X = pd.DataFrame(X)
y = [-1 if (row+1) % 2 == 0 else 1 for row in range(no_of_rows)]
assert y[0] == 1
assert y[1] == -1
assert y[2] == 1
assert y[3] == -1
y = pd.Series(y)
return X, y
class EvenOddStubModel(Model):
'''
A deteministic model that can predict the future with 100% accuracy
It verifies that the X[n][any_column] == 1 if n is even,
'''
data_scaling = "unscaled"
only_column = None
predict_window_size = 'single_timestamp'
def __init__(self, window_length) -> None:
super().__init__()
self.window_length = window_length
def fit(self, X, y):
assert len(X) == self.window_length
for i in range(len(X)):
assert y[i] == -1 if X[i][0] == 1 else 1
def predict(self, X):
return (-1 if X[0][0] == 1 else 1, np.array([]))
def clone(self):
return self
def get_name(self) -> str:
return 'test'
def initialize_network(self, input_dim: int, output_dim: int):
pass
def test_evaluation():
X, y = __generate_even_odd_test_data(no_of_rows)
window_length = 10
model = EvenOddStubModel(window_length = window_length)
scaler = None
models, predictions, probs = walk_forward_train_test(
model_name='test',
model=model,
X=X,
y=y,
target_returns=y,
expanding_window=False,
window_size=window_length,
retrain_every=10,
scaler=scaler
)
# verify if predictions are the same as y
for i in range(window_length+2, no_of_rows):
assert predictions[i] == y[i]
fake_target_returns = y * 0.1
processed_predictions_to_match_returns = predictions * 0.1
result = evaluate_predictions(
model_name='test',
target_returns=fake_target_returns,
y_pred=processed_predictions_to_match_returns,
y_true=y,
method='classification',
no_of_classes='two',
discretize=True
)
assert result['accuracy'] == 100.0