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drift/training/walk_forward/inference_batched.py
T
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 9d47ee942d feat(Project): use SKLearn models directly, removed custom ensembling, use 5 minute data, batch inference, numba cusum filter (#192)
* feat(Project): use 5 minute data, running training in parallel, sped up cusum filter by 10x with numba

* fix(WalkForward): inference mini-batch parallelization

* fix(WalkForward): don't use the parallel version of any of the functions

* feat(CI): download the data required

* fix(Project): 5min_crypto folder added

* fix(Evaluate): make sure we have numerical stability in returns

* feat(Models): use SKLearn models directly to enable composability

* feat(Inference): batched inference now working, added forecasting_horizon

* fix(Inference): works again

* fix(Inference)

* chore(Models): remove unused Ensemble model

* fix(Labeller): don't just forward shift returns, also take the sum of the data happened until then

* Update test.yml
2022-02-17 16:36:35 +01:00

56 lines
2.8 KiB
Python

import pandas as pd
from training.types import ModelOverTime, TransformationsOverTime, PredictionsSeries, ProbabilitiesDataFrame
from utils.helpers import get_first_valid_return_index
from tqdm import tqdm
from typing import Optional
from data_loader.types import XDataFrame
from tqdm import tqdm
def walk_forward_inference_batched(
model_name: str,
model_over_time: ModelOverTime,
transformations_over_time: TransformationsOverTime,
X: XDataFrame,
expanding_window: bool,
window_size: int,
retrain_every: int,
from_index: Optional[pd.Timestamp],
) -> tuple[PredictionsSeries, ProbabilitiesDataFrame]:
predictions = pd.Series(index=X.index, dtype='object').rename(model_name)
probabilities = pd.DataFrame(index=X.index, columns=['0', '1'])
inference_from = max(get_first_valid_return_index(model_over_time), get_first_valid_return_index(X.iloc[:,0])) if from_index is None else X.index.to_list().index(from_index)
inference_till = X.shape[0]
first_model = model_over_time[inference_from]
if first_model.only_column is not None:
X = X[[column for column in X.columns if first_model.only_column in column]]
if first_model.data_transformation == 'original':
transformations_over_time = []
batch_indices = range(inference_from, inference_till, retrain_every) if inference_till - inference_from > retrain_every else [inference_from]
batched_results = [__inference_from_window(index, index + retrain_every, X, model_over_time, transformations_over_time, expanding_window, window_size) for index in tqdm(batch_indices)]
for batch in batched_results:
for index, prediction, probs in batch:
predictions[X.index[index]] = prediction
probabilities.loc[X.index[index]] = probs
return predictions, probabilities
def __inference_from_window(index_start: int, index_end: int, X: XDataFrame, model_over_time: ModelOverTime, transformations_over_time: TransformationsOverTime, expanding_window: bool, window_size: int) -> list[tuple[int, float, pd.Series]]:
current_model = model_over_time[X.index[index_start]]
current_transformations = [transformation_over_time[X.index[index_start]] for transformation_over_time in transformations_over_time]
input_data = X.iloc[index_start:index_end]
for transformation in current_transformations:
input_data = transformation.transform(input_data)
input_data = input_data.to_numpy()
predictions = current_model.predict(input_data)
probs = current_model.predict_proba(input_data)
results = [(index_start + index, predictions[index], probs[index]) for index in range(len(predictions))]
return results