Files
drift/run_inference.py
T
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 9d47ee942d feat(Project): use SKLearn models directly, removed custom ensembling, use 5 minute data, batch inference, numba cusum filter (#192)
* feat(Project): use 5 minute data, running training in parallel, sped up cusum filter by 10x with numba

* fix(WalkForward): inference mini-batch parallelization

* fix(WalkForward): don't use the parallel version of any of the functions

* feat(CI): download the data required

* fix(Project): 5min_crypto folder added

* fix(Evaluate): make sure we have numerical stability in returns

* feat(Models): use SKLearn models directly to enable composability

* feat(Inference): batched inference now working, added forecasting_horizon

* fix(Inference): works again

* fix(Inference)

* chore(Models): remove unused Ensemble model

* fix(Labeller): don't just forward shift returns, also take the sum of the data happened until then

* Update test.yml
2022-02-17 16:36:35 +01:00

55 lines
2.6 KiB
Python

from data_loader import load_data
from data_loader.process import check_data
from reporting.saving import load_models
from run_pipeline import run_pipeline
from config.types import Config, RawConfig
from config.presets import get_dev_config, get_default_ensemble_config, get_lightweight_ensemble_config
from labeling.process import label_data
import pandas as pd
from training.directional_training import train_directional_model
from training.bet_sizing import bet_sizing_with_meta_model
from training.types import PipelineOutcome
def run_inference(preload_models:bool, fallback_raw_config: RawConfig):
if preload_models:
pipeline_outcome, config = load_models(None)
else:
pipeline_outcome, config = run_pipeline(project_name='price-prediction', with_wandb = False, sweep = False, raw_config=fallback_raw_config)
config.mode = 'inference'
__inference(config, pipeline_outcome)
def __inference(config: Config, pipeline_outcome: PipelineOutcome):
# 1. Load data, check for validity and process data
X, returns = load_data(
assets = config.assets,
other_assets = config.other_assets,
exogenous_data = config.exogenous_data,
target_asset = config.target_asset,
load_non_target_asset = config.load_non_target_asset,
own_features = config.own_features,
other_features = config.other_features,
exogenous_features = config.exogenous_features,
)
assert check_data(X, config) == True, "Data is not valid. Cancelling Inference."
# 2. Filter for significant events when we want to trade, and label data
events, X, y, forward_returns = label_data(config.event_filter, config.labeling, X, returns)
inference_from: pd.Timestamp = X.index[len(X.index) - 1]
# 3. Train directional models
directional_training_outcome = train_directional_model(X, y, forward_returns, config, config.directional_model, from_index = inference_from, preloaded_training_step = pipeline_outcome.directional_training)
# 4. Run bet sizing on primary model's output
bet_sizing_outcome = bet_sizing_with_meta_model(X, directional_training_outcome.training.predictions, y, forward_returns, config.meta_model, config, 'meta', from_index = inference_from, transformations_over_time = pipeline_outcome.bet_sizing.meta_transformations, preloaded_models = pipeline_outcome.bet_sizing.meta_training.model_over_time)
return PipelineOutcome(directional_training_outcome, bet_sizing_outcome)
if __name__ == '__main__':
run_inference(preload_models=True, fallback_raw_config=get_lightweight_ensemble_config())