Files
drift/training/train_model.py
T
Mark Aron Szulyovszky f85ee6bb9c fix(MetaLabeling): previously misinterpreted meta-labeling, now also multiplying base model's prediction with the meta model's prediction (#193)
* fix(MetaLabeling): previously misinterpreted meta-labeling, now also multiplying base model's prediction with the meta model's prediction

* fix(Evaluate): print results

* fix(Evaluate): make sure we have numerical stability in returns

* fix(Inference): only output and print stats in training mode

* fix(Evaluate): don't add miniscule amount to result
2022-02-01 13:09:00 +01:00

87 lines
3.3 KiB
Python

import pandas as pd
from typing import Literal, Optional
from training.walk_forward import walk_forward_train, walk_forward_inference
from utils.evaluate import evaluate_predictions
from models.base import Model
from .types import ModelOverTime, TransformationsOverTime, TrainingOutcome
def train_models(
ticker_to_predict: str,
X: pd.DataFrame,
y: pd.Series,
forward_returns: pd.Series,
models: list[Model],
expanding_window: bool,
sliding_window_size: int,
retrain_every: int,
from_index: Optional[pd.Timestamp],
no_of_classes: Literal['two', 'three-balanced', 'three-imbalanced'],
level: str,
output_stats: bool,
transformations_over_time: TransformationsOverTime,
models_over_time: Optional[list[ModelOverTime]]
) -> list[TrainingOutcome]:
return [train_model(ticker_to_predict, X, y, forward_returns, model, expanding_window, sliding_window_size, retrain_every, from_index, no_of_classes, level, output_stats, transformations_over_time, models_over_time[index] if models_over_time else None) for index, model in enumerate(models)]
def train_model(
ticker_to_predict: str,
X: pd.DataFrame,
y: pd.Series,
forward_returns: pd.Series,
model: Model,
expanding_window: bool,
sliding_window_size: int,
retrain_every: int,
from_index: Optional[pd.Timestamp],
no_of_classes: Literal['two', 'three-balanced', 'three-imbalanced'],
level: str,
output_stats: bool,
transformations_over_time: TransformationsOverTime,
model_over_time: Optional[ModelOverTime]
) -> TrainingOutcome:
if model_over_time is None:
print("Train model")
model_over_time = walk_forward_train(
model = model,
X = X,
y = y,
forward_returns = forward_returns,
expanding_window = expanding_window,
window_size = sliding_window_size,
retrain_every = retrain_every,
from_index = from_index,
transformations_over_time = transformations_over_time,
)
levelname = ("_" + level) if level == 'meta' else ""
if model_over_time is None:
model_id = "model_" + model.name + "_" + ticker_to_predict + levelname
else:
model_id = model_over_time.name
predictions, probabilities = walk_forward_inference(
model_name = model_id,
model_over_time= model_over_time,
transformations_over_time = transformations_over_time,
X = X,
expanding_window = expanding_window,
window_size = sliding_window_size,
retrain_every = retrain_every,
from_index = from_index,
)
assert len(predictions) == len(y)
if output_stats:
stats = evaluate_predictions(
forward_returns = forward_returns,
y_pred = predictions,
y_true = y,
no_of_classes=no_of_classes,
discretize=True
)
else:
stats = None
return TrainingOutcome(model_id, predictions, probabilities, stats, model_over_time)