Files
drift/training/meta_labeling.py
T
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 9488e92597 feature(MetaLabeling): replaced previous non-functional Ensembling method with Meta-labeling method available for both lvl1 and lvl2 models (#110)
* feature(MetaLabeling): added hacky prototype

* fix(MetaLabeling): drop index until first valid X & y

* fix(MetaLabeling): transform both X & y before feature selection

* fix(MetaLabeling): got feature selection to work

* fix(MetaLabeling): correct values for meta_y

* feat(MetaLabeling): created predictions multiplied by bet sizes

* feat(Pipeline): print out averaged result

* fix(Evaluation): correctly deal with non-discretized data

* fix(Pipeline): use the right column names

* refactor(Pipeline): move out meta-labeling

* refactor(Pipeline): complete refactoring

* feat(CI): post results to PR

* fix(Pipeline): use the correct filename

* chore(Config): removed now redundant feature_selection flag

* feat(Models): added SVC

* fix(Pipeline): accidentally switched two return values

* feat(Sweep): prepared sweep_meta.yaml, moved report_results() into a separate file

* fix(Pipeline): wrong function name

* fix(Sweep): yaml + run_sweep

* fix(Sweep): typo in name

* fix(Reporting): only save averaged results

* feat(MetaLabeling): use optional meta-labeling step for every lvl1 models, before averaging

* feat(Reporting): print out sharpe improvement in meta-labeling step

* fix(Sweep): adjusted config, defaulted to good defaults

* fix(Sweep): adjusted sweep
2022-01-06 16:36:45 +01:00

62 lines
3.2 KiB
Python

from utils.evaluate import discretize_threeway_threshold, evaluate_predictions
from utils.helpers import random_string, equal_except_nan, drop_until_first_valid_index
from training.training import run_single_asset_trainig
from feature_selection.feature_selection import select_features
import pandas as pd
from models.model_map import default_feature_selector_regression, default_feature_selector_classification
def run_meta_labeling_training(
target_asset: str,
X_pca: pd.DataFrame,
input_predictions: pd.Series,
y: pd.Series,
target_returns: pd.Series,
data_config: dict,
model_config: dict,
training_config: dict
) -> tuple[pd.Series, pd.Series, pd.DataFrame]:
discretize = discretize_threeway_threshold(0.33)
discretized_predictions = input_predictions.apply(discretize)
meta_y: pd.Series = pd.concat([discretized_predictions, y], axis=1).apply(equal_except_nan, axis = 1)
print("Feature Selection started")
backup_model = default_feature_selector_regression if data_config['method'] == 'regression' else default_feature_selector_classification
meta_feature_selection_input_X, meta_feature_selection_input_y = drop_until_first_valid_index(X_pca, meta_y)
feature_selection_output = select_features(X = meta_feature_selection_input_X, y = meta_feature_selection_input_y, model = model_config['level_1_models'][0][1], n_features_to_select = training_config['n_features_to_select'], backup_model = backup_model, scaling = training_config['scaler'], data_config_hash = random_string(10))
meta_selected_features_X = X_pca[feature_selection_output.columns]
meta_X = pd.concat([meta_selected_features_X, input_predictions, discretized_predictions], axis = 1)
_, meta_preds, meta_probabilities = run_single_asset_trainig(
ticker_to_predict = "prediction_correct",
original_X = meta_X,
X = meta_X,
y = meta_y,
target_returns = target_returns,
models = [model_config['level_2_model']],
method = data_config['method'],
expanding_window = training_config['expanding_window_level2'],
sliding_window_size = training_config['sliding_window_size_level2'],
retrain_every = training_config['retrain_every'],
scaler = training_config['scaler'],
no_of_classes = 'two',
level = 2
)
bet_size = meta_probabilities.iloc[:,1]
avg_predictions_with_sizing = input_predictions * bet_size
avg_predictions_with_sizing.rename("model_" + target_asset + "_meta_lvl" + str(2), inplace=True)
meta_result = evaluate_predictions(
model_name = "Meta",
target_returns = target_returns,
y_pred = avg_predictions_with_sizing,
y_true = y,
method = 'classification',
no_of_classes = data_config['no_of_classes'],
discretize=False
)
meta_result.rename("model_" + target_asset + "_meta_lvl" + str(2), inplace=True)
return meta_result, avg_predictions_with_sizing, meta_probabilities