Files
drift/training/walk_forward/inference_batched.py
T
Mark Aron Szulyovszky b5ddee8dce feat(HPO): added run_hpo script (#237)
* feat(HPO): added `run_hpo` script

* fix(Linter): ran

* feat(HPO): removed any reference to sweep (superseeded by optuna)

* fix(HPO): optimize for sharpe

* fix(Config): removed glassnode data, save trials from hpo

* feat(Labelling): added three-balanced method works again

* fix(BetSizing): set the correct class labels

* fix(HPO): powerset should return what's expected, added two new normalization methods

* fix(Linter): ran

* fix(DataLoader): sort the dataframe when fetching data

* fix(Config): only take z-score of other assets
2022-03-15 14:43:16 +01:00

103 lines
3.0 KiB
Python

import pandas as pd
from training.types import (
ModelOverTime,
TransformationsOverTime,
PredictionsSeries,
ProbabilitiesDataFrame,
)
from utils.helpers import get_first_valid_return_index
from tqdm import tqdm
from typing import Optional
from data_loader.types import XDataFrame
from tqdm import tqdm
def walk_forward_inference_batched(
model_name: str,
model_over_time: ModelOverTime,
transformations_over_time: TransformationsOverTime,
X: XDataFrame,
expanding_window: bool,
window_size: int,
retrain_every: int,
class_labels: list[int],
from_index: Optional[pd.Timestamp],
) -> tuple[PredictionsSeries, ProbabilitiesDataFrame]:
predictions = pd.Series(index=X.index, dtype="object").rename(model_name)
probabilities = pd.DataFrame(
index=X.index, columns=[str(label) for label in class_labels]
)
inference_from = (
max(
get_first_valid_return_index(model_over_time),
get_first_valid_return_index(X.iloc[:, 0]),
)
if from_index is None
else X.index.to_list().index(from_index)
)
inference_till = X.shape[0]
first_model = model_over_time[inference_from]
if first_model.only_column is not None:
X = X[[column for column in X.columns if first_model.only_column in column]]
if first_model.data_transformation == "original":
transformations_over_time = []
batch_indices = (
range(inference_from, inference_till, retrain_every)
if inference_till - inference_from > retrain_every
else [inference_from]
)
batched_results = [
__inference_from_window(
index,
index + retrain_every,
X,
model_over_time,
transformations_over_time,
expanding_window,
window_size,
)
for index in tqdm(batch_indices)
]
for batch in batched_results:
for index, prediction, probs in batch:
predictions[X.index[index]] = prediction
probabilities.loc[X.index[index]] = probs
return predictions, probabilities
def __inference_from_window(
index_start: int,
index_end: int,
X: XDataFrame,
model_over_time: ModelOverTime,
transformations_over_time: TransformationsOverTime,
expanding_window: bool,
window_size: int,
) -> list[tuple[int, float, pd.Series]]:
current_model = model_over_time[X.index[index_start]]
current_transformations = [
transformation_over_time[X.index[index_start]]
for transformation_over_time in transformations_over_time
]
input_data = X.iloc[index_start:index_end]
for transformation in current_transformations:
input_data = transformation.transform(input_data)
input_data = input_data.to_numpy()
predictions = current_model.predict(input_data)
probs = current_model.predict_proba(input_data)
results = [
(index_start + index, predictions[index], probs[index])
for index in range(len(predictions))
]
return results