Files
drift/run_pipeline.py
T
Daniel Szemerey a7414eac23 feature: Added Weights and Biases configuration to the repo. (#48)
* feat: initial wandb configured. Sweep parameters aren't configured yet.

* feat: Wandb logs now results.

* feat: gitignore.

* fix: Took out print()

* feat: Changed default value of wandb to False.

* feat: Added wandb to turn of automatically if there is no environment variable to start it (when we push it). Added environment configuration aswell.

* fix(Dependencies): the package name seems to be python-dotenv

Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2021-12-20 14:01:14 +01:00

157 lines
5.8 KiB
Python

from sklearnex import patch_sklearn
patch_sklearn()
from utils.load_data import get_crypto_assets, get_etf_assets, load_data
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression, Lasso, BayesianRidge, LogisticRegression, Ridge
from sklearn.tree import DecisionTreeClassifier
from sklearn.neighbors import KNeighborsRegressor, KNeighborsClassifier
from sklearn.discriminant_analysis import LinearDiscriminantAnalysis
from sklearn.svm import SVR
from sklearn.naive_bayes import GaussianNB
from sklearn.neural_network import MLPRegressor, MLPClassifier
from sklearn.ensemble import AdaBoostRegressor, RandomForestRegressor, ExtraTreesRegressor, AdaBoostClassifier, GradientBoostingClassifier, RandomForestClassifier, ExtraTreesClassifier
import feature_extractors.feature_extractor_presets as feature_extractor_presets
from training.pipeline import run_single_asset_trainig_pipeline
WANDB=True
# Parameters
model_config = dict(
regression_models = [
# ('Lasso', Lasso(alpha=0.1, max_iter=1000)),
('Ridge', Ridge(alpha=0.1)),
('BayesianRidge', BayesianRidge()),
('KNN', KNeighborsRegressor(n_neighbors=25)),
# ('AB', AdaBoostRegressor(random_state=1)),
# ('LR', LinearRegression(n_jobs=-1)),
# ('MLP', MLPRegressor(hidden_layer_sizes=(100,20), max_iter=1000)),
# ('RF', RandomForestRegressor(n_jobs=-1)),
# ('SVR', SVR(kernel='rbf', C=1e3, gamma=0.1))
],
regression_ensemble_model = [('Ensemble - Ridge', Ridge(alpha=0.1))],
classification_models = [
('LR', LogisticRegression(n_jobs=-1)),
('LDA', LinearDiscriminantAnalysis()),
('KNN', KNeighborsClassifier()),
('CART', DecisionTreeClassifier()),
('NB', GaussianNB()),
# ('AB', AdaBoostClassifier()),
# ('RF', RandomForestClassifier(n_jobs=-1))
],
classification_ensemble_model = [('Ensemble - CART', DecisionTreeClassifier())]
)
training_config = dict(
path = 'data/',
sliding_window_size = 150,
retrain_every = 20,
scaler = 'minmax', # 'normalize' 'minmax' 'standardize' 'none'
include_original_data_in_ensemble = True,
method = 'classification',
forecasting_horizon = 1)
feature_extractors = feature_extractor_presets.date + feature_extractor_presets.level1
data_config = dict(
path=training_config['path'],
all_assets = get_crypto_assets(training_config['path']),
load_other_assets= False,
log_returns= True,
forecasting_horizon = training_config['forecasting_horizon'],
own_features= feature_extractors,
other_features= [],
index_column= 'int',
method= training_config['method'],
)
if WANDB:
from wandb_setup import get_wandb
wandb = get_wandb()
if type(wandb) == type(None):
WANDB = False
else:
''' 3. Initialize Weights and Biases with default values, then grab the config file (necessary for sweep) '''
wandb.init(project="price-forecasting",
config={"data_config":data_config, "training_config":training_config, "model_config": model_config}) # default config
training_config = wandb.config['training_config']
# vvv this doesnt work, wandb casts the functions to strings vvv
# data_config = wandb.config['data_config']
# model_config = wandb.config['model_config']
# Run pipeline
results = pd.DataFrame()
for asset in data_config['all_assets']:
print('--------\nPredicting: ', asset)
all_predictions = pd.DataFrame()
# 1. Load data
data_params = data_config.copy()
data_params['target_asset'] = asset
X, y, target_returns = load_data(**data_params)
# 2. Train Level-1 models
current_result, current_predictions = run_single_asset_trainig_pipeline(
ticker_to_predict = asset,
X = X,
y = y,
target_returns = target_returns,
models = model_config['regression_models'] if training_config['method'] == 'regression' else model_config['classification_models'],
method = training_config['method'],
sliding_window_size = training_config['sliding_window_size'],
retrain_every = training_config['retrain_every'],
scaler = training_config['scaler']
)
results = pd.concat([results, current_result], axis=1)
all_predictions = pd.concat([all_predictions, current_predictions], axis=1)
# 3. Train Level-2 (Ensemble) model
ensemble_X = all_predictions
if training_config['include_original_data_in_ensemble']:
ensemble_X = pd.concat([ensemble_X, X], axis=1)
ensemble_result, ensemble_preds = run_single_asset_trainig_pipeline(
ticker_to_predict = asset,
X = ensemble_X,
y = y,
target_returns = target_returns,
models = model_config['regression_ensemble_model'] if training_config['method'] == 'regression' else model_config['classification_ensemble_model'],
method = training_config['method'],
sliding_window_size = training_config['sliding_window_size'],
retrain_every = training_config['retrain_every'],
scaler = training_config['scaler']
)
results = pd.concat([results, ensemble_result], axis=1)
all_predictions = pd.concat([all_predictions, ensemble_preds], axis=1)
if WANDB:
combined_metrics = results.mean(axis=1)
wandb.log({'results': results})
wandb.log({'combined': combined_metrics})
if wandb.run is not None:
wandb.finish()
results.to_csv('results.csv')
level1_columns = results[[column for column in results.columns if 'Ensemble' not in column]]
ensemble_columns = results[[column for column in results.columns if 'Ensemble' in column]]
print("Mean Sharpe ratio for Level-1 models: ", level1_columns.loc['sharpe'].mean())
print("Mean Sharpe ratio for Level-2 (Ensemble) models: ", ensemble_columns.loc['sharpe'].mean())