mirror of
https://github.com/webclinic017/drift.git
synced 2026-08-05 23:27:49 +00:00
a7414eac23
* feat: initial wandb configured. Sweep parameters aren't configured yet. * feat: Wandb logs now results. * feat: gitignore. * fix: Took out print() * feat: Changed default value of wandb to False. * feat: Added wandb to turn of automatically if there is no environment variable to start it (when we push it). Added environment configuration aswell. * fix(Dependencies): the package name seems to be python-dotenv Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
157 lines
5.8 KiB
Python
157 lines
5.8 KiB
Python
from sklearnex import patch_sklearn
|
|
patch_sklearn()
|
|
|
|
from utils.load_data import get_crypto_assets, get_etf_assets, load_data
|
|
|
|
import pandas as pd
|
|
import numpy as np
|
|
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression, Lasso, BayesianRidge, LogisticRegression, Ridge
|
|
from sklearn.tree import DecisionTreeClassifier
|
|
from sklearn.neighbors import KNeighborsRegressor, KNeighborsClassifier
|
|
from sklearn.discriminant_analysis import LinearDiscriminantAnalysis
|
|
from sklearn.svm import SVR
|
|
from sklearn.naive_bayes import GaussianNB
|
|
from sklearn.neural_network import MLPRegressor, MLPClassifier
|
|
from sklearn.ensemble import AdaBoostRegressor, RandomForestRegressor, ExtraTreesRegressor, AdaBoostClassifier, GradientBoostingClassifier, RandomForestClassifier, ExtraTreesClassifier
|
|
|
|
import feature_extractors.feature_extractor_presets as feature_extractor_presets
|
|
from training.pipeline import run_single_asset_trainig_pipeline
|
|
|
|
|
|
WANDB=True
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Parameters
|
|
model_config = dict(
|
|
regression_models = [
|
|
# ('Lasso', Lasso(alpha=0.1, max_iter=1000)),
|
|
('Ridge', Ridge(alpha=0.1)),
|
|
('BayesianRidge', BayesianRidge()),
|
|
('KNN', KNeighborsRegressor(n_neighbors=25)),
|
|
# ('AB', AdaBoostRegressor(random_state=1)),
|
|
# ('LR', LinearRegression(n_jobs=-1)),
|
|
# ('MLP', MLPRegressor(hidden_layer_sizes=(100,20), max_iter=1000)),
|
|
# ('RF', RandomForestRegressor(n_jobs=-1)),
|
|
# ('SVR', SVR(kernel='rbf', C=1e3, gamma=0.1))
|
|
],
|
|
regression_ensemble_model = [('Ensemble - Ridge', Ridge(alpha=0.1))],
|
|
|
|
classification_models = [
|
|
('LR', LogisticRegression(n_jobs=-1)),
|
|
('LDA', LinearDiscriminantAnalysis()),
|
|
('KNN', KNeighborsClassifier()),
|
|
('CART', DecisionTreeClassifier()),
|
|
('NB', GaussianNB()),
|
|
# ('AB', AdaBoostClassifier()),
|
|
# ('RF', RandomForestClassifier(n_jobs=-1))
|
|
],
|
|
classification_ensemble_model = [('Ensemble - CART', DecisionTreeClassifier())]
|
|
)
|
|
|
|
training_config = dict(
|
|
path = 'data/',
|
|
sliding_window_size = 150,
|
|
retrain_every = 20,
|
|
scaler = 'minmax', # 'normalize' 'minmax' 'standardize' 'none'
|
|
include_original_data_in_ensemble = True,
|
|
method = 'classification',
|
|
forecasting_horizon = 1)
|
|
|
|
feature_extractors = feature_extractor_presets.date + feature_extractor_presets.level1
|
|
data_config = dict(
|
|
path=training_config['path'],
|
|
all_assets = get_crypto_assets(training_config['path']),
|
|
load_other_assets= False,
|
|
log_returns= True,
|
|
forecasting_horizon = training_config['forecasting_horizon'],
|
|
own_features= feature_extractors,
|
|
other_features= [],
|
|
index_column= 'int',
|
|
method= training_config['method'],
|
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
if WANDB:
|
|
from wandb_setup import get_wandb
|
|
wandb = get_wandb()
|
|
|
|
if type(wandb) == type(None):
|
|
WANDB = False
|
|
else:
|
|
''' 3. Initialize Weights and Biases with default values, then grab the config file (necessary for sweep) '''
|
|
wandb.init(project="price-forecasting",
|
|
config={"data_config":data_config, "training_config":training_config, "model_config": model_config}) # default config
|
|
|
|
training_config = wandb.config['training_config']
|
|
# vvv this doesnt work, wandb casts the functions to strings vvv
|
|
# data_config = wandb.config['data_config']
|
|
# model_config = wandb.config['model_config']
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Run pipeline
|
|
|
|
results = pd.DataFrame()
|
|
|
|
for asset in data_config['all_assets']:
|
|
print('--------\nPredicting: ', asset)
|
|
all_predictions = pd.DataFrame()
|
|
|
|
# 1. Load data
|
|
data_params = data_config.copy()
|
|
data_params['target_asset'] = asset
|
|
|
|
X, y, target_returns = load_data(**data_params)
|
|
|
|
# 2. Train Level-1 models
|
|
current_result, current_predictions = run_single_asset_trainig_pipeline(
|
|
ticker_to_predict = asset,
|
|
X = X,
|
|
y = y,
|
|
target_returns = target_returns,
|
|
models = model_config['regression_models'] if training_config['method'] == 'regression' else model_config['classification_models'],
|
|
method = training_config['method'],
|
|
sliding_window_size = training_config['sliding_window_size'],
|
|
retrain_every = training_config['retrain_every'],
|
|
scaler = training_config['scaler']
|
|
)
|
|
results = pd.concat([results, current_result], axis=1)
|
|
all_predictions = pd.concat([all_predictions, current_predictions], axis=1)
|
|
|
|
# 3. Train Level-2 (Ensemble) model
|
|
ensemble_X = all_predictions
|
|
if training_config['include_original_data_in_ensemble']:
|
|
ensemble_X = pd.concat([ensemble_X, X], axis=1)
|
|
|
|
ensemble_result, ensemble_preds = run_single_asset_trainig_pipeline(
|
|
ticker_to_predict = asset,
|
|
X = ensemble_X,
|
|
y = y,
|
|
target_returns = target_returns,
|
|
models = model_config['regression_ensemble_model'] if training_config['method'] == 'regression' else model_config['classification_ensemble_model'],
|
|
method = training_config['method'],
|
|
sliding_window_size = training_config['sliding_window_size'],
|
|
retrain_every = training_config['retrain_every'],
|
|
scaler = training_config['scaler']
|
|
)
|
|
|
|
results = pd.concat([results, ensemble_result], axis=1)
|
|
all_predictions = pd.concat([all_predictions, ensemble_preds], axis=1)
|
|
|
|
if WANDB:
|
|
combined_metrics = results.mean(axis=1)
|
|
wandb.log({'results': results})
|
|
wandb.log({'combined': combined_metrics})
|
|
|
|
|
|
if wandb.run is not None:
|
|
wandb.finish()
|
|
|
|
results.to_csv('results.csv')
|
|
|
|
level1_columns = results[[column for column in results.columns if 'Ensemble' not in column]]
|
|
ensemble_columns = results[[column for column in results.columns if 'Ensemble' in column]]
|
|
|
|
print("Mean Sharpe ratio for Level-1 models: ", level1_columns.loc['sharpe'].mean())
|
|
print("Mean Sharpe ratio for Level-2 (Ensemble) models: ", ensemble_columns.loc['sharpe'].mean()) |