Files
drift/training/primary_model.py
T
Mark Aron Szulyovszky b1c04afb13 refactor(Naming): use new convention, added Ensemble model parameter back, support multiple Meta-Labeling models (#132)
* refactor(Naming): use `primary_models` & `meta_labeling_models`

* refactor(Naming): using primary * meta_labeling across config and in pipeline

* feat(Pipeline): added back Ensemble models

* fix(Pipeline): compiler error

* fix(Config): typo

* chore(Pipeline): removed unused averaging step

* revert the changes in discretizing

* chore(Pipeline): remove sharpe improvement logging

* fix(Pipeline): ensemble predictions should be a pd.Series instead of a DataFrame

* fix(Pipeline): discard unnecessary ensemble_probabilities

* fix(Pipeline): fixes regarding various meta-labeling ensemble bugs

* fix(Reporting): use the new naming convention

* fix(Reporting): use the right variable

* feat(Sweep): new sweep for ensemble models

* fix(Sweep): config reference

* fix(Config): simplified dev config

* fix(Models): use the faster LR model

* fix(Models): use LGBM in the meta-labeling model for speed

* fix(Selection): always use the first model for feature selection, commented out caching from select_features() as it's close to redundant in terms of speed
2022-01-09 17:21:06 +01:00

67 lines
2.7 KiB
Python

import pandas as pd
from typing import Literal
from training.walk_forward import walk_forward_train_test
from utils.evaluate import evaluate_predictions
from models.base import Model
from utils.scaler import get_scaler
from utils.types import ScalerTypes
def train_primary_model(
ticker_to_predict: str,
original_X: pd.DataFrame,
X: pd.DataFrame,
y: pd.Series,
target_returns: pd.Series,
models: list[tuple[str, Model]],
method: Literal['regression', 'classification'],
expanding_window: bool,
sliding_window_size: int,
retrain_every: int,
scaler: ScalerTypes,
no_of_classes: Literal['two', 'three-balanced', 'three-imbalanced'],
level: str,
print_results: bool
) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, dict]:
scaler = get_scaler(scaler)
results = pd.DataFrame()
all_models_single_asset = dict()
predictions = pd.DataFrame(index=y.index)
probabilities = pd.DataFrame(index=y.index)
for model_name, model in models:
model_over_time, preds, probs = walk_forward_train_test(
model_name=model_name,
model = model,
X = X if model.feature_selection == 'on' else original_X,
y = y,
target_returns = target_returns,
expanding_window = expanding_window,
window_size = sliding_window_size,
retrain_every = retrain_every,
scaler = scaler
)
assert len(preds) == len(y)
result = evaluate_predictions(
model_name = model_name,
target_returns = target_returns,
y_pred = preds,
y_true = y,
method = method,
no_of_classes=no_of_classes,
print_results = print_results,
discretize=True
)
column_name = "model_" + ticker_to_predict + "_" + model_name + "_" + level
results[column_name] = result
all_models_single_asset[model_name] = model_over_time
# column names for model outputs should be different, so we can differentiate between original data and model predictions later, where necessary
predictions[column_name] = preds
probs_column_name = "probs_" + ticker_to_predict + "_" + model_name + "_" + level
probs.columns = [probs_column_name + "_" + c for c in probs.columns]
probabilities = pd.concat([probabilities, probs], axis=1)
return results, predictions, probabilities, all_models_single_asset