Files
drift/tests/test_evaluation.py
T
Mark Aron Szulyovszky b1c04afb13 refactor(Naming): use new convention, added Ensemble model parameter back, support multiple Meta-Labeling models (#132)
* refactor(Naming): use `primary_models` & `meta_labeling_models`

* refactor(Naming): using primary * meta_labeling across config and in pipeline

* feat(Pipeline): added back Ensemble models

* fix(Pipeline): compiler error

* fix(Config): typo

* chore(Pipeline): removed unused averaging step

* revert the changes in discretizing

* chore(Pipeline): remove sharpe improvement logging

* fix(Pipeline): ensemble predictions should be a pd.Series instead of a DataFrame

* fix(Pipeline): discard unnecessary ensemble_probabilities

* fix(Pipeline): fixes regarding various meta-labeling ensemble bugs

* fix(Reporting): use the new naming convention

* fix(Reporting): use the right variable

* feat(Sweep): new sweep for ensemble models

* fix(Sweep): config reference

* fix(Config): simplified dev config

* fix(Models): use the faster LR model

* fix(Models): use LGBM in the meta-labeling model for speed

* fix(Selection): always use the first model for feature selection, commented out caching from select_features() as it's close to redundant in terms of speed
2022-01-09 17:21:06 +01:00

106 lines
2.6 KiB
Python

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from training.walk_forward import walk_forward_train_test
from models.base import Model
from utils.evaluate import evaluate_predictions
no_of_rows = 100
def __generate_even_odd_test_data(no_of_rows) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.Series]:
''' Test data, where X[n][any_column] == 1 if n is even, else 0
'''
no_columns = 6
X = [[-1 if row % 2 == 0 else 1] * no_columns for row in range(no_of_rows)]
assert X[0][0] == -1
assert X[1][0] == 1
assert X[2][0] == -1
assert X[3][0] == 1
X = pd.DataFrame(X)
y = [-1 if (row+1) % 2 == 0 else 1 for row in range(no_of_rows)]
assert y[0] == 1
assert y[1] == -1
assert y[2] == 1
assert y[3] == -1
y = pd.Series(y)
return X, y
class EvenOddStubModel(Model):
'''
A deteministic model that can predict the future with 100% accuracy
It verifies that the X[n][any_column] == 1 if n is even,
'''
data_scaling = "unscaled"
only_column = None
predict_window_size = 'single_timestamp'
def __init__(self, window_length) -> None:
super().__init__()
self.window_length = window_length
def fit(self, X, y):
assert len(X) == self.window_length
for i in range(len(X)):
assert y[i] == -1 if X[i][0] == 1 else 1
def predict(self, X):
return (-1 if X[0][0] == 1 else 1, np.array([]))
def clone(self):
return self
def get_name(self) -> str:
return 'test'
def initialize_network(self, input_dim: int, output_dim: int):
pass
def test_evaluation():
X, y = __generate_even_odd_test_data(no_of_rows)
window_length = 10
model = EvenOddStubModel(window_length = window_length)
scaler = None
models, predictions, probs = walk_forward_train_test(
model_name='test',
model=model,
X=X,
y=y,
target_returns=y,
expanding_window=False,
window_size=window_length,
retrain_every=10,
scaler=scaler
)
# verify if predictions are the same as y
for i in range(window_length+2, no_of_rows):
assert predictions[i] == y[i]
fake_target_returns = y * 0.1
processed_predictions_to_match_returns = predictions * 0.1
result = evaluate_predictions(
model_name='test',
target_returns=fake_target_returns,
y_pred=processed_predictions_to_match_returns,
y_true=y,
method='classification',
no_of_classes='two',
print_results = False,
discretize=True
)
assert result['accuracy'] == 100.0