Files
drift/training/training_steps.py
T
Daniel Szemerey 516c8bcc87 feat(Inference): Inference now runs on the entire pipeline, only train/predict one asset, adjust trading costs (#173)
* fix, feat: Fixed inference processing data. Add transformation attribute.

* feat: Added transformations step, refractored the loop to make more sense (divided the train and inference loop).

* feat: Truncated models over time and transformations over time. Fixed some typing aswell.

* fix: Fixed a number of out of array problems.

* feat: Inference now works!

* fix(Steps): runtime error not checking for None

* fix(Steps): preloaded transformers are not optional anymore, sped up training by temporary increasing the retrain_every

* fix(CI): disable ray memory monitoring

* refactor(Inference): removed truncate_models and replaced it with filling X with NaN until inference should start

* feat(Inference): added index_from parameter

* fix(Tests): walk_forward test

* refactor(Pipeline): only predict one asset

* refactor(Inference): removed select_models step, inference code moved to run_inference.py so it matches convention (similar to run_pipeline.py)

* fix(Evaluation): adjust transaction costs

* fix(Config): adjusted retrain_every

Co-authored-by: Daniel Szemerey <szemereydaniel@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2022-01-23 11:38:40 +01:00

143 lines
6.8 KiB
Python

from numpy import DataSource
import pandas as pd
from operator import itemgetter
from training.primary_model import train_primary_model
from training.meta_labeling import train_meta_labeling_model
from reporting.types import Reporting
from typing import Union, Optional
def primary_step(
X: pd.DataFrame,
y: pd.Series,
target_returns: pd.Series,
configs: dict,
reporting: Reporting,
from_index: Optional[int],
preloaded_training_step: Optional[Reporting.Training_Step] = None,
) -> tuple[Reporting.Training_Step, pd.DataFrame]:
training_step = Reporting.Training_Step(level='primary')
model_config, training_config, data_config = itemgetter('model_config', 'training_config', 'data_config')(configs)
# 3. Train Primary models
current_result, current_predictions, current_probabilities, all_models_for_single_asset = train_primary_model(
ticker_to_predict = data_config['target_asset'][1],
X = X,
y = y,
target_returns = target_returns,
models = model_config['primary_models'],
method = data_config['method'],
expanding_window = training_config['expanding_window_primary'],
sliding_window_size = training_config['sliding_window_size_primary'],
retrain_every = training_config['retrain_every'],
from_index = from_index,
scaler = training_config['scaler'],
no_of_classes = data_config['no_of_classes'],
level = 'primary',
print_results= True,
preloaded_models = preloaded_training_step.get_base() if preloaded_training_step is not None else None
)
training_step.base = all_models_for_single_asset
# 4. Train a Meta-Labeling model for each Primary model and replace their predictions with the meta-labeling predictions
if training_config['primary_models_meta_labeling'] == True:
for model_name in current_result.columns:
primary_model_predictions = current_predictions[model_name]
primary_meta_result, primary_meta_preds, primary_meta_probabilities, meta_labeling_models = train_meta_labeling_model(
target_asset = data_config['target_asset'][1],
X = X,
input_predictions= primary_model_predictions,
y = y,
target_returns = target_returns,
models = model_config['meta_labeling_models'],
data_config= data_config,
model_config= model_config,
training_config= training_config,
model_suffix = 'meta',
from_index = from_index,
preloaded_models = preloaded_training_step.get_metalabeling()[model_name] if preloaded_training_step is not None else None
)
current_result[model_name] = primary_meta_result
current_predictions[model_name] = primary_meta_preds
training_step.metalabeling.append(meta_labeling_models)
reporting.results = pd.concat([reporting.results, current_result], axis=1)
# With static models, because of the lag in the indicator, the first prediction is NA, so we fill it with zero.
reporting.all_predictions = pd.concat([reporting.all_predictions, current_predictions], axis=1).fillna(0.)
reporting.all_probabilities = pd.concat([reporting.all_probabilities, current_probabilities], axis=1).fillna(0.)
return training_step, current_predictions
def secondary_step(
X:pd.DataFrame,
y:pd.Series,
current_predictions:pd.DataFrame,
target_returns:pd.Series,
configs: dict,
reporting: Reporting,
from_index: Optional[int],
preloaded_training_step: Optional[Reporting.Training_Step] = None,
) -> Reporting.Training_Step:
training_step = Reporting.Training_Step(level='secondary')
model_config, training_config, data_config = itemgetter('model_config', 'training_config', 'data_config')(configs)
# 5. Ensemble primary model predictions (If Ensemble model is present)
if model_config['ensemble_model'] is not None:
ensemble_result, ensemble_predictions, _, ensemble_models_one_asset = train_primary_model(
ticker_to_predict = data_config['target_asset'][1],
X = current_predictions,
y = y,
target_returns = target_returns,
models = [model_config['ensemble_model']],
method = data_config['method'],
expanding_window = False,
sliding_window_size = 1,
retrain_every = training_config['retrain_every'],
from_index = from_index,
scaler = training_config['scaler'],
no_of_classes = data_config['no_of_classes'],
level = 'ensemble',
print_results= True,
preloaded_models = preloaded_training_step.get_base() if preloaded_training_step is not None else None
)
ensemble_result, ensemble_predictions = ensemble_result.iloc[:,0], ensemble_predictions.iloc[:,0]
training_step.base = ensemble_models_one_asset
reporting.results = pd.concat([reporting.results, ensemble_result], axis=1)
reporting.all_predictions = pd.concat([reporting.all_predictions, ensemble_predictions], axis=1)
if len(model_config['meta_labeling_models']) > 0:
# 3. Train a Meta-labeling model on the averaged level-1 model predictions
ensemble_meta_result, ensemble_meta_predictions, ensemble_meta_probabilities, ensemble_meta_labeling_models = train_meta_labeling_model(
target_asset = data_config['target_asset'][1],
X = X,
input_predictions= ensemble_predictions,
y = y,
target_returns = target_returns,
models = model_config['meta_labeling_models'],
data_config= data_config,
model_config= model_config,
training_config= training_config,
model_suffix = 'ensemble',
from_index = from_index,
preloaded_models = preloaded_training_step.get_metalabeling()[ensemble_predictions.name] if preloaded_training_step is not None else None
)
training_step.metalabeling.append(ensemble_meta_labeling_models)
reporting.results = pd.concat([reporting.results, ensemble_meta_result], axis=1)
reporting.all_predictions = pd.concat([reporting.all_predictions, ensemble_meta_predictions], axis=1)
reporting.all_probabilities = pd.concat([reporting.all_probabilities, ensemble_meta_probabilities], axis=1).fillna(0.)
return training_step