Files
drift/training/meta_labeling.py
T
Daniel Szemerey 516c8bcc87 feat(Inference): Inference now runs on the entire pipeline, only train/predict one asset, adjust trading costs (#173)
* fix, feat: Fixed inference processing data. Add transformation attribute.

* feat: Added transformations step, refractored the loop to make more sense (divided the train and inference loop).

* feat: Truncated models over time and transformations over time. Fixed some typing aswell.

* fix: Fixed a number of out of array problems.

* feat: Inference now works!

* fix(Steps): runtime error not checking for None

* fix(Steps): preloaded transformers are not optional anymore, sped up training by temporary increasing the retrain_every

* fix(CI): disable ray memory monitoring

* refactor(Inference): removed truncate_models and replaced it with filling X with NaN until inference should start

* feat(Inference): added index_from parameter

* fix(Tests): walk_forward test

* refactor(Pipeline): only predict one asset

* refactor(Inference): removed select_models step, inference code moved to run_inference.py so it matches convention (similar to run_pipeline.py)

* fix(Evaluation): adjust transaction costs

* fix(Config): adjusted retrain_every

Co-authored-by: Daniel Szemerey <szemereydaniel@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2022-01-23 11:38:40 +01:00

71 lines
3.0 KiB
Python

from utils.evaluate import discretize_threeway_threshold, evaluate_predictions
from utils.helpers import equal_except_nan
from training.primary_model import train_primary_model
import pandas as pd
from models.model_map import default_feature_selector_classification, default_feature_selector_regression
from models.base import Model
from reporting.types import Reporting
from typing import Union, Optional
def train_meta_labeling_model(
target_asset: str,
X: pd.DataFrame,
input_predictions: pd.Series,
y: pd.Series,
target_returns: pd.Series,
models: list[tuple[str, Model]],
data_config: dict,
model_config: dict,
training_config: dict,
model_suffix: str,
from_index: Optional[int],
preloaded_models: Optional[list[tuple[str, pd.Series, list[pd.Series]]]] = None
) -> tuple[pd.Series, pd.Series, pd.DataFrame, list[Reporting.Single_Model]]:
discretize = discretize_threeway_threshold(0.33)
discretized_predictions = input_predictions.apply(discretize)
meta_y: pd.Series = pd.concat([discretized_predictions, y], axis=1).apply(equal_except_nan, axis = 1)
meta_X = pd.concat([X, input_predictions, discretized_predictions], axis = 1)
_, meta_preds, meta_probabilities, all_models_single_asset = train_primary_model(
ticker_to_predict = "prediction_correct",
X = meta_X,
y = meta_y,
target_returns = target_returns,
models = models,
method = 'classification',
expanding_window = training_config['expanding_window_meta_labeling'],
sliding_window_size = training_config['sliding_window_size_meta_labeling'],
retrain_every = training_config['retrain_every'],
from_index = from_index,
scaler = training_config['scaler'],
no_of_classes = 'two',
level = 'meta_labeling',
print_results = False,
preloaded_models = preloaded_models
)
if len(models) > 1:
meta_preds = meta_preds.mean(axis = 1)
bet_size = meta_probabilities[meta_probabilities.columns[1::2]].mean(axis = 1)
else:
bet_size = meta_probabilities.iloc[:,1]
avg_predictions_with_sizing = input_predictions * bet_size
avg_predictions_with_sizing.rename("model_" + target_asset + "_" + model_suffix, inplace=True)
meta_result = evaluate_predictions(
model_name = "Meta",
target_returns = target_returns,
y_pred = avg_predictions_with_sizing,
y_true = y,
method = 'classification',
no_of_classes = 'two',
print_results = True,
discretize=False
)
meta_result.rename("model_" + target_asset + "_" + model_suffix, inplace=True)
return meta_result, avg_predictions_with_sizing, meta_probabilities, all_models_single_asset