Files
drift/training/meta_labeling.py
T
2022-01-26 23:22:43 +01:00

66 lines
2.8 KiB
Python

from utils.evaluate import discretize_threeway_threshold, evaluate_predictions
from utils.helpers import equal_except_nan
from training.primary_model import train_primary_model
import pandas as pd
from models.base import Model
from reporting.types import Reporting
from typing import Union, Optional
from config.types import Config
def train_meta_labeling_model(
target_asset: str,
X: pd.DataFrame,
input_predictions: pd.Series,
y: pd.Series,
forward_returns: pd.Series,
models: list[tuple[str, Model]],
config: Config,
model_suffix: str,
from_index: Optional[pd.Timestamp],
preloaded_models: Optional[list[tuple[str, pd.Series, list[pd.Series]]]] = None
) -> tuple[pd.Series, pd.Series, pd.DataFrame, list[Reporting.Single_Model]]:
discretize = discretize_threeway_threshold(0.33)
discretized_predictions = input_predictions.apply(discretize)
meta_y: pd.Series = pd.concat([discretized_predictions, y], axis=1).apply(equal_except_nan, axis = 1)
meta_X = pd.concat([X, input_predictions, discretized_predictions], axis = 1)
_, meta_preds, meta_probabilities, all_models_single_asset = train_primary_model(
ticker_to_predict = "prediction_correct",
X = meta_X,
y = meta_y,
forward_returns = forward_returns,
models = models,
expanding_window = config.expanding_window_meta_labeling,
sliding_window_size = config.sliding_window_size_meta_labeling,
retrain_every = config.retrain_every,
from_index = from_index,
scaler = config.scaler,
no_of_classes = 'two',
level = 'meta_labeling',
print_results = False,
preloaded_models = preloaded_models
)
if len(models) > 1:
meta_preds = meta_preds.mean(axis = 1)
bet_size = meta_probabilities[meta_probabilities.columns[1::2]].mean(axis = 1)
else:
bet_size = meta_probabilities.iloc[:,1]
avg_predictions_with_sizing = input_predictions * bet_size
avg_predictions_with_sizing.rename("model_" + target_asset + "_" + model_suffix, inplace=True)
meta_result = evaluate_predictions(
model_name = "Meta",
forward_returns = forward_returns,
y_pred = avg_predictions_with_sizing,
y_true = y,
no_of_classes = 'two',
print_results = True,
discretize=False
)
meta_result.rename("model_" + target_asset + "_" + model_suffix, inplace=True)
return meta_result, avg_predictions_with_sizing, meta_probabilities, all_models_single_asset