Files
drift/tests/test_walk_forward.py
T
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 3eb3ea94e3 Refactor(Training): new outcome types, representative pipeline steps, bet-sizing (#187)
* refactor(Training): added InferenceResult & TrainedModel types

* refactor(Pipeline): introduced TrainingOutcome, BetSizingWithMetaOutcome, etc.

* fix(Pipeline): getting it to compile

* refactor(WalkForward): separate preprocessing step

* feat(Pipeline): separate out transformations processing step

* refactor(Pipeline): use the Directional model terminology, put bet_sizing into pipeline instead of hiding it in a step

* refactor(WalkForward): moved functions to separate folder

* fix(WalkForward): use sparse array to store models, process transformations in parallel (lot faster)

* fix(Tests): and evaluation

* fix(Tests): for realz

* fix(Inference): preloading everything now, renamed primary models to directional models

* fix(BetSizing): was running transformations on the wrong data, oops

* fix(BetSizing): concatenated on the wrong axis accidentally

* fix(Reporting): able to use the new Stats type

* fix(BetSizing): renamed int column names

* fix(Portfolio): name the column properly

* fix(Reporting): rename the correct Series, lol

* fix(Inference): walk_forwad_inference() can deal with models not being aligned with the starting index

* fix(WalkForward): accidentally using the wrong index

* fix(WalkForward): use the correct indicies to fetch last model/transformations

* fix(CI): changed the name of the results
2022-01-29 06:41:40 +01:00

93 lines
2.3 KiB
Python

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from training.walk_forward import walk_forward_train, walk_forward_inference
from models.base import Model
no_of_rows = 100
def __generate_incremental_test_data(no_of_rows) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.Series]:
''' Test data, where X[n][any_column] == y[n]+1
'''
no_columns = 6
X = [[row] * no_columns for row in range(no_of_rows)]
assert X[1][0] == 1
assert X[2][0] == 2
assert X[3][0] == 3
assert X[4][0] == 4
X = pd.DataFrame(X)
y = [row+1 for row in range(no_of_rows)]
assert y[1] == 2
assert y[2] == 3
assert y[3] == 4
y = pd.Series(y)
return X, y
class IncrementingStubModel(Model):
'''
A deteministic model that can predict the future with 100% accuracy
It verifies that the X[n][any_column]+1 == y[n]
'''
data_transformation = "original"
only_column = None
predict_window_size = 'single_timestamp'
def __init__(self, window_length) -> None:
super().__init__()
self.window_length = window_length
def fit(self, X, y):
assert len(X) == self.window_length
for i in range(len(X)):
assert X[i][0] + 1 == y[i]
def predict(self, X):
return (X[0][0] + 1, np.array([]))
def clone(self):
return self
def initialize_network(self, input_dim: int, output_dim: int):
pass
def test_walk_forward_train_test():
X, y = __generate_incremental_test_data(no_of_rows)
window_length = 10
retrain_every = 10
model = IncrementingStubModel(window_length = window_length)
model_over_time = walk_forward_train(
model=model,
X=X,
y=y,
forward_returns=y,
expanding_window=False,
window_size=window_length,
retrain_every=retrain_every,
from_index=None,
transformations_over_time=[],
)
predictions, _ = walk_forward_inference(
model_name='test',
model_over_time=model_over_time,
transformations_over_time=[],
X=X,
expanding_window=False,
window_size=window_length,
retrain_every=retrain_every,
from_index=None,
)
# verify if predictions are the same as y
for i in range(window_length+2, no_of_rows):
assert predictions[i] == y[i]