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8dd2d88740
* chore(Linter): reformatted code with black * Create black.yaml
93 lines
3.2 KiB
Python
93 lines
3.2 KiB
Python
import pandas as pd
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from training.types import (
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ModelOverTime,
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TransformationsOverTime,
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PredictionsSeries,
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ProbabilitiesDataFrame,
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)
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from utils.helpers import get_first_valid_return_index
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from tqdm import tqdm
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from typing import Optional
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from data_loader.types import XDataFrame
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from utils.helpers import get_last_non_na_index
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def walk_forward_inference(
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model_name: str,
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model_over_time: ModelOverTime,
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transformations_over_time: TransformationsOverTime,
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X: XDataFrame,
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expanding_window: bool,
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window_size: int,
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retrain_every: int,
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from_index: Optional[pd.Timestamp],
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) -> tuple[PredictionsSeries, ProbabilitiesDataFrame]:
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predictions = pd.Series(index=X.index, dtype="object").rename(model_name)
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probabilities = pd.DataFrame(index=X.index)
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inference_from = (
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max(
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get_first_valid_return_index(model_over_time),
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get_first_valid_return_index(X.iloc[:, 0]),
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)
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if from_index is None
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else X.index.to_list().index(from_index)
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)
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inference_till = X.shape[0]
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model_index_offset = (
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get_last_non_na_index(model_over_time, inference_from)
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if pd.isna(model_over_time[inference_from])
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else 0
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)
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first_model = (
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model_over_time[inference_from - model_index_offset]
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if pd.isna(model_over_time[inference_from])
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else model_over_time[inference_from]
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)
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if first_model.only_column is not None:
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X = X[[column for column in X.columns if first_model.only_column in column]]
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if first_model.data_transformation == "original":
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transformations_over_time = []
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for index in tqdm(range(inference_from, inference_till)):
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last_model_index = (
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index - ((index - inference_from) % retrain_every) - model_index_offset
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)
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train_window_start = (
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X.index[inference_from]
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if expanding_window
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else X.index[index - window_size - 1]
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)
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current_model = model_over_time[X.index[last_model_index]]
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current_transformations = [
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transformation_over_time[X.index[last_model_index]]
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for transformation_over_time in transformations_over_time
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]
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if current_model.predict_window_size == "window_size":
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next_timestep = X.loc[train_window_start : X.index[index]]
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else:
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# we need to get a Dataframe out of it, since the transformation step always expects a 2D array, but it's equivalent to X.iloc[index]
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next_timestep = X.loc[X.index[index] : X.index[index]]
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for transformation in current_transformations:
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next_timestep = transformation.transform(next_timestep)
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next_timestep = next_timestep.to_numpy()
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prediction = current_model.predict(next_timestep)
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probs = current_model.predict_proba(next_timestep)
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predictions[X.index[index]] = prediction
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if inference_from == index and len(probabilities.columns) != len(probs):
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probabilities = probabilities.reindex(
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columns=["prob_" + str(num) for num in range(0, len(probs.T))]
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)
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probabilities.loc[X.index[index]] = probs
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return predictions, probabilities
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