feat(Project): use SKLearn models directly, removed custom ensembling, use 5 minute data, batch inference, numba cusum filter (#192)

* feat(Project): use 5 minute data, running training in parallel, sped up cusum filter by 10x with numba

* fix(WalkForward): inference mini-batch parallelization

* fix(WalkForward): don't use the parallel version of any of the functions

* feat(CI): download the data required

* fix(Project): 5min_crypto folder added

* fix(Evaluate): make sure we have numerical stability in returns

* feat(Models): use SKLearn models directly to enable composability

* feat(Inference): batched inference now working, added forecasting_horizon

* fix(Inference): works again

* fix(Inference)

* chore(Models): remove unused Ensemble model

* fix(Labeller): don't just forward shift returns, also take the sum of the data happened until then

* Update test.yml
This commit is contained in:
Mark Aron Szulyovszky
2022-02-17 16:36:35 +01:00
committed by GitHub
parent 5c94af8b01
commit 9d47ee942d
52 changed files with 470 additions and 628 deletions
+16 -60
View File
@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ from sklearnex.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
from sklearnex.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor
from .base import Model
default_feature_selector_classification = SKLearnModel(RandomForestClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'classification')
default_feature_selector_classification = SKLearnModel(RandomForestClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1))
def get_model(model_name: str) -> Model:
@@ -11,85 +11,41 @@ def get_model(model_name: str) -> Model:
model.name = model_name
return model
if model_name == 'LinearRegression':
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LinearRegression(n_jobs=-1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'Lasso':
from sklearn.linear_model import Lasso
return set_name(SKLearnModel(Lasso(alpha=100, random_state=1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'Ridge':
from sklearn.linear_model import Ridge
return set_name(SKLearnModel(Ridge(alpha=0.1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'BayesianRidge':
from sklearn.linear_model import BayesianRidge
return set_name(SKLearnModel(BayesianRidge(), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'KNN':
from sklearnex.neighbors import KNeighborsRegressor
return set_name(SKLearnModel(KNeighborsRegressor(n_neighbors=25), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'AB':
from sklearn.ensemble import AdaBoostRegressor
return set_name(SKLearnModel(AdaBoostRegressor(random_state=1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'MLP':
from sklearn.neural_network import MLPRegressor
return set_name(SKLearnModel(MLPRegressor(hidden_layer_sizes=(100,20), max_iter=1000), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'RFR':
return set_name(SKLearnModel(RandomForestRegressor(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'SVR':
from sklearnex.svm import SVR
return set_name(SKLearnModel(SVR(kernel='rbf', C=1e3, gamma=0.1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'StaticNaive':
from models.naive import StaticNaiveModel
return set_name(StaticNaiveModel())
elif model_name == 'DNN':
from models.neural import LightningNeuralNetModel
from models.pytorch.neural_nets import MultiLayerPerceptron
import torch.nn.functional as F
return set_name(LightningNeuralNetModel(
MultiLayerPerceptron(
hidden_layers_ratio = [1.0],
probabilities = False,
loss_function = F.mse_loss),
max_epochs=15
))
elif model_name == 'LogisticRegression_two_class':
if model_name == 'LogisticRegression_two_class':
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LogisticRegression(C=10, random_state=1, solver='liblinear', max_iter=1000), 'classification'))
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LogisticRegression(C=10, random_state=1, solver='liblinear', max_iter=1000)))
elif model_name == 'LogisticRegression_three_class':
from sklearnex.linear_model import LogisticRegression as LogisticRegression_EX
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LogisticRegression_EX(C=10, random_state=1, max_iter=1000, n_jobs=-1), 'classification'))
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LogisticRegression_EX(C=10, random_state=1, max_iter=1000, n_jobs=-1)))
elif model_name == 'LDA':
from sklearn.discriminant_analysis import LinearDiscriminantAnalysis
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LinearDiscriminantAnalysis(), 'classification'))
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LinearDiscriminantAnalysis()))
elif model_name == 'KNN':
from sklearn.neighbors import KNeighborsClassifier
return set_name(SKLearnModel(KNeighborsClassifier(), 'classification'))
return set_name(SKLearnModel(KNeighborsClassifier()))
elif model_name == 'CART':
from sklearn.tree import DecisionTreeClassifier
return set_name(SKLearnModel(DecisionTreeClassifier(max_depth=15, random_state=1), 'classification'))
return set_name(SKLearnModel(DecisionTreeClassifier(max_depth=15, random_state=1)))
elif model_name == 'NB':
from sklearn.naive_bayes import GaussianNB
return set_name(SKLearnModel(GaussianNB(), 'classification'))
return set_name(SKLearnModel(GaussianNB()))
elif model_name == 'AB':
from sklearn.ensemble import AdaBoostClassifier
return set_name(SKLearnModel(AdaBoostClassifier(n_estimators=15), 'classification'))
return set_name(SKLearnModel(AdaBoostClassifier(n_estimators=15)))
elif model_name == 'RFC':
return set_name(SKLearnModel(RandomForestClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'classification'))
return set_name(SKLearnModel(RandomForestClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1)))
elif model_name == 'SVC':
from sklearn.svm import SVC
return set_name(SKLearnModel(SVC(kernel='rbf', C=1e3, probability=True, random_state=1), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'XGB_two_class':
from xgboost import XGBClassifier
from models.xgboost import XGBoostModel
return set_name(XGBoostModel(XGBClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth = 20, random_state=1, objective='binary:logistic', use_label_encoder= False, eval_metric='mlogloss')))
return set_name(SKLearnModel(SVC(kernel='rbf', C=1e3, probability=True, random_state=1)))
# elif model_name == 'XGB_two_class':
# from xgboost import XGBClassifier
# from models.xgboost import XGBoostModel
# return set_name(XGBoostModel(XGBClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth = 20, random_state=1, objective='binary:logistic', use_label_encoder= False, eval_metric='mlogloss')))
elif model_name == 'LGBM':
from lightgbm import LGBMClassifier
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LGBMClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'classification'))
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LGBMClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1)))
elif model_name == 'StaticMom':
from models.momentum import StaticMomentumModel
return set_name(StaticMomentumModel(allow_short=True))
elif model_name == 'Average':
from models.average import StaticAverageModel
return set_name(StaticAverageModel())
else:
raise Exception(f'Model {model_name} not found')